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Spain reached the knockout stage of the men's basketball tournament in each of the previous four Summer Olympics but had its hopes for gold squashed by the same opponent every time. After losing to Team USA in the quarterfinals of the 2004 Games, the Spaniards dropped back-to-back gold-medal matchups before falling in the semifinals at Rio in 2016. Spain attempts to halt the trend and post its first Olympic victory over Team USA in 13 tries when the teams clash in the quarterfinals of the men's basketball tournament at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics on Tuesday.

Tip-off at Saitama Super Arena is set for 12:40 a.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Team USA as a 12-point favorite in the latest USA vs. Spain odds, while the over-under for total points has been set at 179. Before finalizing any Spain vs. USA picks or Olympic basketball predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's Olympics expert, Mike Tierney, has to say.

A national sportswriter whose work appears in The New York Times and Los Angeles Times, Tierney has covered nine Olympic Games in person. At Rio in 2016, Tierney profited big-time. He told readers to bet over on Team USA's gold medal count (41.5) and over on Team USA's overall medal count (102.5). The result? 46 golds, 121 medals and two easy cashes.

And for the 2018 Winter Olympics in Pyeongchang, Tierney hit two of his three predictions: Germany (+200) to win the most gold medals and the United States winning under 10.5 gold medals (+110).

Now, with the 2020 Tokyo Olympics rolling on, Tierney has analyzed every angle of Tuesday's Team USA vs. Spain matchup and revealed his top Olympic basketball picks and predictions. He's only sharing those picks at SportsLine. Here are the Olympics 2020 odds and betting trends for Spain vs. Team USA:

  • Team USA vs. Spain spread: USA -12 
  • Team USA vs. Spain over-under: 179 points 
  • Team USA vs. Spain money line: USA -800, Spain +550 
  • USA: Team USA has won a medal in each of the 18 Olympic tournaments (15 gold, one silver, two bronze) in which it has participated 
  • SPA: Spain has medaled in each of the last three Summer Olympics (two silver, one bronze)

Why you should back Team USA

After having its Olympic winning streak halted at 25 games in its group-play opener by France, Team USA has been its usual dominant self. The team rebounded from the stunning 83-76 defeat by trouncing Iran and the Czech Republic by a combined 89 points. The Americans' last two Olympic wins over Spain were by single digits, but they've won by an average of 22.6 points while going 12-0 all-time against the Spaniards in the Summer Games.

Team USA has five players averaging double digits in points, with Jayson Tatum leading the way at 16.7 after recording a game-high 27 against the Czech Republic. Kevin Durant added 23 in that victory, making him the only member of the team to reach double figures in all three group-play contests. Bam Adebayo has proven he's capable of coming up with a big performance, as he recorded Team USA's only double-double of the Olympics thus far with 12 points and 10 rebounds in the loss to France, while Zach LaVine has scored 13 points in each of his last two games.

Why you should back Spain

Spain kicked off its preliminary round with double-digit victories over Japan and Argentina before falling to Slovenia 95-87 in a showdown for the top spot in Group C. The key to Spain's offense has been Ricky Rubio, who helped his country to the silver medal in the 2008 Games and bronze in Rio five years ago. The 30-year-old point guard has been the team's leading scorer in each game and finished with 26 points against Argentina after going 5-for-6 from beyond the arc.

At 41 and 36 years old, respectively, Pau and Marc Gasol aren't contributing offensively like they used to, but Spain is receiving solid contributions from several other players. After going nearly 21 minutes without scoring against Japan, Rudy Fernandez recorded eight points versus Argentina and went 4-for-9 from 3-point range in the loss to Slovenia to finish with 12 points. Sergio Llull has hit double digits in back-to-back contests, while Alberto Abrines was 4-for-7 from beyond the arc en route to a 14-point effort against Slovenia.

How to make Team USA vs. Spain picks at the 2020 Olympics

Tierney has taken a close look at the Team USA vs. Spain quarterfinal matchup from all angles and is leaning under on the point total. He's also found a critical X-factor that has him jumping on one side of the Spain vs. Team USA spread. He's only sharing his top picks and Olympics 2020 basketball predictions at SportsLine.

So who covers in the USA vs. Spain Olympics 2020 men's quarterfinal basketball game? And which critical X-factor do you need to know about? Visit SportsLine now to get Mike Tierney's predictions for the Tokyo 2020 Olympics, all from the renowned sportswriter who's covered nine Olympics in person and cashed big in both 2016 and '18, and find out.