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Southampton and Leeds are separated by just two points in the standings, so it should be an entertaining day when the teams meet Tuesday in an English Premier League match. Southampton has not won an EPL game since Jan. 4, but it halted a six-game losing skid with a 1-1 draw against Chelsea on Saturday. The Whites lost 1-0 to Wolverhampton on an own goal by goalkeeper llan Meslier on Friday. The teams have not faced off since 2012.

Kickoff from Elland Road in Leeds is set for 1 p.m. ET. The latest Southampton vs. Leeds odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Leeds as the 0.5-goal and +128 money line favorite, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Leeds United vs. Southampton picks, check out the English Premier League predictions from SportsLine's Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated over $16,900 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has set its sights on Leeds United vs. Southampton and revealed his picks. You can only see them over at SportsLine.

  • Southampton vs. Leeds United spread: Leeds -0.5
  • Southampton vs. Leeds United over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Southampton vs. Leeds United money line: Southampton +220, Leeds +128
  • SOU: The Saints have six goals in the four games since the 9-0 loss to Manchester United.
  • LEE: The Whites have scored 10 goals over their last six games (3-3-0). 

Why you should back Leeds United

The Whites are one of the league's highest-scoring teams, as they love to push forward. Their 40 goals are the most in the EPL outside the top six in the table, and they had scored in five straight before being shut out by Wolves. Seven players have at least three goals, with Patrick Bamford leading the way with 12. He is one of three players with a team-high five assists.

Raphinha has made an immediate impact since coming over from France on transfer deadline day, having a hand in nine goals in his 19 games. Former MLS player Jack Harrison has scored six times and has four assists, and Leeds should find holes to exploit. Southampton is minus-9 in goal differential and has yielded 40, with 15 of those coming in the past five games.  

Why you should back Southampton

Leeds' risk/reward approach leads to numerous chances for opponents, and the Saints have the talent to exploit it. Japanese international Takumi Minamino has provided a spark for Southampton, netting the goal against Chelsea. That draw should provide confidence for Ralph Hasenhuttl's squad, and facing a leaky defense and mistake-prone goalkeeper Illan Meslier should benefit the Saints.  

Leeds has allowed 43 league goals this season, second-most in the Premier League. Southampton has firepower up front, led by top scorer Danny Ings, who has eight goals and has chipped in three assists. Che Adams can score or set up teammates, as evidenced by his four goals and four assists, and Nathan Redmond and Moussa Djenepo can be dangerous in the final third. 

How to make EPL picks for Leeds United vs. Southampton

Green has analyzed this matchup, and while he's leaning over the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one team. He's only sharing who it is here.

So who wins Southampton vs. Leeds United? And what are the best bets for this matchup? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Leeds United vs. Southampton picks, all from the European soccer expert who has generated over $16,900 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.