david-alaba-austria.jpg
Getty Images

Spain will try to maintain its momentum on Monday when it takes on a resilient Croatia team in a Round of 16 match at the 2020 European Championships in Copenhagen. The Spaniards finally found some offense as they blitzed Slovakia 5-0 to finish second in their group with their first win at Euro 2020. They scored one goal in the first two games. Croatia also found its scoring touch, with world-class midfielder Luka Modric essentially willing the 2018 World Cup finalists into the knockout round with a 3-1 victory against Scotland. Spain has won the event three times, sharing the record with Germany, which plays England on Tuesday.

Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists Spain as the -167 favorite (risk $167 to win $100) in its latest Croatia vs. Spain odds from William Hill Sportsbook, while the over-under for total goals scored is set at 2.5. Before locking in any Croatia vs. Spain picks or Euro 2020 predictions, you have to see what European soccer insider Martin Green is saying.

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season. He's having a great Euro 2020 as well, with his picks generating over $800 in profit for $100 bettors through the group stage. Green has his finger on the pulse of the game all over the globe.

Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at Spain vs Croatia. You can head to SportsLine now to see his 2020 Euro picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Croatia vs Spain:

  • Spain vs. Croatia spread: Spain -0.5 (-160)
  • Spain vs. Croatia over-under: 2.5 goals (under -150, over +120)
  • Spain vs. Croatia 90 minute money line: Spain -167, Croatia +550, Draw +270 
  • SPA: Spain leads Euro 2020 with 69 percent possession 
  • CRO: Bruno Petkovic has six goals in 12 starts for the national team

Why you should back Spain

The Spaniards are on an 11-game unbeaten run (5-6-0) and have proven they can score with the best teams. They are ranked sixth in the world, eight spots ahead of Croatia, which is 3-2-5 in its past 10 matches. Spain has scored at least three goals four times in its past 10 matches, and Croatia has not fared well against FIFA top-10 teams. It has been outscored 15-5 against such teams in losing all six matches against them since the start of 2020. The return of captain Sergio Busquets from COVID isolation was a huge boost for the team against Slovakia.

Pablo Sarabia was the team's best player in the group finale, scoring a goal, assisting on one and seeing his deflected shot batted in for an own goal. Striker Alvaro Morata has struggled with confidence but has had plenty of chances. He had 17 goals and 10 assists for Juventus last season and is due to break through. Gerard Moreno has been one of the team's best players since his October 2019 call-up, leading Spain with five goals and five assists over that span. Spain has five clean sheets and allowed multiple goals just once during its 11-game run.  

Why you should back Croatia

With Modric pulling the strings, the Croats alway have a chance. He was the best player on the field against Scotland, and he won't let the team go down without a fight. The 2018 Ballon d'Or winner scored the go-ahead goal Wednesday with a mind-bending shot off the outside of his foot, and the 35-year-old's field vision remains second to none. He created more than three shots per game with La Liga runner-up Real Madrid last season. Mateo Kovacic (Chelsea) and Marcelo Brozovic (Inter Milan) join the captain to form one of the world's best midfield units.    

The midfielders will have plenty of options up top, though all-time top scorer Ivan Perisic is out after testing positive for COVID-19. That means Ante Rebic, who scored 11 goals with AC Milan last season, should take on the attacking responsibility. Bruno Petkovic scored 14 goals with Dinamo Zagreb last season and his physical presence could cause problems for Spain's defense. Spain's attack has been all or nothing, scoring 18 goals in four matches and netting seven in the other 10 over its past 14. Croatia has allowed six goals in its eight matches in 2021. 

How to make Spain vs. Croatia Euro 2020 picks

Green has taken a look at the Spain vs. Croatia matchup from all angles, and he's locked in two strong best bets with plus-money payouts. He's only sharing his Euro 2020 picks on SportsLine.

So who wins Croatia vs. Spain in Monday's Euro 2020 matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Spain vs. Croatia, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.