The New Orleans Saints will host the Minnesota Vikings on Christmas Day at 4:30 p.m. ET to begin Week 16 of the 2020 NFL schedule It's the sole game on the 2020 NFL Christmas Day schedule and will receive plenty of attention from bettors. New Orleans is favored by 6.5 at William Hill Sportsbook with the over-under at 51, but those aren't the only ways to bet Saints vs. Vikings. There are also plenty of Saints vs. Vikings player props to choose from.
There are dozens of Vikings vs. Saints props available, but figuring out which ones to target as you make your NFL bets for Friday could be a challenge. For example, you can bet on how many receiving yards Emmanuel Sanders will have (Over-Under 60.5) or how many catches Justin Jefferson will have (Over-Under 4.5), but determining which NFL prop lines to take on and finding value is key. Before making any NFL prop bets for NFL Christmas Day 2020, be sure to see the latest NFL betting advice and Saints vs. Vikings prop bets from SportsLine's proven computer model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 22-11 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning almost $800. The model also enters Week 14 on an incredible 118-76 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Best Saints vs. Vikings NFL prop picks
The model says Dalvin Cook rushes for 81 yards, failing to clear the Over-Under of 83.5. Cook is second in the NFL in rushing with 1,484 behind only Derrick Henry (1,679) entering Week 16. He's breezed past 83.5 rushing yards in nine of the 13 games he's played so far this season.
However, this is a tough matchup against a Saints defense that ranks fourth in rushing yards allowed and second in yards per carry allowed (3.8). To make matters even worse, the Saints are favored by 6.5, which probably won't lend itself well to the Vikings feeding Cook the 20 or more carries that might be necessary. Only three running backs this season have rushed for 84-plus yards against New Orleans.
Another one of the NFL prop picks from the model: Drew Brees goes under 253.5 passing yards. In fact, the model says he'll pick up just 236 yards through the air. Brees returned from injured reserve last week after missing more than a month with broken ribs and a punctured lung to throw for three touchdowns against the Chiefs.
However, Brees only managed 234 yards in that game and now he'll take on a Vikings secondary that has gotten stingier against opposing quarterbacks in recent weeks. Minnesota ranks 24th in the NFL in passing yards allowed because of a poor start to the season, but the Vikings have given up 203 yards or fewer to opposing quarterbacks in four of their last six games. Brees also won't have Michael Thomas at his disposal after he was sent back to injured reserve with an ankle injury.
How to make Saints vs. Vikings prop bets
SportsLine's model has also found three other NFL props that have plenty of value on Christmas Day, including one that has carries a huge plus-money payback. You can only get that pick here.
So which NFL prop picks should you make for Saints vs. Vikings? And which plus-money prop should you jump on? Visit SportsLine now to find out which Vikings vs. Saints player props you should make, all from the model up over $7,900 on its top-rated NFL picks.