After both teams ended January with a defeat, Real Madrid and Atalanta have enjoyed plenty of success since the calendar changed to February. Los Blancos have won all four of their matches and posted three consecutive clean sheets, while Atalanta has recorded three victories and two draws in its five matches this month. The clubs attempt to continue their strong play when Atalanta hosts Real Madrid in the first leg of the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League Round of 16 on Wednesday. Real Madrid has won this tournament a record 13 times but has been eliminated in this round in each of its last two appearances.
Kickoff from Gewiss Stadium in Bergamo, Italy is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. The latest Atalanta vs. Real Madrid odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Atalanta at +135 on the money line, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Real Madrid vs. Atalanta picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proprietary European soccer model.
Created by two Norwegians -- professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim -- the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine in 2019, the algorithm is up more than $8,900.
The model also made some strong calls in the final group stage of the Champions League, correctly predicting RB Leipzig (+150) defeating Manchester United, Sevilla (+135) knocking off Rennes and Liverpool playing to a draw (+275) with Midtjylland.
Now, the model has set its sights on Atalanta vs. Real Madrid. You can visit SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are several odds and trends for Real Madrid vs. Atalanta:
- Atalanta vs. Real Madrid Spread: Atalanta -0.5
- Atalanta vs. Real Madrid over-under: 2.5 goals
- Atalanta vs. Real Madrid money line: Atalanta +135, Real Madrid +195
- ATA: Atalanta has won three straight matches and is unbeaten in its last five (3-0-2)
- REAL: Real Madrid has recorded three consecutive clean sheets
Top Champions League predictions for Atalanta vs. Real Madrid
The model is leaning over 2.5 goals in Wednesday's matchup between Atalanta and Real Madrid. Los Blancos' lengthy injury list includes top goal scorer Karim Benzema (adductor), who has scored 17 times overall this season and four in the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League.
However, Real Madrid still has some healthy scoring options - including Casemiro, who is second on the team with six tallies and scored in Saturday's 1-0 Spanish Primera Division victory over Real Valladolid. Luka Modric (four goals) and Vinicius Junior (three) have gone a while without scoring but should receive more opportunities with so many others sidelined.
Luis Muriel leads Atalanta with 17 goals and has tallied in three of his last four matches. Meanwhile, Duvan Zapata has scored in two of his last three outings and is second on the squad with 13 goals. Muriel and Zapata have combined to record half of Atalanta's 10 goals during the group stage of the 2020-21 UEFA Champions League, which is one of the reasons the model is leaning toward the over on Wednesday.
How to make Champions League picks for Atalanta vs. Real Madrid
The model is leaning over on total goals and it has also has locked in a strong money line pick for Atalanta vs. Real Madrid. You can only get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Real Madrid vs. Atalanta? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Atalanta vs. Real Madrid money line has all the value, all from the proprietary European soccer model that's up more than $8,900.