Brazil is hoping for a sense of deja vu on Monday when it hosts Peru in the semifinals of the 2021 Copa America in Rio de Janeiro. Brazil cruised past Peru 3-1 in the final of the 2019 event and is looking to defend its title after last year's tournament was canceled. Brazil has won the Copa America nine times and is in the semifinals for the 30th time, while Peru has won it twice and is in its 16th semifinal. The Brazilians are ranked third in the world and are 35-10-5 all-time against Peru (No. 27), and they won the group-stage matchup 4-0 on June 17.
Kickoff is set for 7 p.m ET at Nilton Santos Olympic Stadium. William Hill Sportsbook lists Brazil as the -500 favorite (risk $500 to win $100) on the 90-minute money line in its latest Peru vs. Brazil odds, and Peru is the +1400 underdog. The over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before you lock in any Brazil vs. Peru picks or 2021 Copa America predictions, you have to see what soccer insider Martin Green is saying.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his expert soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season. He has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.
Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at Brazil vs. Peru. You can head to SportsLine to now see his Copa America 2021 picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Peru vs. Brazil:
- Peru vs. Brazil spread: Brazil -1.5
- Peru vs. Brazil over-under: 2.5 goals
- Peru vs. Brazil money line: Peru +1400, Brazil -500, Draw +550
- PERU: Gianluca Lapadula has 61 goals in seven seasons in Italy's Serie A
- BRA: Brazil has outscored its opponents 27-4 since the start of 2020
Why you should back Brazil
The Selecao are tough to deal with on both ends, with the likes of Neymar, Richarlison and Roberto Firmino up front, an elite defense and two of the world's best goalkeepers. Neymar is No. 2 on the all-time scoring list for the Brazilian national team with 68 goals, nine behind the legendary Pele. He had 15 goals and seven assists for Paris Saint-Germain last season. Brazil has put up eight goals in the past two games against Peru. Richarlison scored and Neymar posted a hat trick in a 4-2 World Cup qualifying win in October, and both also scored in the group-stage victory.
Fred and Fabinho are both solid options to complement midfield leader Casemiro, a relentless player end-to-end who plays a key role in front of the defense. That defense features Paris Saint-Germain's Marquinhos and captain Thiago Silva of Chelsea in a middle that is the envy of most teams. Ederson led the Premier League with 19 clean sheets for champion Manchester City, but Liverpool's Alisson was the starter at the 2018 World Cup and is often the top choice. Both are always on top of their games as they compete for the No. 1 spot for 2022 in Qatar.
Why you should back Peru
La Blanquirroja come in off a rousing victory against Paraguay, and while they have beaten Brazil just five times, two of those have come in the last seven meetings. Peru also is motivated to avenge the 2019 loss and the lopsided setback in the group stage. It won this event in 1975 and routed two-time champion Chile 3-0 in the semis in 2019. The Brazil loss is Peru's only setback in the past six games, and it has beaten strong Ecuador and Colombia sides in that stretch. The Peruvians have a lot of young talent that will be eager to knock off one of the world's top teams.
Peru relies on experienced midfielder Christian Cueva, who had eight goals and seven assists in just 15 matches in the Saudi Arabian Pro League last season. Gianluca Lapadula should step up in the absence of the suspended Andre Carillo, and he scored critical goals against Ecuador and Paraguay in this tournament. Santiago Ormeno, who scored 15 with Puebla in Liga MX last season, is likely to take over Carillo's spot.
How to make Peru vs. Brazil 2021 Copa America picks
Green has taken a look at the Brazil vs. Peru matchup from all angles and is leaning over on the goal total. He also has revealed his in-depth Copa America 2021 analysis and two best bets. He's only sharing his expert picks at SportsLine.
So who wins Brazil vs. Peru? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Peru vs. Brazil, all from the soccer expert who has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the world, and find out.