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Chelsea won't take anything for granted on Saturday when it travels to take on Brentford in an English Premier League match. The Blues (5-1-1) sit atop the EPL table and could need to win to keep their spot by the time the early games are decided. Brentford (3-3-1) is the story of the Premier League season so far, with just the one loss in its first season in the top flight since 1947. The teams have met four times since then, with Chelsea winning three and drawing one in FA Cup competitions. The Bees are looking for a shocking result in this west London Derby but will have to find a way through a Blues defense that has been nearly impossible to crack.

Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m ET. Chelsea is the -165 favorite (risk $165 to win $100) in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Brentford vs. Chelsea odds, and Brentford is the +525 underdog. A draw is priced at +270 and the over-under for total goals is 2.5. Before making any Chelsea vs. Brentford picks or English Premier League predictions, you need to see what European soccer insider Martin Green has to say.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have hauled in stunning profits. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has taken a close look at Chelsea vs. Brentford from every possible angle and released his coveted picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see his EPL picks. Here are several betting odds and trends for Brentford vs. Chelsea:

  • Brentford vs. Chelsea spread: Chelsea -0.5 (-170)
  • Brentford vs. Chelsea over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Brentford vs. Chelsea money line: Chelsea -165, Brentford +525, Draw +270   
  • BRE: Ivan Toney has 72 goals and 23 assists in his past 128 club matches 
  • CHE: Timo Werner has 35 goals and 17 assists in his last 75 club matches

Why you should back Chelsea

Even while dealing with some injuries, manager Thomas Tuchel has plenty of talent to form a stout lineup. That lineup will include Romelu Lukaku, who Tuchel said will play in this matchup despite his status looking questionable earlier in the week. Speedy Timo Werner and Kai Havertz are also likely to play key roles in the attack, and each has one goal so far. The Chelsea midfield could be the key to this one, with Jorginho and Mason Mount capable of creating scoring chances. N'Golo Kante also is expected to return from a positive COVID test to clean up in front of the defense.

Tuchel has lost just once in 12 Premier League away games since taking over, and the Blues defense has been stellar under his direction. It has yielded just three goals, tied for fewest in the league, and Brentford doesn't have a lot of scoring punch. The Bees have scored 10 goals and have held the ball just 41 percent of the time, tied for second-lowest in the league. They also have the second-fewest shots with 72, with just 20 on target. Chelsea has allowed 22 shots on net, fourth-fewest in the league, and Edouard Mendy is one of the league's top goalkeepers.

Why you should back Brentford

Brentford management has built a strong team based on advanced analytics, and it has been surprisingly competitive in its first foray into the Premier League in 75 years. Four days before the draw with Liverpool, Brentford beat Oldham 7-0 in the League Cup, and it has league wins against Arsenal and West Ham. The Bees are allowing less than a goal per game, and three of the six they have conceded came in that Liverpool match. Their only loss was a 1-0 setback to Brighton. They also should be well-rested but will have to guard against losing their momentum. 

The fans should be beyond boisterous at a match of this caliber, and the Bees have taken seven points from their last three games. They are seventh in the EPL table, ahead of teams like Arsenal and Tottenham. Yoane Wissa scored on the final kick in a 2-1 win against West Ham to propel Brentford into the break in style. Wissa has scored twice in four matches, and Ivan Toney and Bryan Mbeumbo each have two goals. 

How to make EPL picks for Brentford vs. Chelsea

Green has examined the Brentford vs. Chelsea matchup from every angle, and he is going over on the goal total. He also provides three confident best bets, all with plus-money payouts, and has a complete analysis of this English Premier League match. He's only sharing those EPL picks at SportsLine.

Who wins Chelsea vs. Brentford? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Brentford vs. Chelsea match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.