The United States women's national soccer team can't afford to take its foot off the gas when it faces Australia on Tuesday in its group-stage finale at the 2020 Tokyo Olympics. Team USA needs a win or a draw at Kashima Stadium to assure advancement to the Tokyo 2020 quarterfinals after a crushing 3-0 loss to Sweden in the opener. The Americans rebounded with a 6-1 thrashing of New Zealand on Saturday, but there are concerns about the defense, and Australia has loads of talent in attack. The Aussies beat New Zealand 2-1 on Wednesday before a 4-2 setback to Sweden over the weekend. That puts both teams at 1-0-1, but the USWNT is in second place based on goal differential.
Kickoff is set for 4 a.m ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the USA as the -350 favorite (risk $350 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest USWNT vs. Australia odds, while Australia is the +750 underdog. The over-under for total goals scored is set at 3.5. Before making any Australia vs. USWNT picks or any 2020 Tokyo Olympics predictions, you have to see what consummate soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe. He went 4-0 on his picks for Saturday's match, including hitting on the USWNT to cover the 3.5-goal spread (+120) in the five-goal victory.
Now, Green has taken a close look at the USWNT vs. Australia matchup and revealed his best bets. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are the Olympics soccer odds and betting trends for Australia vs. USWNT:
- USWNT vs. Australia: United States -1.5 (-137)
- USWNT vs. Australia over-under: 3.5 goals
- USWNT vs. Australia money line: United States -350, Australia +750, Draw +450
- USWNT: Alex Morgan has 111 goals in 182 matches (0.61 per game) for the USA
- AUS: Sam Kerr had 63 goals in 83 games over her four seasons in the NWSL
Why you should back the United States
The Americans are 24-3-1 all-time against Australia and remain the No. 1 team in the world. They have a chip on their shoulders after they followed a fifth-place finish at Rio 2016 by laying an egg in the opener. They took it out on New Zealand, with Alex Morgan among the six scorers. The 32-year-old is one of 10 players with at least 100 appearances and one of nine with at least 20 career goals. Carli Lloyd, 39, is third all-time for the U.S. with 308 caps and fourth with 126 goals, while Morgan has 111 goals.
Megan Rapinoe and Christen Press have a combined 123 goals and are always scoring threats. Midfielders Lindsey Horan and Rose Lavelle both scored in Saturday's game, while Crystal Dunn is a playmaker from her fullback spot. The U.S. defense has looked vulnerable in Tokyo, but the unit led by Becky Sauerbrunn and Kelley O'Hara had been stellar. The Americans hadn't allowed a goal to a team other than the Swedes since November 2019, when it beat them 3-2. Team USA is 1-1-1 against Sweden and 14-0-0 against all others since then, with a 50-1 goal advantage.
Why you should back Australia
The Aussies haven't had a lot of success against the Americans, but the aging U.S. team has looked vulnerable. The Americans allowed 17 shots on goal and nine on target against Sweden and gave up some chances against and yielded a goal to an inferior New Zealand squad. The last time these teams met, in a 2019 friendly match, the Matildas took a 2-1 lead after halftime, but the USA stormed back to win 4-3. Sam Kerr leads a potent attack that could give the USWNT fits.
Kerr is one of the world's best strikers and has three goals in the first two games. She won the Golden Boot in the FA Women's Super League last season, leading Chelsea to the title, after a stellar career in the NWSL. She scored 21 goals in 22 games for the Blues and has 45 in 95 career matches for the Matildas. Kyah Simon and Emily van Egmond have combined for 49 career goals, and Arsenal's Caitlin Foord has great technical ability to link up with her fellow attackers.
How to make USWNT vs. Australia picks
Green has examined the Australia vs. USWNT match from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total (3.5). He also has two confident best bets and complete analysis of this Tokyo 2020 matchup. He's only sharing those 2020 Olympic soccer picks here.
So who wins USWNT vs. Australia? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Australia vs. USWNT, all from the soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.