Canada will try to pull off one more upset to win the gold medal when it faces 2016 silver medalist Sweden in the women's soccer final Thursday night at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. Canada advanced by beating Brazil and the USWNT to get reach the gold medal match, but has won just two of five games at the 2020 Olympic Games. Sweden has won all five while outscoring its opponents 13-3. Canada beat Chile in the Olympics 2020 group stage then beat Brazil in a shootout before converting a late penalty kick to beat the USWNT 1-0 on Monday. The Swedes cruised past Japan 3-1 in the quarterfinals and edged Australia 1-0 in its semifinal Monday.
Kickoff from National Stadium in Tokyo is set for 10 p.m ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Sweden as the -120 favorite (risk $120 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Sweden vs. Canada odds, while Canada is the +380 underdog. The over-under for total goals scored is set at 1.5. Before making any Canada vs. Sweden picks or 2020 Tokyo Olympic soccer predictions, you have to see what consummate soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has taken a close look at the Sweden vs. Canada matchup and revealed his Olympics soccer best bets. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the Olympic soccer odds and betting trends for Canada vs. Sweden:
- Sweden vs. Canada: Sweden -0.5 (-118)
- Sweden vs. Canada over-under: 1.5 goals (over -167, under +1250)
- Sweden vs. Canada money line: Sweden -120, Canada +380, Draw +200
- SWE: Fridolina Rolfo has 14 goals in 50 international matches
- CAN: Christine Sinclair is third all-time in NWSL goals with 51.
Why you should back Sweden
The Swedish team is highly confident and is hungry to win the gold after falling just short in a 2-1 loss to Germany at the 2016 Rio Games. Sweden is on a 15-game unbeaten streak, outscoring its opponents 46-7. It faces a Canada team that was outshot 17-5 and put just two shots on target in the semifinal against Team USA. Canada has scored five goals in its five games and has not put more than two shots on net in any of them. The Canucks will have trouble getting one past veteran Atletico Madrid goalkeeper Hedvig Lindahl, who has appeared in 172 matches.
Lindahl is protected by central defenders Magdalena Eriksson and Amanda Ilestedt, who both have more than 50 appearances for the national team. The Swedish attack is prolific, with striker Stina Blackstenius and wingers Fridolina Rolfo and Sofia Jakobsen all dangerous finishers. Blackstenius and Rolfo have combined for seven goals in the tournament, while Lina Hurtig has two off the bench. Captain Caroline Seger and fellow midfielder Kosovare Asllani have combined for 67 international goals, with the 35-year-old Seger's passing and vision driving the offense.
Why you should back Canada
The Canucks have displayed amazing resilience throughout the tournament. They also will be on a tremendous high after beating the USWNT for just the fourth time -- and the first time in more than 20 years. Canada has not been lighting up the scoreboard, but it has allowed just three goals in the five matches and just held powerful Brazilian and American teams off the score sheet. A defense powered by veterans Kadeisha Buchanan and Allysha Chapman and relentless midfielder Desiree Scott provides stout protection in front of goalkeeper Stepanie Labbe.
Canada also has strong incentive to improve on its bronze-medal finish in 2016 after losing 2-0 to eventual champion Germany in the semifinal. The squad is loaded with experience, with Christine Sinclair, the all-time leader in appearances (301) and goals (187), the driving force. Forwards Nichelle Prince and Janine Beckie have combined for 45 career goals, and Beckie has two of Canada's five goals in the tournament while Sinclair has one. Sweden comes in off a matchup against Australia where it held just 49 percent possession and a 9-8 edge in shots.
How to make Sweden vs. Canada or 2020 Tokyo Olympics picks
Green has examined the Sweden vs. Canada match from every angle, and he is leaning under on the goal total (1.5). He also has three confident best bets, including one that pays plus-money, and complete analysis of this Tokyo 2020 final matchup. He's only sharing those picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Canada vs. Sweden in Thursday's 2020 Olympics women's soccer gold-medal match? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Sweden vs. Canada final, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.