NFL: Minnesota Vikings at Indianapolis Colts
Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

With an ailing throwing shoulder, quarterback Kyler Murray leads the Arizona Cardinals against the Los Angeles Rams in an important NFC West showdown on Sunday. The dual-threat signal caller has been dealing with a right shoulder injury the last two games. Because of the injury Murray, has had just five total rushing attempts in the last two games, tying a career-low. On Sunday, he faces an Aaron Donald-led defense that ranks second in the NFL in total defense (296.7 yards per game allowed). Can you trust Murray with your Week 13 NFL player props?

William Hill Sportsbook has set the Over-Under for Murray's passing yards at 250.5. The Over-Under for Murray's passing attempts is 34.5 in the latest NFL prop bets. Those are just two of many NFL props for Week 13. Before making any NFL prop bets, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up more than $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 20-10 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning almost $900. The model also enters Week 13 on an incredible 116-75 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

With the Week 13 NFL schedule for Sunday quickly approaching, the model has attacked the NFL player props from William Hill and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Week 13

After simulating every Week 13 game 10,000 times and examining the hundreds of player props from William Hill, the model loves Kansas City Chiefs receiver Tyreek Hill to go over 74.5 receiving yards (-115) against the Denver Broncos

The field-stretching burner averages 92.8 receiving yards per game. That ranks third in the NFL behind Davante Adams and DK Metcalf

In addition, Hill has been on a roll. Last week, he torched the Buccaneers for seven catches for 203 yards and two touchdowns, all in the first quarter. He finished the game with 13 receptions for 269 yards and three scores. Over his last four games, he has 582 yards and eight touchdown catches.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Week 13

In addition, the model is high on a star quarterback to smash his passing yardage total. The model says this player provides huge value at this price. You can see who it is, and all of top NFL prop picks, here.

What star quarterback goes under his passing yardage total? And what other prop bets does the model love for Week 13? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Week 13 prop bets, all from the model that's up $7,900 on top-rated NFL picks, and find out.