A second straight trip to the final is on the line for Spain when they take on Italy in the semifinals of the 2022-23 UEFA Nations League on Thursday. Spain posted a 2-1 victory over Italy in the 2020-21 semis but were unable to capture the title as they lost by the same score to France. Italy edged Belgium 2-1 to take third place in the competition. The Spaniards and Italians both scored eight goals while posting 3-2-1 records in the group stage of this event, with Italy posting clean sheets in each of their last two matches.
Kickoff at De Grolsch Veste in Enschede, Netherlands is set for 2:45 p.m. ET. The Spaniards are the +135 favorites (risk $100 to win $135) in the latest Spain vs. Italy odds from Caesars Sportsbook, while the Italians are +225 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +205 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Italy vs. Spain picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine soccer expert Martin Green has to say.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper and has covered the game worldwide. Since last year's World Cup, Green has been profitable in multiple areas on his soccer picks, including the Champions League (+5.13 units), the FA Cup (+3.07), the EFL Cup (+3.64) and the Europa League (+1.60).
Now, Green has broken down Spain vs. Italy from every angle and just revealed his picks and predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Green's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Italy vs. Spain:
- Spain vs. Italy money line: Spain +135, Italy +225, Draw +205
- Spain vs. Italy over/under: 2.5 goals
- Spain vs. Italy spread: Spain -0.5 (+122)
- SPA: The Spaniards are 1-0-1 under new manager Luis de la Fuente
- ITA: The Italians have lost only two of their last 16 UEFA Nations League matches
- Spain vs. Italy picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why you should back Spain
The Spaniards have won just one of their last five contests across all competitions but concluded the group stage of the UEFA Nations League with a 1-0 triumph over Portugal. Alvaro Morata scored the lone goal in the match after netting the lone tally in Spain's 1-1 draw against the Portuguese in their opener of the event. The 30-year-old striker is tied with midfielder Pablo Sarabia for the team lead with two goals in the competition.
Sarabia helped Spain to a pair of victories in the UEFA Nations League, converting in a 1-0 win against Switzerland and a 2-0 triumph over the Czech Republic. The 31-year-old split the 2022-23 season between PSG of Ligue 1 and Wolves of the English Premier League, scoring just one goal over 27 combined matches. The Spaniards have one of the top set-up men in the competition in winger Marco Asensio, who is tied for third with three assists after registering nine tallies and six assists in 31 games for Real Madrid of La Liga this season. See which team to pick here.
Why you should back Italy
Like Spain, the Italians also needed a win in their final group stage game to advance. They came through, posting a 2-0 victory against Hungary to finish one point better than the Hungarians in their group. In that triumph, forward Giacomo Raspadori opened the scoring in the 27th minute and defender Federico Dimarco added insurance in the 52nd minute.
The goal by Raspadori was his second of the competition, tying him with midfielder Lorenzo Pellegrini for first on the team. The 23-year-old Raspadori netted only two goals in 25 matches for Napoli this past season. He helped Italy to another victory three days prior to the triumph over Hungary, scoring the lone goal in the team's 1-0 victory against England. See which team to pick here.
How to make Italy vs. Spain picks
Green has broken down the UEFA Nations League match from every angle. He is leaning Over on the goal total and has locked in two confident best bets, one of which offers a plus-money payout, while also offering a full breakdown of this matchup. You can only see his UEFA Nations League picks and analysis at SportsLine.
So who wins Italy vs. Spain on Thursday, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Spain vs. Italy have all the value, all from the soccer expert who knows the sport inside and out, and find out.
