Massive NFL favorites continue to get stunned on a weekly basis. Last week, playoff hopefuls Carolina and Philadelphia succumbed to lowly Washington and Miami, respectively, killing a plethora of NFL survivor pool picks. If you're still alive, who can you trust in Week 14? The Green Bay Packers look attractive: They demolished the Giants 31-13 last week and now get to face 3-9 Washington at Lambeau Field. But many players already used Green Bay with their NFL survivor picks, so Aaron Rodgers and company may not be an option. Is there a safer pick on the NFL schedule? The SportsLine Projection Model has your back with its optimal Week 14 NFL picks and survivor strategy.

This model, which has simulated the entire NFL season, has ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch for three years running. Additionally, it beat over 96 percent of CBS Sports office pool players last season. Anyone who has followed it has consistently crushed their NFL picks.

Last week, the model rolled with the Chiefs, who blew out the Raiders, while tens of thousands of survivor players got knocked out with Carolina and Philadelphia. 

Now, the model has locked in on Week 14. We can tell you the model is not going with Houston, even though the Texans are coming off a dominant win over the mighty Patriots. The 4-8 Broncos visit Houston brimming with optimism after upsetting the Chargers behind rookie quarterback Drew Lock

Under first-year coach Vic Fangio, Denver remains stout defensively. The Broncos rank ninth in points allowed (19.8) and five of their losses have come by one score. They're a dangerous underdog you don't want to fade.

There's another team winning more often than the Texans that the model loves for your NFL knockout picks this week. Picking this team also sets you up for the rest of the season. You need to see who it is before locking in any NFL predictions or picks. 

So which team is a must-back in your NFL Week 14 survivor pool? Visit SportsLine now to see which team carries you to victory in Week 14, all from the proven computer model that rolled with the Chiefs last week while thousands of survivor players were eliminating backing Carolina and Philadelphia.