Porto hasn't reached the semifinals in the UEFA Champions League since 2004, when it posted a pair of clean sheets against Deportivo La Coruna. The Dragons went on to defeat Monaco 3-0 and capture the crown in the competition for the second time in team history. In order to advance to the semifinals of the 2021 UEFA Champions League, Porto will need a huge performance in the second leg of its quarterfinal tie against Chelsea on Tuesday. The Portuguese side put itself in a precarious position as it suffered a 2-0 loss to the Blues in the opener of their matchup last Wednesday.
Kickoff is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. The latest Chelsea vs. Porto odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Chelsea as a 0.5-goal favorite, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Porto vs. Chelsea picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's proprietary European soccer model.
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Created by two Norwegians -- professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim -- the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Since coming to SportsLine in 2019, the algorithm is up over $8,200.
Now, the model has set its sights on Chelsea vs. Porto. You can visit SportsLine now to see its picks. Here are several odds and trends for Porto vs. Chelsea:
- Chelsea vs. Porto spread: Chelsea -0.5
- Chelsea vs. Porto over-under: 2.5 goals
- Chelsea vs. Porto money line: Chelsea -120, Porto +340, Draw +255
- CFC: The Blues have lost only two of their last 16 Champions League matches (10 wins, four draws)
- POR: The Dragons have lost back-to-back Champions League contests following a six-game unbeaten streak
Top Champions League predictions for Chelsea vs. Porto
The model is leaning under 2.5 goals in Tuesday's matchup between Chelsea and Porto. While opponents have had difficulty producing goals in their Champions League meetings, the Blues haven't exactly been filling the net. Chelsea has given up a total of two goals in its nine matches in the Champions League, but has scored two or fewer in four straight contests and five of its last six. Olivier Giroud leads the Blues with six goals in the Champions League, but four of them came in one game, while Timo Werner has gone 12 straight matches over all competitions without a tally and has recorded only two goals in his last 33 outings.
Porto also has had its issues of late when it comes to offense. The Dragons have registered fewer than three goals in 16 consecutive contests and leading scorer Sergio Oliveira (17 goals) has tallied only once in his last six outings. Mehdi Taremi, who is second on the club with 12 goals, scored in a Primeira Liga match against Tondela on Saturday but had been blanked in his previous eight games, which is one of the reasons the model is leaning toward the under on Tuesday.
How to make Champions League picks for Porto vs. Chelsea
The model also has locked in a strong money line pick for Chelsea vs. Porto. You can only get that pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Chelsea vs. Porto? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Porto vs. Chelsea money line has all the value, all from the proprietary European soccer model that's up over $8,200.