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Arsenal will try to break its slide against Aston Villa and extend a five-game unbeaten run when the teams meet Friday in an English Premier League match at Emirates Stadium. Arsenal (3-2-3) is desperate for points, as it sits 12th in the table despite not losing in its past five matches. It has played to consecutive draws, and the defense looked suspect as the Gunners tied 2-2 with Crystal Palace on Monday. But Aston Villa (3-1-4) has lost consecutive games and sits in 13th place, and its defense hasn't looked any better. Both teams have yielded 12 goals in their eight matches, and both have talent up top, so it should be an open and entertaining affair.  

Kickoff from London is set for 3 p.m ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Arsenal as the -111 favorite (risk $111 to win $100) in its latest Arsenal vs. Aston Villa odds, with Villa the +305 underdog. A draw is priced at +260 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you make any Aston Villa vs. Arsenal picks or English Premier League predictions, you need to check out what European soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have hauled in stunning profits. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has taken a close look at Arsenal vs. Aston Villa from every possible angle and just released his coveted EPL picks and best bets. You can visit SportsLine now to see Green's Premier League picks. Here are several EPL odds and betting lines for Aston Villa vs. Arsenal:

  • Aston Villa vs. Arsenal spread: Arsenal -0.5  
  • Aston Villa vs. Arsenal over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Aston Villa vs. Arsenal money line: Arsenal -111, Aston Villa +305, Draw +260 
  • ARS: Six of its seven goals scored this season have come at the Emirates 
  • AVL: Aston Villa has put 14 of its 27 shots on target in the past two meetings (52 percent)

Why you should back Arsenal

The Gunners need some results to show for a massive spending spree over the summer. Martin Odegaard was brought over from Real Madrid to join an attack that also features Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, Nicolas Pepe and Emile Smith Rowe. Aubameyang leads the team with three goals, and he and Alexandre Lacazette scored in the 2-2 draw with Crystal Palace on Monday. The Gunners have the fifth-most shots in the league (111), while Aston Villa is 14th (94), and opponents are putting just 27.6 percent on target against Arsenal, the fifth-lowest in the EPL.   

Arsenal spent a lot of that money to bolster things on the back end, adding Ben White and goalkeeper Aaron Ramsdale. That appeared to be paying off before Monday's slip-up, with White and Gabriel holding a firm line along with Kieran Tierney and newcomer Takehiro Tomiyasu. Arsenal had allowed just one goal in its previous five matches in all competitions, and Ramsdale has an 81.3 save percentage and three clean sheets in his five starts. Before the current three-game losing streak against Aston Villa, the Gunners had won seven in a row.

Why you should back Aston Villa

Aston Villa has not conceded a goal in the past three meetings against the Gunners. Arsenal's back end struggled against the counter-attack Monday, and that could be bad news against this attack. Villa has scored 12 times in its eight matches, led by Danny Ings with three goals and John McGinn with two. Ollie Watkins is one of the six other goal-scorers, and he and Ings will be a handful for the Gunners defense.  

Emiliano Martinez was an Arsenal reserve before coming over to man the Aston Villa net last season, and he has shut out his former team in consecutive games. The Argentinian was third in the league with 15 clean sheets in his first campaign with Villa and faces an Arsenal team that has scored seven goals in its eight matches. Dean Smith's squad will be desperate to get back to the form that saw it beat Manchester United 1-0 and thrash Everton 3-0 over the past month.

How to make EPL picks for Arsenal vs. Aston Villa

Green has analyzed Arsenal vs. Aston Villa match from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also has revealed two confident best bets, including a strong money-line pick, and has a complete analysis of this English Premier League match. He's only sharing his expert Premier League picks and predictions at SportsLine.

Who wins Aston Villa vs. Arsenal? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Arsenal vs. Aston Villa match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.