raheem-sterling-getty-images-cbs.jpg
Getty Images

Chelsea will be looking to get back on track Friday when they return to Stamford Bridge to host Luton Town in an English Premier League match. A 1-1 draw with Liverpool, a match they probably should have won on their home turf, stirred optimism for Chelsea fans. That went out the window with a 3-1 loss to West Ham last Sunday. The Blues should be able to regain some confidence against the newly-promoted Hatters. Luton Town are playing their first Premier League season since 1992. They should be well-rested, however. After last week's home opener was postponed as Kenilworth Road renovations continue. Luton Town lost their opener 4-1 at Brighton. Chelsea has won all three meetings between the teams since 1994, all in the FA Cup, including a 3-2 triumph in March of 2022.

Friday's kickoff in London is set for 3 p.m. ET. The latest Chelsea vs. Luton Town odds list the Blues as -380 favorites (risk $380 to win $100), while the Hatters are +1100 underdogs. The oddsmakers list a draw at +440 and have the over/under for total match goals set at 2.5. Before locking in any Luton Town vs. Chelsea picks or English Premier League bets, you need to see the EPL predictions and best bets from proven SportsLine soccer insider Jon "Buckets" Eimer. 

Eimer is a high-volume bettor who has vast knowledge of leagues and players across the globe. Since joining SportsLine, he has covered the English Premier League, Serie A, the FA Cup and much more. Since the end of last year's Men's World Cup, Eimer has been red-hot on English Premier League picks, going 57-27-4 for a profit of $3,450 for $100 bettors. Overall, he is 178-169-8 (+18.91) on men's soccer picks over that span. Anyone following him is way up.

Don't miss CBS Sports Golazo Network's Morning Footy, now in podcast form! Our crew brings you all the news, views, highlights and laughs you need to follow the Beautiful Game in every corner of the globe, every Monday-Friday all year long

Now, Eimer has broken down the Chelsea vs. Luton Town matchup from all sides and locked in his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Luton Town vs. Chelsea:

  • Chelsea vs. Luton Town spread: Chelsea -1.5 (-130)
  • Chelsea vs. Luton Town over/under: 2.5 goals 
  • Chelsea vs. Luton Town money line: Chelsea -380, Luton Town +1100, Draw +450 
  • CHL: They have allowed a goal in 11 straight league matches (1-3-7) 
  • LT: They haven't scored more than once in their past 10 (3-3-4) 
  • Chelsea vs. Luton Town pick: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Chelsea

The Blues have a clear edge in talent, and they are a tough team to beat at Stamford Bridge. They have been in a serious rut, but the opener indicated that new manager Mauricio Pochettino is making progress. Against a talented Liverpool side, Chelsea held the ball for 65% of the match and had a 4-1 edge in shots on target. They probably deserved a victory, and last week's loss wasn't as lopsided as the score indicates. They held a whopping 76% possession and outshot West Ham 17-12.

Ben Chilwell and Nico Jackson both have been all over the pitch in the first two games. Jackson leads the team with six shots (two on target). Jackson and Raheem Sterling (six goals last season) have led the attack the past two weeks. The Blues should have a big advantage in midfield, with the likes of Moises Caicedo, Enzo Fernandez and Conor Gallagher all strong two-way players. Carney Chukwuemeka scored last week's goal but is out injured, and Axel Disasi got one in the opener. See which team to pick here.

Why you should back Luton Town

The Hatters struggled defensively against Brighton, yielding 27 shots (11 on net). But that was their strength last season, and the time off has given manager Rob Edwards time to make adjustments. It also has allowed the players to mull their performance and make some changes before their second game on the big stage. Carlton Morris didn't look overwhelmed in his EPL debut and scored the lone goal on a penalty kick. He scored 20 and added six assists for Luton Town in 2022-23.

The last league match between these teams came in 1991, and Luton Town won that one 2-0. Now they face a Chelsea side that has one victory in its past 14 games (1-5-8). The Hatters conceded 39 goals in 46 matches last season, allowing a league-low 122 shots on target (2.65 per match). Elijah Adebayo scored seven goals, and Chiedozie Ogbene has joined the team after scoring eight goals with Rotherdam in 2022-23. Luton Town are a gritty side that will be grinding to stay in the top flight. See which team to pick here.

How to make Chelsea vs. Luton Town EPL picks

Eimer has broken down Friday's Chelsea vs. Luton Town match from every angle. He is leaning Under and has two strong picks, including a confident play on a goal-scorer, plus his full breakdown of the English Premier League matchup. He's only sharing his EPL picks and analysis at SportsLine.

So who wins Luton Town vs. Chelsea in Friday's English Premier League match, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Chelsea vs. Luton Town match, all from the soccer expert who is up well over 34 units on his EPL picks since last year's Men's World Cup, and find out.