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Robert Lewandowski and Poland will be desperate for a victory when they face Sweden on Wednesday in their final group stage match at Euro 2020. The world's top striker scored a critical equalizer to forge a 1-1 draw with Spain on Saturday, but a 2-1 loss to Slovakia in its Group E opener means Poland must win to reach the knockout stage. The Swedes, meanwhile, have already sealed a spot in the next round. They topped Slovakia 1-0 on Friday after a scoreless stalemate with Spain in its first game.   

Kickoff from Saint Petersburg is scheduled for noon ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Poland as the slight +150 favorite (risk $100 to win $150), with Sweden at +188, in its latest Sweden vs. Poland odds. The over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before you consider your Poland vs. Sweden picks or Euro 2020 predictions, you have to see what European soccer insider Martin Green is saying.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season. He's having a great Euro 2020 as well, with his picks generating over $800 in profit for $100 bettors through Monday's action. Green has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at Sweden vs Poland. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Poland vs Sweden:

  • Sweden vs. Poland spread: Poland -0.5
  • Sweden vs. Poland over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Sweden vs. Poland money line: Sweden +188, Poland +150, Draw +230
  • SWE: Marcus Berg has 150 goals in 330 career matches in club play across five leagues.
  • POL: Robert Lewandowski has scored at least 20 goals in nine of his past 10 club seasons.

Why you should back Poland

The Poles will always have a chance with Lewandowski on their side. The 32-year-old has scored seven goals and has two assists in 13 matches with the national team this year. He lit up the Bundesliga this past season, scoring a record 41 goals for league champion Bayern Munich. He hasn't had much support recently, but he has quality around him, with Karol Swiderski likely to start opposite the star. The 24-year-old Swiderski scored 11 goals and had six assists for Greek squad PAOK last season and has two goals in six matches for Poland.   

Poland will go for broke in this one, and it has scored in 10 of its past 11 games. Piotr Zielinski is a creative link between the midfield and the attackers and can also score. He had eight goals and 10 assists with Napoli and is the second-highest active scorer for Poland with seven goals in 60 matches. The squad also will benefit from the return of field general Grzegorz Krychowiak from a red-card suspension. He is a fierce player from end to end who will be there to protect the defense, and Poland has a veteran goalkeeper in Juventus starter Wojciech Szczesny.

Why you should back Sweden

The Swedes have struggled to find the net in the group stage, but they come in on a seven-game unbeaten run. They have scored 15 goals over their last nine matches, with a 4-2 loss to world champion France serving as their only defeat. Sweden's Alexander Isak is a rising superstar, and he has had moments of brilliance but has yet to find the net. The 21-year-old was named La Liga's young player of the year after scoring 17 goals for Real Sociedad last season. 

Isak is expected to be joined by Marcus Berg up front, and the veteran has 18 goals over the past two seasons in the Russian Premier League. He has 22 goals in 74 caps with Sweden, including four this year. The Swedes face a Poland defense that has looked out of sorts. Poland has recorded one clean sheet in its past nine games, allowing 15 goals and scoring 13. And with the Poles pushing forward, the opportunities should be plentiful on the counter-attack.   

How to make Sweden vs. Poland Euro 2020 picks

Green has taken a deep dive into the Poland vs. Sweden matchup, and he is leaning over on the goal total (2.5). He also has revealed three strong best bets, including two with plus-money payouts. He's only sharing those picks on SportsLine.

So who wins Sweden vs. Poland in Wednesday's Euro 2020 matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Poland vs. Sweden, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.