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Denmark will try to avoid a misstep against upstart Finland when it hosts a group-stage match Saturday in the 2020 UEFA European Championship. Finland is making its first appearance in a major international tournament, and the nation was in a state of euphoria as the Finns knocked off Liechtenstein 3-0 in November 2019 to assure a second-place finish in its qualifying group. Denmark went unbeaten in its eight matches (4-4-0) and finished one point behind Switzerland in its group. The Euro 2020 tournament was then postponed for more than a year because of the pandemic.

Kickoff is scheduled for noon ET at Parken Stadium in Copenhagen. William Hill Sportsbook lists Denmark as the -320 favorite (risk $320 to win $100) in its latest Finland vs. Denmark odds, while the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Denmark vs. Finland picks, be sure to see the UEFA Euro 2020 predictions and betting advice from SportsLine's soccer insider Martin Green.  

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated almost $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has taken an in-depth look at Finland vs. Denmark in Euro 2020. You can head to SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are some betting lines and trends for Denmark vs. Finland:

  • Finland vs. Denmark spread: Denmark -1.5
  • Finland vs. Denmark over-under: 2.5 goals
  • Finland vs. Denmark money line: Finland +1100, Denmark -320, Draw +380
  • Finland: Teemu Pukki has scored 66 goals over the past three seasons with Norwich City
  • Denmark: The Danes won Euro 1992 after being added as a replacement for Yugoslavia

Why you should back Denmark

The Danes have a decided home-field advantage, having not lost in 21 home games (18-3-0) against the Finns since 1949. They have a far superior team and are strong on both ends. Defense leads the way, and veteran Kasper Schmeichel mans the net. He had four clean sheets in seven qualifying matches and posted 17 across all competitions with Leicester City last season. A defense that features Andreas Christensen (Chelsea) and captain Simon Kjaer (AC Milan) allowed an average of just two shots on target in the qualifying matches.

Denmark ranks 10th in the world and is 17-9-2 in its last 28 matches, with the two losses to Belgium, the world's No.1 team. It is unbeaten in its last six matches, outscoring its opponents 17-3, and scored 23 goals while yielding six in qualifying. The attack is led by Inter Milan's Christian Eriksen, who scored five times in seven qualifying matches. Barcelona's Martin Braithwaite and RB Leipzig's Yussuf Poulsen can cause problems for defenses, and 22-year-old Jonas Wind earned a lot of attention while scoring 15 goals with FC Copenhagen this season.

Why you should back Finland

The Finns come into the group stage playing with house money and should be playing like they have nothing to lose. The team has had its struggles, but it has plenty of talent and experience. It is a tight squad that includes several players who qualified for the Under-21 European Championships in 2009 under current national-team manager Markku Kanerva. The team has lost three-straight friendlies but is 4-2-2 in its last eight competitive matches. 

Norwich City's Teemu Pukki has 30 goals in 91 matches and is the all-time leading scorer for the national team. He has been dealing with an ankle issue but should be ready. He has 10 goals in eight qualifying matches. Tim Sparv will play a key role as a defensive midfielder, while Glen Kamara of Rangers controls the flow in the middle. There will be plenty of international experience, with Paulus Arajuuri, Joona Toivio and Jukka Raitala boasting a combined 166 appearances.

How to make Finland vs. Denmark Euro 2020 picks

Now, Green has taken a deep look into the Finland vs. Denmark matchup. He likes the over on the goal total (2.5) and has another best bet that offer a nice plus-money payout. He's only sharing the picks at SportsLine.

So who wins Finland vs. Denmark? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the best bets for Denmark vs. Finland, all from the European soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.