NFL: Minnesota Vikings at Indianapolis Colts
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Tom Brady and Patrick Mahomes square off for the fourth time in their careers when the Tampa Bay Buccaneers host the Kansas City Chiefs in a marquee Week 12 matchup at Raymond James Stadium in Tampa, Fla. Brady, the 43-year-old six-time Super Bowl champ, has the 2-1 edge over Mahomes, the 25-year-old star who has been anointed as the face of the NFL moving forward. But Mahomes won the last matchup between the two. Sunday's game will be the first with Brady on the Buccaneers. 

For Sunday, William Hill Sportsbook has set the total for Brady's passing yards at 301.5 (-115 over and under) and the total for Mahomes' passing yards at 314.5 (-115 over and under). Those are just two of hundreds of different player prop bet opportunities for the Week 12 NFL schedule. Before making any any prop bets, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,800 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 19-10 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning almost $800. The model also enters Week 12 on an incredible 115-75 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

With the Week 12 NFL schedule for Sunday quickly approaching, the model has attacked the NFL player props from William Hill and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Week 12

After simulating every Week 12 game 10,000 times and examining the hundreds of player props from William Hill Sportsbook, the model loves Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray to go over 246.5 passing yards (-115) against the New England Patriots.

Murray is averaging 264.4 passing yards per game. He has thrown for more than 247 passing yards in six of 10 games this season. He'll face a Patriots defense that last week gave up 344 passing yards to Houston's Deshaun Watson.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Week 12

In addition, the model is high on a star quarterback to go under his passing yardage total. The model says this player provides huge value at this price. You can see who it is, and all of top NFL prop picks, here.

What star quarterback goes under his passing yardage total? And what other prop bets does the model love for Week 12? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Week 12 prop bets, all from the model that's up $7,800 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.