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Connor McDavid and the Edmonton Oilers look to even up the playing field when they host the Vegas Golden Knights in Game 4 of the 2025 Stanley Cup playoffs conference semifinals on Monday. Just two days after the Oilers pulled off a 5-4 overtime victory in Sin City for Game 2, the Golden Knights got revenge up in Alberta with a 4-3 win in Game 3. Puck drop at Rogers Place in Edmonton, Alberta, Canada is 9:30 p.m. ET.

Edmonton is a -120 favorite on the money line (risk $120 to win $100) in the latest Oilers vs. Golden Knights odds, while Vegas is a +100 underdog (risk $100 to win $100). The over/under for total goals scored is 6.5, and the Oilers are also -1.5 (+191) on the puck line. Before making any Golden Knights vs. Oilers picks, be sure to see the NHL predictions from SportsLine's proven model.

The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NHL game 10,000 times. It enters the second week of the conference semifinals of the 2025 NHL playoffs a combined 79-55 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks, returning more than $1,600 for $100 players. Anybody following at sportsbooks and on betting apps could have seen strong returns.  

Now, here are its best bets for Oilers vs. Golden Knights on Monday:

Golden Knights +1.5 (-235)

The model foresees another tight tilt after Games 2 and 3 were decided by one goal. Three of the last four games between these teams going back to the regular season have been decided by one goal, all occurring in the third period or later. The SportsLine model projects the Golden Knights will cover the puck line in over 70% of simulations.

You've seen one of the best bets for Oilers vs. Golden Knights on Monday. Now, get picks for every game from the model that enters the second week of the conference semifinals of the 2025 NHL playoffs a combined 79-55 on top-rated NHL puck-line and over/under betting picks.

Under 0.5 goals in first 10 minutes (+140)

Neither team has found the back of the net in the first 10 minutes of any game in this playoff series, and the model is calling for another lower-scoring game. The last time these teams scored in the first 10 minutes against each other was when Ryan Nugent-Hopkins found the back of the net at 2:24 in a 6-3 Oilers regular-season home win Dec. 14, 2024.

This prop bet is listed at +140 at DraftKings Sportsbook. Bet it now and get $200 in Bonus Bets instantly when you wager $5.

Want more NHL picks for Monday? Matt Severance is SportsLine's No. 1 NHL expert, entering the NHL playoffs on a 120-62 roll on NHL sides picks, returning $2,490 for $100 players. See his best bet for this matchup at SportsLine.

Evander Kane over 2.5 shots on goal (+120)

Kane's physicality has been a focal point of this playoff series, but he has also been generating scoring chances. He has registered 44 shot attempts and 20 shots on goal in the playoffs and has eclipsed 2.5 SOGs in four of his eight appearances this postseason.

Kane to register over 2.5 shots on goal is priced at +120 at BetMGM Sportsbook, where you can get up to $1,500 in bonus bets if your first bet loses.