The Pittsburgh Steelers will take on the Denver Broncos at 1 p.m. ET on Sunday at Heinz Field. Pittsburgh is 1-3 overall and 0-2 at home, while Denver is 3-1 overall and 2-0 on the road. Pittsburgh lost to Green Bay last Sunday, 27-17. Denver was no match for Baltimore in a 23-7 defeat.
The Steelers won the 2020 meeting between the teams, 26-21. Denver is favored by 1.5 points in the latest Steelers vs. Broncos odds from Caesars Sportsbook, and the over-under is set at 39.5. Before entering any Broncos vs. Steelers picks, you'll want to see the NFL predictions from the model at SportsLine.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 5 of the 2021 season on an incredible 124-82 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model also ranked in the top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Steelers vs. Broncos spread: Broncos -1.5
- Steelers vs. Broncos over-under: 39.5 points
What you need to know about the Steelers
Dating back to last season, the Steelers have lost eight of 10 games. They have not scored more than 17 points in their last three games. Ben Roethlisberger passed for 265 yards and one TD, and he also threw an interception and lost a fumble. He has passed for 300-plus yards in his last three matchups with the Broncos.
Najee Harris has five-plus catches and 80-plus scrimmage yards in his last two games. Diontae Johnson had eight catches for 92 yards and a TD in his last game vs. Denver. Mike Tomlin has lost five times in eight meetings with the Broncos.
What you need to know about the Broncos
Teddy Bridgewater was ruled out after halftime in the Week 4 loss to Baltimore because of a concussion. Drew Lock had 12 completions on 21 attempts for 113 yards in relief. Bridgewater is expected to play in Week 5. He is the only QB in the league to not have thrown an interception on a minimum of 50 attempts.
Noah Fant has a TD catch in two of his past three games. Melvin Gordon had 84 yards and a TD catch in his last meeting with the Steelers. Courtland Sutton is questionable for Week 5 because of an ankle injury.
How to make Broncos vs. Steelers picks
The model is leaning under on the total, and it also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only see the pick at SportsLine.
Who wins Steelers vs. Broncos? And which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine right now to see which side of the Steelers vs. Broncos spread to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NFL picks.