Getty Images

Liverpool head to Villa Park on a mission to start a more satisfying chapter in their English Premier League campaign, but Aston Villa hope to author an upset. The Reds (6-4-4) have been on a roller-coaster in the follow-up to their down-to-the-wire battle with Manchester City last season. They finished as runners-up, one point behind the champions, but now they are sixth in the Premier League table. They will focus for now on moving closer to a top-four spot, and they are seven points behind current Tottenham and 17 behind league leader Arsenal. Villa (5-3-7) will be missing star goalkeeper Emiliano Martinez as he celebrates his World Cup heroics for champion Argentina back in his homeland. The Villans are 12th in the Premier League table but just four points behind the Reds.

Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Liverpool as -155 favorites on the money line (risk $155 to win $100) in its latest Aston Villa vs. Liverpool odds. Villa are +400 underdogs, a draw is priced at +290, and the over/under for total goals is 2.5. Before making any Liverpool vs. Aston Villa picks, make sure you check out the English Premier League predictions and best bets from soccer insider Jon Eimer.

Eimer, widely known as "Buckets," is a high-volume bettor who has vast knowledge of leagues and players across the globe. Since joining SportsLine, Eimer has covered the English Premier League, Serie A, the FA Cup and much more. He is 50-25-1 on his Premier League picks for SportsLine in 2022, for a profit of more than $1,800 for $100 bettors. He is 13-4 on his past 17 EPL picks.

Now, Eimer has broken down the Liverpool vs. Aston Villa matchup from every angle and just locked in his Premier League picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Aston Villa vs. Liverpool:

  • Liverpool vs. Aston Villa spread: Liverpool -0.5 (-155)
  • Liverpool vs. Aston Villa over/under: 2.5 goals
  • Liverpool vs. Aston Villa money line: Aston Villa +400, Liverpool -155, Draw +290
  • AV:: Aston Villa have scored 11 goals in their past five matches
  • LIV: Liverpool are 8-2-0 in the past 10 meetings in all competitions
  • Liverpool vs. Aston Villa picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Liverpool

The Reds should be able to take advantage of Villa's goalkeeping issues, as they lead the Premier League in shots on target (87) and are second in total attempts (240). Robin Olsen is the backup, but he might not be fit, and he yielded four goals on just six shots in his only EPL appearance this season. If he can't go, the choice will be between untested teenagers – 19-year-old Filip Marschall or Oliwier Zych, 18. Mohamed Salah, who has six goals this season and has 19 or more in five straight seasons, will relish the opportunity. He has five goals in seven matches against the Villans. 

Roberto Firmino is the top scorer with seven goals, but an injury could keep him out. Darwin Nunez, who has five EPL goals, would likely replace him. The Reds have scored 28 goals and conceded 17. Fullbacks Andrew Robertson (team-high four assists) and Trent Alexander-Arnold (one goal) will bombard the box with their crosses. Liverpool also will control the pace, as they rank second in possession at 62% while the Villans average just 47.5%, seventh-lowest in the league.

Why you should back Aston Villa

The Villans have come up with a few huge victories against the Reds in recent years. They thrashed them 7-2 in a league match in October 2020 and 5-0 in a League Cup meeting in 2019. Villa are 4-1-2 in their seven home matches, with an 11-6 edge in goals, while Liverpool are 1-2-3 in away games and have been outscored 9-7. Villa have been pretty strong on the back end, though missing Martinez will be a big blow. Still, they have allowed the seventh-fewest shots in the Premier League (170) and eighth-fewest on target (58). 

Villa have scored nine goals in winning three of their past four EPL matches, including a 3-1 victory against Manchester United. Danny Ings scored both goals in a 2-1 victory against Brighton in their last league match, and Leon Bailey and Jacob Ramsey both scored against Manchester United. Ings has a team-high five goals, Bailey has three and Ramsey and Ollie Watkins have two. Watkins led the team with 11 goals last season, and Emi Buendia had four goals and six assists. 

How to make Aston Villa vs. Liverpool picks

Eimer has broken down Monday's Liverpool vs. Aston Villa match from every angle. He is leaning Over on the goal total and has three other confident best bets, including a plus-money play on a goal scorer. He's only sharing those picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Aston Villa vs. Liverpool in Monday's Premier League match? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Liverpool vs. Aston Villa match, all from the soccer expert up more than $1,800 on his Premier League picks, and find out.