The Washington Football Team looks to make history when it takes on the Tampa Bay Buccaneers in an NFC Wild Card matchup on Saturday in the 2021 NFL Playoffs. Washington (7-9) is just the fifth team in NFL history to make the playoffs with a losing record and seeks to become just the third squad to post a win in the postseason with a losing mark. Both the 2010 Seattle Seahawks and 2014 Carolina Panthers won their Wild Card round game before bowing out. The Bucs (11-5) are back in the playoffs following a 13-year drought. Washington Quarterback Alex Smith (calf) is out. Taylor Heinicke will start in his place.
The game is set to kick off at 8:15 p.m. ET from FedEx Field. Tampa Bay is a 10-point favorite in the latest Buccaneers vs. Washington Football Team odds from William Hill Sportsbook, up from opening at -7.5. The over-under for total points scored is 45. Before making any Buccaneers vs. Washington picks, check out the NFL predictions and betting advice from the SportsLine Projection Model.
The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 23-13 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning well over $800. The model also enters the 2021 NFL Playoffs on an incredible 119-77 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.
The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
- Washington vs. Buccaneers spread: Buccaneers -10
- Washington vs. Buccaneers over-under: 45 points
- Washington vs. Buccaneers money line: Buccaneers -500, Washington +400
- TB: Scored a touchdown in 42 of 61 trips inside the red zone this season
- WAS: 12-3 at home in the postseason during the Super Bowl era
Why the Buccaneers can cover
Despite being age 43, Tom Brady had one of his best regular seasons of his career. He completed 401 of 610 passes for 4,633 yards and 40 touchdowns. He was picked off 12 times and had a rating of 102.2. He threw for over 300 yards in seven games, including a season-high 399 yards against Atlanta in the season-finale. In his final three games of the season, Brady passed for 1,137 yards and 10 touchdowns.
The Bucs were 9-7 against the spread this season and have covered four of the last five games. Their point differential of plus-8.6 far exceeds Washington's plus-0.4.
Why Washington can cover
Washington's defense has been stellar this season and a big reason has been the play of cornerback Kendall Fuller, who has a team-high four interceptions on the season. He also has an interception in his last postseason appearance when he played for the Kansas City Chiefs in Super Bowl LIV. In Week 4, Fuller had two interceptions and two pass breakups. It was his first career multi-interception game. He has made 50 tackles, including 38 solo, with one tackle for loss and 11 pass breakups.
Also leading the defense is rookie safety Kamren Curl, who has 88 tackles, including 63 solo, with two sacks and three interceptions, including one he returned 76 yards for a touchdown. He also registered four tackles for loss. Curl's three picks are the most for a rookie in Washington since Chris Horton had three in 2008. Curl is the third player and first rookie in Washington history to have at least one interception, seven solo tackles and a quarterback hit in a single game, and the first to do it since London Fletcher in 2011.
How to make Washington vs. Buccaneers picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total. In fact, it's calling for 43 total points. It has also generated an against-the-spread pick that cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations. You can only get the pick here.
So who wins Buccaneers vs. Washington in the NFL Playoffs 2021? And which side of the spread cashes in well over 50 percent of simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Buccaneers vs. Washington spread to jump on Saturday, all from the advanced model that is up almost $7,900 on its NFL picks over the past five seasons, and find out.