NFL: Minnesota Vikings at Indianapolis Colts
Trevor Ruszkowski-USA TODAY Sports

In what could be a preview of Super Bowl LV, the Kansas City Chiefs and the New Orleans Saints collide in a must-see matchup on Sunday at Mercedes-Benz Superdome in New Orleans. The game marks the return of Saints quarterback Drew Brees, who missed the last four games with 11 fractured ribs and a punctured lung. He will square off against Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes, who is one of the leading candidates for the NFL MVP award after passing for a league-best 4,208 yards. 

For Sunday William Hill Sportsbook has set the over-under for Brees' passing yards at 243.5 (-115 over and under) and the over-under for Mahomes' passing yards at 319.5 (-115 over and under). Those are just two of hundreds of different player prop bet opportunities for Week 15 of the NFL season. Before making any NFL prop bets, you need to see what the SportsLine Projection Model has to say.

The model, which simulates every NFL game 10,000 times, is up almost $7,900 for $100 players on top-rated NFL picks since its inception five-plus years ago. It is a sizzling 22-11 on top-rated NFL picks this season, returning over $800. The model also enters Week 15 on an incredible 118-76 run on top-rated NFL picks that dates back to the 2017 season.

The model ranked in the Top 10 on NFLPickWatch three of the past four years on straight-up NFL picks and beat more than 95 percent of CBS Sports office pool players three times during that span. Anyone who has followed it is way up.

With the Week 15 NFL schedule for Sunday quickly approaching, the model has attacked the NFL player props from William Hill and found five strong bets. You can only see them here.

Top NFL player prop bets for Week 15

After simulating every Week 15 game 10,000 times and examining the hundreds of player props from William Hill, the model loves Brees to go under 243.5 passing yards (-115) against the Chiefs. The 41-year-old quarterback averages 244.0 passing yards a game. His 110.0 passer rating ranks third in the NFL, behind only Mahomes and Aaron Rodgers.

But Brees will be without top receiver Michael Thomas, who was placed on the IR on Saturday with an ankle injury. Over the last four games Thomas has 30 receptions for 343 yards. In addition, with Brees still recovering from the injuries, New Orleans may limit the chances of him getting hit by running the ball more than usual.

How to make NFL player prop bets for Week 15

In addition, the model is high on another star quarterback to go under his passing yardage total. The model says this player provides value at this price. You need to see the model's analysis before making any Week 15 prop bets.

What star quarterback goes under his passing yardage total? And what other prop bets does the model love for Week 15? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Week 15 prop bets, all from the model that's up almost $7,900 on NFL picks.