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Defending champion Bayern Munich faces a familiar foe on Wednesday when it hosts Paris Saint-Germain in the first leg of its quarterfinal matchup of the 2021 UEFA Champions League. Bayern is without its top scorer, but the Bundesliga leaders have plenty of options and beat PSG 1-0 in August's UCL final to win its sixth European title. The Parisians are in a bit of a funk, dropping two of their last three league games, and Lille beat PSG 1-0 on Saturday to move to the top of the Ligue 1 table.      

Kickoff is set for 3 p.m. ET at Allianz Arena in Munich, Germany. Bayern Munich is a 0.5-goal and -106 money-line favorite in the latest PSG vs. Bayern Munich odds at William Hill Sportsbook, and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before you lock in your Bayern Munich vs. PSG picks, be sure to see the UEFA Champions League predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's soccer guru Martin Green.

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After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated over $18,200 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has set his sights on Bayern Munich vs. PSG. You can head to SportsLine to see his picks. Here are several odds and trends for PSG vs. Bayern:

  • PSG vs. Bayern Munich spread: Bayern -0.5
  • PSG vs. Bayern Munich over-under: 2.5 goals
  • PSG vs. Bayern Munich money line:  PSG +265, Bayern -106, Draw +280
  • PSG: PSG has scored at least one goal in 42 of its last 43 Champions League fixtures
  • FCB: Thomas Muller leads the Bundesliga in shot-creating actions (111)

Why you should back Bayern Munich 

Bayern Munich will be without injured striker Robert Lewandowski, who has 42 goals in 36 games, but the Reds have scored 79 times in 27 league games. Fifteen players have goals this season, and two former PSG players should play big roles on Wednesday, with Kingsley Coman and Eric Maxim Choupo-Moting among those expected to pick up the slack. Coman scored the winner in last year's final and has six goals and 11 assists in all competitions this year, and Choupo-Moting has seen limited starts but has two goals in the Champions League.    

Thomas Muller remains one of the best off-the-ball players in the world and can set up or score goals. He leads the Bundesliga with 15 assists and has scored 10 times, and he's also set up three goals in the Champions League. Bayern has not lost in its last 19 UCL games and is 7-1-0 this year with 24 goals. Since the 2016-17 tournament, Bayern is averaging 2.8 goals per game, the most of any club over that span. The Reds also rely on Joshua Kimmich (13 total assists) and Serge Gnabry (10 total goals) to create offense, and PSG has yielded a goal in four straight games.

Why you should back PSG 

The 1-0 loss to Bayern in last year's final is the only time in its last 43 Champions League games that PSG has failed to score, and it will be out for revenge on Wednesday. The Parisians have scored 18 goals in their eight Champions League matches this year. Kylian Mbappe and Neymar have each scored six times, and Mbappe leads Ligue 1 with 20 goals in 26 matches. Neymar has scored six goals in just 13 games in league play and appears to finally be healthy.       

Mbappe also can set up his teammates, posting nine assists in all competitions, and midfielder Angel Di Maria is one of the main playmakers, setting up 10 goals overall. Di Maria also is one of the seven PSG players who have scored at least four goals in league play. A dangerous front that also includes Moise Kean (15 goals in all competitions) will be facing a Bayern defense that has conceded at least one goal in 20 of its last 27 league games. 

How to make picks for Bayern Munich vs. PSG

Green has broken down this matchup, and while he's leaning over the total, he has discovered a critical X-factor that has him jumping all over one side of the spread. Head to SportsLine to see his analysis and top picks

So who wins PSG vs. Bayern Munich? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Bayern Munich vs. PSG money line has all the value, all from the European soccer expert who has generated over $18,200 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and find out.