valentin-castellanos-getty-images-nycfc.jpg
Getty Images

It's a key Eastern Conference battle Sunday when the New York Red Bulls host NYCFC in the Hudson River Derby at Red Bull Arena. NYCFC (10-5-4) is second in the conference, four points behind leader Philadelphia. The Red Bulls (9-6-5) are in third, trailing the Boys in Blue by two points. NYCFC has won two straight, including a 1-0 victory against FC Dallas on Wednesday, while the Red Bulls come in off a 1-1 draw with FC Cincinnati last Saturday.     

Kickoff in Harrison, N.J. is set for 5 p.m. ET. The Red Bulls are the +135 favorites (risk $100 to win $135) on the 90-minute money line in Caesars Sportsbook's latest Red Bulls vs. NYCFC odds. NYCFC is the +195 underdog, a regulation draw is priced at +250 and the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before making any NYCFC vs. New York Red Bulls picks or locking in any 2022 Hudson River Derby best bets, you really need to see the MLS predictions from soccer insider Martin Green.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since then, his soccer picks have been stunningly accurate. Green has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season, and he is 10-7 on his MLS picks this season. He has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has broken down the New York Red Bulls vs. NYCFC matchup from every angle and just locked in his picks and MLS predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for NYCFC vs. New York Red Bulls:

  • Red Bulls vs. NYCFC spread: Red Bulls -0.5 (+130)
  • Red Bulls vs. NYCFC over-under: 2.5 goals 
  • Red Bulls vs. NYCFC money line: NYRB +135, NYCFC +195, Draw +250
  • NYRB: It has been held off the score sheet five times in its 20 matches 
  • NYCFC: It has been shut out once since going scoreless in an 0-1-1 start 
  • Red Bulls vs. NYCFC picks: See picks here.

Why you should back the Red Bulls

NYRB has been struggling a bit lately but should come in focused for this one. New York is seeking its fourth straight victory in the Hudson River Derby. The teams met three times in MLS play over a one-month span last fall, and the Red Bulls took a pair of 1-0 victories and a 1-1 draw. They yielded more than 60 percent possession in the past four meetings but outshot NYCFC 51-41 over those matches. And this year, the Red Bulls have Scottish striker Lewis Morgan, who has scored nine league goals.

Morgan came over from Inter Miami in the offseason, and he scored the opening goal in the U.S. Open Cup victory. Luquinhas also had a goal in that match and has five this season, while Omir Fernandez had the other and has two goals and three assists in league play. The Red Bulls typically sit back and let their opponent hold the ball, but they get plenty of opportunities to score. They have the fifth-most shots in the league (269) and have allowed just 182, the second-fewest in MLS.

Why you should back NYCFC

The Boys in Blue lead the East with 38 goals and also have allowed just 21 in 20 matches. Valentin Castellanos leads MLS with 12 goals, Talles Magno and Heber both have five, and Magno also has five assists. NYCFC controls its matches, ranking second in MLS with 58.8 percent possession while Red Bulls are third from the bottom at just 44.4. That has been evident in the past three meetings, with NYCFC holding the ball for 66, 65 and 63 percent. 

NYCFC hasn't been great on the road, going 3-2-3 with a plus-1 goal differential, but the Red Bulls have taken just 13 points from their nine at home. NYRB also has been held off the score sheet in three of its past eight, while the Boys in Blue have scored in 10 straight games. Sean Johnson leads MLS with nine clean sheets, and NYCFC has allowed the third-fewest shots in the league (201). It allowed four (one on target), in a 1-0 win against FC Dallas on Wednesday.   

How to make New York Red Bulls vs. NYCFC picks

Green has analyzed the Red Bulls vs. NYCFC match from every angle, and he is going under on the goal total. He also provides another confident prop bet with a plus-money payout and has a full breakdown of the match. He's only sharing his expert MLS picks at SportsLine.

So, who wins the NYCFC vs. Red Bulls match? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for New York Red Bulls vs. NYCFC, all from the soccer expert who has generated more than $37,000 for $100 bettors over the past four seasons, and find out.