Liverpool's victory on Thursday pushed it to the edge of the top four in the English Premier League, and it can move even closer when it visits West Brom on Sunday. The fifth-place Reds defeated Manchester United 4-2, while fourth-place Chelsea lost to Arsenal on Wednesday. That put Liverpool four points off Champions League qualification for next season. Chelsea faces third-place Leicester City on Tuesday, and the Reds are looking to pull within a point of the Blues with a victory on the penultimate weekend. West Brom lost 3-1 to Arsenal last Sunday to assure its relegation.
Kickoff is set for 11:30 a.m. ET in West Bromwich, England. William Hill Sportsbook lists Liverpool as the 1.5-goal and -450 money-line favorite (risk $450 to win $100) in its latest Liverpool vs. West Brom odds, while the over-under for total goals scored is 3.5. Before making any West Brom vs. Liverpool picks, check out the English Premier League predictions from SportsLine's Martin Green.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. In fact, Green has generated $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.
Now, Green has set his sights on Liverpool vs. West Brom and revealed his best bets. You can only see them over at SportsLine.
- Liverpool vs. West Brom spread: Liverpool -1.5 (-150)
- Liverpool vs. West Brom over-under: 3.5 goals
- Liverpool vs. West Brom money line: Liverpool -450, West Brom +1100, Draw +575
- Liverpool: Three Reds forwards are in the top 10 in the league in shots.
- West Brom: GK Sam Johnstone leads the league in saves with 145.
Why you should back Liverpool
The Reds (17-9-9, 60 points) have a game in hand on the teams they are chasing and will be highly motivated. The defending league champions have been riddled by injuries and want to salvage their season. The rousing victory at Old Trafford, Liverpool's first at the grounds in seven years, was sparked by Roberto Firmino's two first-half goals. Mohamed Salah scored in the late stages for his 21st goal, which is tied for the league lead. That powerful attack could have a field day Sunday against a West Brom team that has allowed a league-high 68 goals.
Liverpool is second in the league in possession time at 61.9 percent, while West Brom is last at 37.6, so the Reds should be able to dominate. The defense has been hit hard by injuries, but its 127 shots allowed is the eight-fewest in the league. Goalkeeper Alisson is fourth in the EPL in allowing 1.03 goals per game, saving more than 73 percent of the shots he faces. Meanwhile, the Baggies have taken the second-fewest shots in the league, with less than 32 percent on target.
Why you should back West Brom
The Baggies (5-11-19, 32 points) are playing for pride at this point after a 3-1 loss to Arsenal assured relegation, but they are 1-3-1 in the last five meetings with Liverpool. That includes a 3-2 victory in the 2018 FA Cup and a 1-1 draw at Anfield in their first meeting of this season in December. Semi Ajayi scored a late equalizer in that game, and he is one of seven West Brom players with multiple goals this season. The Baggies have scored four goals in their last three matches, and it's the first time they've scored in more than two straight since mid-January.
West Brom stunned Chelsea 5-2 last month, with Matheus Pereira scoring twice in added time of the first half. He is the team's top scorer with 10 goals and also has a team-best five assists. Four of his goals are on penalty kicks, tied for fifth in the league, so he might be able to draw a costly foul from the inexperienced Liverpool defense. The Reds take a ton of shots, ranking second in total attempts, but they put just 35 percent on net. If WBA can fill the lanes, goalkeeper Sam Johnstone (70.7 save percentage) can stop the ones that are on the mark.
How to make EPL picks for West Brom vs. Liverpool
Green likes the over on total goals and he's also locked in a strong best bet on one side. He's only sharing his best bets here.
So who wins West Brom vs. Liverpool? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the top picks for Liverpool vs. West Brom, all from the European soccer expert who has generated $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.