Sunday Night Football odds: Ravens vs. Patriots picks, predictions from proven expert who's 10-2

The Ravens will rely on a dynamic running game led by versatile quarterback Lamar Jackson to try to be the first to beat the Patriots this season when Baltimore hosts New England on Sunday Night Football. Jackson has given opposing defenses trouble all year, and teams that can run against the Patriots have had some success, though this New England defense is putting up big plays at a historic pace. Jackson ran for 116 yards and two touchdowns in a 30-16 win at Seattle before the Ravens' bye week. The Baltimore defense also has been opportunistic, scoring twice against Seattle. Sunday's kickoff is set for 8:20 p.m. ET. New England is a three-point favorite in the latest Ravens vs. Patriots odds, while the over-under for total points scored is 44.5. Before locking in any Ravens vs. Patriots picks of your own, you need to see what Mike Tierney has to say. 

The veteran sportswriter, whose work has appeared in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, has covered football of all levels for decades. And that expertise has been evident since he joined SportsLine in 2016. Last season he went 63-46 on NFL picks against the spread.

What's more, he has had a particularly keen eye for the Ravens, posting a 10-2 record on his last 12 picks involving Baltimore. Anyone who has followed him is way up. Now, he has analyzed Patriots vs. Ravens from every possible angle and locked in another confident against the spread pick. It's available only at SportsLine. 

Tierney knows the Patriots' defense is allowing an astonishing 7.6 points per game, but he also knows New England's opponents are currently a combined 14-42. Still, the Patriots are plus-17 in turnover margin and have 25 takeaways, with Devin McCourty leading the team with five interceptions. They also have 31 sacks, led by linebacker Jamie Collins' six. New England also has six non-offensive touchdowns and has scored 70 points off turnovers. Brady threw for 406 yards and three touchdowns in the last meeting between the teams in 2015 and has 2,251 yards and 13 touchdown passes this season.

But just because New England is better on paper doesn't mean it will cover the Ravens vs. Patriots spread on Sunday Night Football.

Tierney also knows that the underdog is 5-2-1 against the spread in the last eight meetings between these teams, and Jackson gives the Ravens a better chance than most. He leads the league in averaging 6.9 yards per carry, and he has three 100-yard games this season. The Ravens average 204.1 yards rushing per game, and the Patriots lost four of the five games they allowed more than 150 on the ground last season. Cleveland's Nick Chubb ran for 131 against them last week.

Jackson also completes 63.3 percent of his passes, and he likes his tight ends. Mark Andrews (36 catches, 449 yards) leads the team in receptions, and fellow tight ends Hayden Hurst (14 for 141) and Nick Boyle (12 for 145) also are heavily involved. 

Baltimore's defense got a boost with the trade for Marcus Peters, who returned an interception 67 yards for a touchdown last week. Fellow corner Marlon Humphrey has two interceptions and took his second fumble recovery of the season back 18 yards for a TD last week. 

We can tell you Tierney is leaning under, but his much stronger play is on the spread. He's found a critical x-factor that makes one side of the Sunday Night Football spread hit hard. He's sharing what it is, and who to back, only at SportsLine. 

So who wins Patriots vs. Ravens? And what critical x-factor makes one side of the spread a must-back? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Patriots vs. Ravens spread you should be all over Sunday, all from the football expert who is 10-2 on picks involving Baltimore.

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