Stoke City vs. Manchester United odds: Premier League picks from proven model

You'll want to know what the Soccerbot has to say about Manchester United-Stoke City. Getty Images

Manchester United welcomes Stoke City to Old Trafford on Monday at 3 p.m. ET on the NBC Sports Network. The United are a -525 money line favorite, meaning you'd have to wager $525 to win $100. The Over-Under, or total number of goals oddsmakers think will be scored, is three, unchanged from the open. 

Manchester is a two-goal favorite.

Before you bet Manchester United vs. Stoke City, you need to see what renowned European soccer expert David Sumpter has to say.

Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote "Soccermatics," the book that shows how math works inside the game. Together with experienced analysts, Professor Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.

The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In the two-and-a-half seasons since it was born, the Soccerbot is up 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds.

Seriously -- it's up 1,800 percent.

Now, the Soccerbot has set its sights on the EPL fixture between Manchester United and Stoke City, and its picks are in. You can see them over at SportsLine.

We can tell you that the model likes the total going Under, but what about betting the money line and against the spread?

Sumpter knows this is a defining game for both clubs involved. Manchester United, which currently sits 15 points behind league-leading Manchester City, has only secured three points once in its last four Premier League fixtures. However, the Red Devils looked sharp in their last league outing, which resulted in a 2-0 victory at Everton. 

Manchester United will be encouraged by the weekend's results that saw Chelsea draw at home against Leicester City, while Manchester City lost 4-3 to Liverpool. With a win on Monday, United can cut the lead at the top to 12 points.

Jesse Lingard has been in superb form as of late, scoring eight goals in his last 10 games. And Antonio Valencia could return to the Red Devils' back line against Stoke. The right-back has missed almost a month with a hamstring injury but trained in Dubai with the club this week.

Stoke, meanwhile, is in real danger of relegation this season. The Potters currently sit in 18th place in the standings and are winless in their last three Premier League fixtures.

But just because Manchester United is in better form doesn't mean they will cover the spread against Stoke City. 

The Potters have held Manchester United to three consecutive draws, and have only lost to United by more than two goals once in their last nine overall league meetings. 

The Red Devils have never defeated the Potters in three straight Premier League matches and have only beaten Stoke by more than two goals once in their last nine overall league meetings.

Sumpter's model has identified strong value both on the money line and against the spread.

So which side should you back in the Manchester United-Stoke City game on Monday? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the money line and spread for Manchester United-Stoke City you need to be all over, all from an expert whose model has made an incredible 1,800 percent return on the bookmakers' closing odds, and find out.

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