The Green Bay Packers were embarrassed in their 2021 NFL season-opening loss at New Orleans and struggled in the first half of their game against Detroit in Week 2. Green Bay then flipped a switch offensively, scoring 21 unanswered points in the second half en route to a 35-17 victory over the Lions and took a 17-0 lead at San Francisco in Week 3 before needing last-minute magic from Aaron Rodgers and Davante Adams. The Packers will hope to keep the offense rolling on Sunday and are 6.5-point favorites at home against the struggling Pittsburgh Steelers in the latest Week 4 NFL odds from Caesars Sportsbook. Can you trust the Pack with your NFL survivor pool picks and NFL best bets?

Other favorites that could attract attention for NFL knockout pool picks include the Buffalo Bills (-16.5 against the Houston Texans), New Orleans Saints (-8 against the New York Giants) and Tennessee Titans (-6 against the New York Jets). Before making any Week 4 NFL survivor picks, you need to see which team the red-hot SportsLine Projection Model just went all-in on.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception six-plus years ago. It went a sizzling 24-14 on top-rated NFL picks last season, returning more than $800. The model also enters Week 4 of the 2021 season on an incredible 123-81 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model also ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch four of the past five years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 94 percent of CBS Sports Football Pick'em players four times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

The model can be used to crush the survivor pool format. Each week, the available team winning the most computer simulations has prevailed straight-up. Last week, the model made it three in a row with Carolina defeating the Texans. You can only see who the model is backing this week at SportsLine.

Top Week 4 NFL survivor pool predictions

For Week 4, the model is shying away from the Cardinals in their showdown against the Rams. Acquiring quarterback Matthew Stafford from Detroit during the offseason has proven to be an excellent move thus far, as the 33-year-old is among the league leaders in passing yards (fifth, 942) and touchdown tosses (second, nine) through three games, all victories. Stafford also is second with a 129.8 passer rating and average of 10 yards per pass attempt, trailing only Russell Wilson in those categories.

Rams wide receiver Cooper Kupp already has one 1,000-yard season under his belt (1,161 in 2019) and is on pace to shatter that career mark, as he leads the NFL with 367 receiving yards and is tied for first with 25 catches. The 28-year-old Eastern Washington product also is halfway towards matching his personal best in touchdown receptions with a league-high five after hauling in a pair of scoring passes in each of his last two games. The Cardinals are tied for first in the NFL with 103 points, but the Rams are too dangerous for the model's projections this week.

How to make Week 4 NFL survivor pool picks

Instead, the model is backing a team that has posted back-to-back victories and is facing an opponent that is struggling. Picking this team not only will get you to Week 5, it also will put you in the optimal position to go deep in your NFL survivor pool. The time to pick this team is now, and you can only see the play over at SportsLine.

Which surprising team is a must-back in your Week 4 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 4, all from the advanced computer model that consistently crushes the NFL, and find out.