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Barcelona is aiming for its record 75th domestic trophy, but Atletico Madrid will be standing in its way when the teams face off Saturday in a Spanish Primera Division match at Camp Nou. The Catalans have won 28 La Liga titles, second all-time, but they trail leader Atletico by two points, along with 34-time champion Real Madrid, with four matches left. Atletico has not won a league game at Camp Nou since 2006, but it played to a 1-1 draw there on the final day to win the 2013-14 league title. Atletico has three wins in its last six matches, fighting to a 1-0 victory against bottom-dweller Elche last Saturday, while Barcelona has won four of its last five.

Kickoff from Barcelona is set for 10:15 a.m. ET. Barcelona is the 0.5-goal and -125 money-line favorite (risk $125 to win $100) in William Hill Sportsbook's latest Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona odds, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid picks, check out the La Liga predictions from soccer insider Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been uncanny. Green has generated $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has broken down Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid from every angle. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several odds and trends for Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona:

  • Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona spread: Barcelona -0.5 (-125)
  • Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona money line: Atletico +360, Barcelona -125, Draw +270
  • ATM: Marcos Llorente has three goals and three assists in the past four matches
  • BAR: Antoine Griezmann has scored five goals on 14 shots in his last five games

Why you should back Barcelona

Lionel Messi is the pride of the Catalans, and the Argentinian striker is still performing at a world-class level. The 33-year-old has led Barca to 10 league and four Champions League titles and is considered one of the best all-time. His scoring prowess is unmatched, and he leads the league in goals with 28, but his playmaking ability is what really sets him apart. He has nine assists (third in La Liga) and leads the league in every meaningful category for shot and goal creation. He has taken 173 shots this season, 63 more than the No. 2 player in the league.

Messi steers the ship, but Antoine Griezmann also has been making noise. The Frenchman has had a hand in 31 goals in all competitions, scoring 19 and adding 12 assists. Barca has 13 players with multiple goals, and it leads the league in goals (80), shots (516) and percentage of shots on target (40.7). It also possesses the ball more than 66 percent of the time and completes more than 89 percent of its passes. Atletico has beaten Barcelona 12 times in 53 all-time league meetings and has been outscored 21-7 in its last 10 league matches at Camp Nou.

Why you should back Atletico Madrid

Los Colchoneros come in with the confidence of having beaten Barcelona in two of their last three meetings. Atletico's 1-0 win in November was its first against Barcelona in league play since 2010, and it also came away with a 3-2 victory in the Spanish Supercopa in January 2020. Former Barcelona star Luis Suarez will be eager to outshine close friend Messi, and the Uruguayan has scored 19 goals in 28 matches. Atletico has outscored its past five opponents 11-3, and it puts more than 40 percent of its shots on target.

Suarez gets quality assistance from Marcos Llorente, who has scored 12 goals and is second in the league with 10 assists. Llorente is one of the league's fastest players and pairs with Angel Correa (seven goals, eight assists) to form a potent 1-2 punch behind the star striker. The Atletico defense has allowed 22 goals, the fewest in the league and 11 fewer than Barcelona. It has allowed just 100 shots on target in the 34 matches. Goalkeeper Jan Oblak leads the league with 17 clean sheets and is third in save percentage (79.0) while appearing in every game.        

How to make La Liga picks for Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona

Green is leaning over on the total (2.5) and he's also revealed three best bets, including a strong play on one side. He's only sharing them here.

So who wins Atletico Madrid vs. Barcelona? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the top Barcelona vs. Atletico Madrid picks, all from the European soccer expert who has generated $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.