Spain and Sweden finished first and second, respectively, in Group F of the 2020 UEFA European Championship qualifying round, combining for 14 wins, nine draws and just one loss. The setback took place in the first match between the teams, with Spain rolling past Sweden 3-0 in June 2019. The Swedes battled the Spanish to a 1-1 draw four months later and now look to register a victory when the teams meet Monday in the Euro 2020 group stage. Sweden hasn't defeated Spain since July 2006, sustaining three losses and a draw after posting a 2-0 triumph in the qualifying round for Euro 2008.
Kickoff from La Cartuja Stadium in Seville is scheduled for 3 p.m. ET. The latest Spain vs. Sweden odds from William Hill Sportsbook list Spain as 1.5-goal and -300 money-line favorites, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Sweden vs. Spain picks or Euro 2020 predictions, be sure to see what European soccer insider Martin Green is saying.
After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.
Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at Spain vs. Sweden. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Sweden vs. Spain:
- Spain vs. Sweden spread: Spain -1.5
- Spain vs. Sweden over-under: 2.5 goals
- Spain vs. Sweden money line: Spain -300, Sweden +950, Draw +380
- ESP: The Spanish have registered 39 wins and five draws in 48 matches in Seville
- SWE: The Swedes have won just one of their last eight UEFA Euro non-qualifiers (2-0 vs. France, 2012)
Why you should back Spain
The Spanish are determined to reverse their recent fortunes in international play, as they were unable to get past the Round of 16 in both the 2018 World Cup and Euro 2016 after failing to advance out of the group stage of the 2014 World Cup. Spain hopes to continue its recent success in the all-time series against Sweden, as it is unbeaten in its last four meetings (three wins, one draw) and has allowed only two goals in those matches.
Sergio Ramos and Rodrigo were not included on Spain's Euro 2020 roster by manager Luis Enrique, so much will be expected of Gerard Moreno and Alvaro Morata. Moreno scored 23 goals for Villarreal in 2020-21, putting him behind only Lionel Messi (30) in La Liga. Morata had a strong season for Juventus of Serie A, as he registered 11 goals while adding nine assists in 32 matches, and he also tallied in Spain's 3-0 qualifying triumph over Sweden in June 2019.
Why you should back Sweden
While Spain's goal differential during qualifying was an impressive plus-26, Sweden was no slouch in that category. The Swedes, which recorded six wins and three draws in 10 contests, netted 23 goals while surrendering nine. Sweden enters Monday's match having posted five consecutive victories, with the first four being clean sheets.
Sweden has outscored its opponents 10-1 during the winning streak, with veterans Sebastian Larsson and Marcus Berg each tallying twice. The 36-year-old Larsson is the only member of the roster to have scored in an European Championship, doing so in a 2-0 victory over France in 2012. Two years Larsson's junior, Berg was the leading scorer for Krasnodar of the Russian Premier League in 2020-21 with nine goals in 21 matches.
How to make Sweden vs. Spain Euro 2020 picks
Green has taken an intensive look at the Spain vs. Sweden matchup. He is leaning over on the goal total (2.5), and he has locked in two best bets, including one that returns plus-money. He's only sharing those picks on SportsLine.
So who wins Sweden vs. Spain in Monday's Euro 2020 matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for the Spain vs. Sweden Euro 2020 match, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.