Top NFL football knockout and survivor pool picks for Week 10

There's a good chance most of your top NFL survivor pool options are already off the board. But there are some gems still available, especially if you've incorporated a winning strategy. Picking the right team at the right time is key -- lasting deep into the season isn't about just picking the biggest favorite each week. And that strategy doesn't work anyway -- the Vikings were 16.5-point favorites and were routed at home by the winless Bills in Week 3. So before making your NFL Week 10 survivor pool picks, you'll want to hear what SportsLine's Mike Tierney has to say. The national sportswriter who has reported from seven Super Bowls has his finger on the pulse of the league, and he has developed a reputation as a survivor pool master. 

Tierney excels both against the spread and straight up. The past two seasons, he has hit on nearly 65 percent of his straight-up NFL office pool picks (330-180-2), beating the vast majority of experts on NFLPickWatch.com. 

Last week, Tierney took the Bears, who dismantled the Bills, 41-9, in a breezy victory for those following his picks. The week before, it was the Patriots in a 25-9 win over the same Buffalo team, and before that it was the Falcons over the Giants, also on Monday night, and another winner for the NFL expert. Tierney is an amazing 65-21 picking every NFL game straight-up over the last six weeks.

Now, he has studied the matchups and locked in his optimal Week 10 NFL survivor pool pick, in which you need to pick one team each week to win but cannot select the same team twice in a season. We can tell you Tierney is not going with the Jets, a touchdown-sized home favorite against the Bills.

Going against Buffalo has been a winning strategy since Week 6. The past three games have especially been boons, as the Bills' offense, without injured quarterback Josh Allen, has managed five, six and nine points, all in blowout defeats. There might be more pain to come against a Jets defense that ranks 14th in total yards allowed. 

But New York has had its own power outage, managing just 11 points per game the past three weeks, all defeats. Rookie quarterback Sam Darnold will be sidelined Sunday with an injury to his foot, thrusting Josh McCown back into the starting role.

Buffalo's offense might be a disaster, but its defense has been sterling. The Bills rank No. 3 in the NFL, allowing just 313.7 yards per game. They rank 26th in points allowed thanks in huge part to the inept offense and 22 turnovers. 

Tierney believes the Jets will win, but there are safer options out there for Week 10, and Tierney is revealing a confident pick that sets you up to last longer in your pool without causing too much stress. The time to pick this team is right now, and he's sharing his play over at SportsLine. He's also naming backup teams in case you've used his optimal option. 

So which team is a must-back in your Week 10 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team will survive and advance, all from the man who went 166-88-2 in straight-up office pool picks last season and 65-21 the past six weeks.

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