Club America will be on a mission Thursday night when it visits Estadio Hidalgo to face Pachuca in the first leg of their quarterfinal matchup in the Mexican Liga MX playoffs. America missed out on a chance for the league's Clausura regular-season title and is eyeing a potential matchup with Cruz Azul down the line. But first it will need to get past a Pachuca team that has been on fire since a 2-0 loss to Las Aguilas in February. America's second-place finish put it straight to the quarterfinals, and it defeated Portland Timbers in the CONCACAF Champions League last Wednesday. Eighth-place Pachuca cruised past Chivas 4-2 in the Liguilla reclassification round Sunday.
Kickoff from Pachuca, Mexico, is set for 8 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Pachuca as the 0.5-goal and +145 money-line favorite (risk $100 to win $145) in its latest Club America vs. Pachuca odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Pachuca vs. Club America picks, check out the Liga MX predictions from SportsLine's Martin Green.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his soccer picks have been spot-on. In fact, Green has generated $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.
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Now, Green has broken down Club America vs. Pachuca in the Liga MX playoffs. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several odds and trends for Pachuca vs. Club America:
- Club America vs. Pachuca spread: Pachuca -0.5 (+150)
- Club America vs. Pachuca over-under: 2.5 goals
- Club America vs. Pachuca money line: America +185, Pachuca +145, Draw +220
- AME: Federico Vinas has 12 goals in 39 matches (22 starts) in two seasons with the team
- PAC: Roberto de la Rosa had 17 goals in 20 matches with Mexico's youth national teams from 2017-19
Why you should back Club America
America and Cruz Azul battled for the top spot in the Clausura all season, and Las Aguilas were handicapped by a forfeit. An ineligible player on the bench in a 2-0 win against Atlas was turned into a 3-0 loss. That has the table showing 14 goals allowed, but they yielded 11, tied for fewest, on the pitch. America will be rested after the 3-1 victory against Portland, and it has not lost to Pachuca in their past seven meetings (5-2-0). It has not lost a match in Pachuca since 2017.
Las Aguilas held Los Tuzos without a shot on target in their last meeting as they eased to a 2-0 victory on Feb. 28. America is stout on both ends and was plus-12 in goal differential in the Clausura, allowing just 0.86 goals per match. Pachuca scored 20 in the 17 matches and was plus-1. Henry Martin had 15 goals in 30 matches over the two campaigns, while Federico Vinas (seven goals) and Roger Martinez (five) also are dangerous options in front of the net.
Why you should back Pachuca
Los Tuzos also come in confident after a convincing win against Chivas, and they are unbeaten in their last four. Striker Roberto de La Rosa and center forward Ismael Sosa are a potent pair, and de la Rosa had two goals in the win against Chivas. They combined for 11 goals over the two seasons, and midfielder Erick Sanchez had four goals. Sanchez and de la Rosa, both 21-year-old products of the team's youth academy, have a strong rapport.
Pachuca will be desperate to advance to the semifinals, and it is peaking at the right time. It has scored 21 goals in going 7-2-1 over its last 10 matches, scoring at least once in each. That streak started immediately following that 2-0 loss to America, and it had not won a game in the Clausura before the run started (0-3-4). Los Tuzos allow just over a goal a game, and goalkeeper Oscar Ustari has 10 clean sheets in 32 starts and has a 75.9 save percentage.
How to make Liga MX picks for Club America vs. Pachuca
Green has analyzed this matchup and is going over the total 2.5 goals, and he's also revealed his best bets and analysis for Thursday's matchup. He's only sharing his top picks here.
So who wins Pachuca vs. Club America? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the top picks for Club America vs. Pachuca, all from the proven soccer expert who has generated $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.