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Two of the top surprises of the 2016 tournament will square off Saturday when Wales faces Switzerland in a group-stage match in the 2020 UEFA European Championship. Wales was a semifinalist in 2016, while the Swiss reached the quarterfinals, and they will try to repeat that success starting Saturday in Baku, Azerbaijan. Euro 2020 is starting almost a year late because of the pandemic. Switzerland won its group in qualifying, going 5-2-1 in the eight matches, and is the 13th-ranked team in the world. Wales ranks 17th and went 4-2-2 to finish second in its group behind Croatia.

Kickoff is scheduled for 9 a.m. ET. Switzerland is the +110 favorite (risk $100 to win $110) in the latest Wales vs. Switzerland odds, and the over-under for total goals is 1.5, according to William Hill Sportsbook. Before locking in any Switzerland vs. Wales picks, be sure to see the UEFA Euro 2021 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's soccer insider Martin Green.  

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at Wales vs. Switzerland. You can head to SportsLine now to see the picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Switzerland vs. Wales:

  • Wales vs. Switzerland spread: Switzerland -0.5 
  • Wales vs. Switzerland over-under: 1.5 goals (over -170, under +140)
  • Wales vs. Switzerland money line: Wales +320, Switzerland +110, Draw +195
  • WAL: Gareth Bale has 33 goals in 92 appearances with the national team
  • SWI: Hari Seferovic has 50 goals over the past three years with Benfica

Why you should back Switzerland

The Swiss have reached the knockout stage in their last three major tournaments and will be fired up to improve on their 2016 run. They should get plenty of opportunities against a Wales squad that yields possession and tries to score on the counter-attack. Hari Seferovic and Mario Gavranovic can be dangerous up front and Breel Embolo can make a difference as a starter or off the bench. Seferovic had 22 goals this season for Benfica, while Gavranovic scored 17 for Dinamo Zagreb and had a hat trick in a 7-0 drubbing of Liechtenstein in the team's final tune-up .

Embolo is one of four Borussia Monchengladbach players who have key roles, along with midfielder Denis Zakaria, defender Nico Elvedi and goalkeeper Yann Sommer. Zakaria should join Granit Xhaka (Arsenal) and Xherdan Shaqiri (Liverpool) in a creative midfield that can find the open spaces. Sommer has the second-most clean sheets in the Bundesliga over the past three seasons with 26 and is in the top tier of European goalkeepers. Switzerland scored 19 goals and yielded just six in qualifying, while Wales scored just 10 times in its eight matches.  

Why you should back Wales

The Welsh don't make major tournament appearances too often, but they tend to make noise when they do. They reached the semifinals at Euro 2016 before losing to eventual winner Portugal and made the quarterfinals in their only World Cup appearance in 1958. Switzerland does not have a great history at the Euros, reaching the quarterfinals in 2016 and bowing out in the group stage in its previous three appearances. The Swiss defense has had issues, yielding four goals in five games in 2021, and the team was 0-3-4 before its current six-game win streak.    

Gareth Bale remains a brilliant striker at age 31 and can exploit any defense. He should get opportunities on the counter-attack, and he had 15 goals in 32 appearances (18 starts) for Tottenham this season. Kieffer Moore, who scored 20 for Cardiff City, has two goals and an assist in four Euro matches. Aaron Ramsey (two goals in two games) and Daniel James also have the talent to make an impact on the counter. 

How to make Wales vs. Switzerland Euro 2020 picks

Green has taken a deep look at Wales vs. Switzerland, and he is going over on the goal total (1.5). He also has revealed his breakdown and has a strong pick on one side. He's only sharing that pick on SportsLine.

So who wins Wales vs. Switzerland in Saturday's Euro 2020 match? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Switzerland vs. Wales, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.