Newcastle United look to strike first when they host Southampton in the first leg of their English League Cup semifinal matchup on Tuesday. Newcastle are coming off a 2-0 triumph over Leicester City and are seeking just their second appearance in the EFL Cup final. Southampton, who were runners-up in 2017, advanced with a surprising 2-0 victory against Manchester City in the quarterfinals.
Kickoff at St. Mary's Stadium is set for 3 p.m. ET. The Magpies are the -145 favorites (risk $145 to win $100) in the latest Newcastle vs. Southampton odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Saints are +420 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +240 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Newcastle vs. Southampton picks or EFL Cup bets, make sure you check out the English League Cup predictions and best bets from proven SportsLine soccer insider Martin Green.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.
Green is 16-11 on his soccer picks in 2023 after going 23-23-1 on his World Cup picks and crushing his tournament predictions on the Early Edge. He backed the USMNT to advance (+100), Kylian Mbappe to win the Golden Boot (+900) and Netherlands, England and Argentina all to win their groups (+210) among his correct picks.
Now, Green has broken down the Newcastle vs. Southampton matchup from every angle and just locked in his picks and EFL Cup predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Southampton vs. Newcastle:
- Newcastle vs. Southampton money line: Magpies -145, Saints +420, Draw +240
- Newcastle vs. Southampton over/under: 2.5 goals
- Newcastle vs. Southampton spread: Magpies -0.5 (-145)
- NEW: The Magpies have allowed more than one goal just once in their last 20 matches across all competitions
- SOU: The Saints have yielded 11 goals in their last four meetings with the Magpies
- Newcastle vs. Southampton picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back Newcastle United
The Magpies are unbeaten in their last four meetings with the Saints, all of which took place in the Premier League. Newcastle outscored Southampton 11-6 while recording three wins in that span. The most recent triumph came in November, when the Magpies cruised to a 4-1 victory on the road.
Miguel Almiron scored one of his team-leading nine EPL goals in that contest while Brazilian midfielder Bruno Guimaraes has found the back of the net in each of the last two meetings between the teams. The 28-year-old Almiron notched an assist against Leicester in the EFL Cup quarterfinals, setting up Joelinton's goal in the 72nd minute that sealed the victory. Defender Dan Burn, who has failed to score in 36 Premier League games since joining the Magpies in February 2022, converted against Leicester in the 60th minute to open the scoring.
Why you should back Southampton
The Saints' defense also has played well recently, giving up a total of four goals in five contests across all competitions this month. In their first four EFL Cup games, Southampton has yielded only two goals -- one of which was an own goal against Lincoln City in a 2-1 victory in the fourth round. The Saints then posted a clean sheet in the quarterfinals versus Manchester City, who lead the Premier League with 53 goals in 20 matches.
Che Adams is second on Southampton with four goals in 19 games during Premier League play and has matched that total in three EFL Cup contests. The 26-year-old forward scored twice in the Saints' 3-0 triumph over Cambridge in their first match of the competition and repeated the feat in the win against Lincoln City. Neither Sekou Mara nor Moussa Djenepo have scored for Southampton in the EPL this season, but the forwards both converted in the upset quarterfinal victory over Man City.
How to make Southampton vs. Newcastle picks
Green has broken down the EFL Cup semifinal from every angle. He's locked in his two best bets, including one that would pay plus mone. You can only see his EFL Cup picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Southampton vs. Newcastle on Tuesday? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Newcastle vs. Southampton have all the value, all from the soccer expert who has generated almost $33,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and find out.