Matchday 30 of the 2019-20 English Premier League season concludes on Monday when Manchester City welcomes Burnley to Ethiad Stadium. Manchester City cruised to an easy 3-0 victory over Arsenal in its first game back from a long layoff caused by the coronavirus pandemic. However, the defending champions will be tested on Monday when they square off against Burnley at 3 p.m. ET. Burnley is unbeaten in its last seven Premier League fixtures, which includes victories over Manchester United and Leicester City.
The English Premier League odds from William Hill list Manchester City as a massive -850 money line favorite (risk $850 to win $100), while Burnley is going off at +2000. The draw is +800 and the over-under for total goals scored is 3.5. Before you lock in any English Premier League picks or predictions for Manchester City vs. Burnley, see what SportsLine's proprietary soccer model has to say.
Created by two Norwegians -- professional poker player and sports bettor Jonas Gjelstad, and economics and engineering expert Marius Norheim -- the model analyzes worldwide betting data and exploits market inefficiencies, helping its followers cash in. Over the last three years, the algorithm is up an eye-popping 13,800 percent.
The model also made some huge calls in the English Premier League on Wednesday, correctly predicting the profitable draw between Aston Villa and Sheffield United (+230), as well as Manchester City's (-320) victory over Arsenal. Anyone who has followed it is way up.
Now, the model has set its sights on Monday's Premier League fixture and revealed its picks for Manchester City vs. Burnley over at SportsLine.
Top English Premier League predictions for Monday
The model is leaning under 3.5 goals in Monday's matchup between Manchester City and Burnley. Manchester City boasts the English Premier League's most potent scoring attack, having scored 71 goals in 29 matches. Manchester City's offensive attack is led by forward Sergio Aguero, who's recorded 16 goals this season. In addition to a potent scoring attack, Manchester City features a dynamic defense that has recorded a shutout in five of its last seven games across all competitions.
Burnley also features a strong back line, giving up just two goals in its last five fixtures. In their 4-1 defeat against Manchester City earlier this season, Sean Dyche's side registered two shots on target while maintaining just 24 percent of the possession. In addition, the Clarets have scored just two goals in their last five matches against Manchester City, one of the main reasons the model is leaning towards the under on Monday.
How to make English Premier League picks for Monday
The model has also revealed a strong money line pick for Manchester City vs. Burnley. You absolutely need to see it before you lock in your own picks.
So who should you back in the English Premier League on Monday? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Manchester City vs. Burnley money line has all the value, all from the proprietary European soccer model that's up an eye-popping 13,800 percent.
English Premier League schedule
Monday, June 22
Manchester City v. Burnley (3 p.m. ET)