Manchester City faces a tough task in Saturday's English Premier League clash when it visits a Brighton & Hove Albion squad that's on a five-game unbeaten run. Manchester City (5-2-1) is the reigning league champion and is off to another strong start, scoring a lot of goals and conceding few. City beat Burnley 2-1 in its last league outing and cruised to a 5-1 win against Club Brugge in the Champions League on Tuesday. Brighton (4-3-1) finished 16th last season but is sitting fourth in the EPL standings, with its only loss a 2-0 setback to Everton. Brighton has played to consecutive scoreless draws, with Arsenal and Norwich City.
Kickoff is set for 12:30 p.m. ET. Caesars Sportsbook lists Manchester City as the -240 favorite (risk $240 to win $100) in its latest Brighton vs. Manchester City odds, with Brighton the +675 underdog. A draw is priced at +360 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you make any Brighton vs. Manchester City picks or English Premier League predictions, you need to check out what European soccer insider Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have hauled in stunning profits. Green has generated well over $36,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.
Now, Green has taken a close look at Manchester City vs. Brighton & Hove Albion from every possible angle and released his coveted EPL picks and predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see all of Green's soccer picks and analysis. Here are several Premier League odds and betting lines for Brighton vs. Manchester City:
- Brighton vs. Manchester City spread: Manchester City -1.5
- Brighton vs. Manchester City over-under: 2.5 goals
- Brighton vs. Manchester City money line: Brighton +675, Man City -240, Draw +360
- BHA: Neal Maupay has 22 goals in 78 matches with the team
- MC: GK Ederson has posted a clean sheet in half his games (76 of 152) with Manchester City
Why you should back Manchester City
The Citizens will be eager to make up for a 3-2 loss to the Seagulls in May, when they played a man down after a red card 10 minutes in. Still, they held the lead until the 70th minute, and that loss broke an eight-game win streak against Brighton. The Seagulls have tried to play an open style in the matchups, and it hasn't worked. They scored twice in those eight meetings, while the Citizens put up 22 goals. And City is finding the net often this year, scoring five goals or more five times in their last 11 games across all competitions.
Man City leads the league in possession (65.3 percent), with midfield maestro Kevin De Bruyne leading an attack that features the likes of Gabriel Jesus (two goals, four assists), Ilkay Gundogan, Jack Grealish and Phil Foden. The defense has conceded just three goals, tied for fewest in the league, and has yielded just 10 shots on target. It has allowed 49 shots overall, 32 fewer than any other team.
Why you should back Brighton & Hove Albion
The Seagulls have been playing well under Graham Potter, and while they have only scored eight goals, they have conceded just five. They are playing with a lot of passion after finishing near the bottom of the table last season and have confidence off the victory in May. Manchester City is just plus-1 in goal differential on the road this season, conceding all three goals and scoring just four of its 16 away from home. Brighton is fifth in the league in possession (57.4) and held the ball for 65 percent of the match against Norwich last weekend.
Brighton has allowed the fifth-fewest shots in the league (90) and leads the EPL in percentage of shots allowed on target (20.0). It has allowed 18 on net, second-fewest only to City's 10. Neal Maupay (four goals) and Leandro Trossard (one goal, one assist) lead the front line, and Trossard scored one of the goals in the May victory. Shane Duffy (one goal), captain Lewis Dunk and Dan Burn lead a back line that has conceded just twice in its past six games in all competitions.
How to make EPL picks for Brighton vs. Manchester City
Green has broken down Saturday's showdown from every angle, and he is leaning over on the goal total. He also has revealed two confident best bets, including a strong pick with a plus-money payout, and has a complete analysis of this English Premier League match. He's only sharing his Premier League picks at SportsLine.
Who wins Brighton vs. Manchester City? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Manchester City vs. Brighton, all from the European soccer expert who has generated more than $36,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.