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The United States will look for its first win over Mexico in three years and in the process win the championship match of the inaugural CONCACAF Nations League on Sunday. The USMNT last defeated Mexico 1-0 in an international friendly on Sept. 11, 2018. This will be the eighth CONCACAF finals in which the rivals have met, with Mexico holding a 6-1 edge. Kickoff is set for 9 p.m. ET at Empower Field at Mile High in Denver.

The match can be streamed on Paramount+ and seen on CBS Sports Network. Mexico is listed as the +145 (risk $100 to win $145) favorite on the money-line, while the United States is +180 and a draw would return +210 in the latest USMNT vs. Mexico odds at William Hill Sportsbook. The over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before making any Mexico vs. USMNT picks, check out the soccer predictions and best bets from SportsLine's Martin Green

After working in the sports betting industry for several years, Green became a professional sports writer and handicapper. Since then, his European soccer picks have been spot-on. Green has generated nearly $19,000 for $100 bettors since the 2017-18 season.

Now, Green has released his best bets for USMNT vs. Mexico in the Concacaf Nations League final. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks

  • United State vs. Mexico spread: Mexico -0.5 (+150)
  • United States vs. Mexico over-under: 2.5 goals
  • United States vs. Mexico money line: Mexico +145, United States +180, Draw +210
  • USA: The USMNT is 9-1-1 in its last 11 matches dating back to November 2019
  • MEX: Mexico is 4-1-1 in its last six matches against the United States

Top USMNT vs. Mexico predictions 

Green likes the under 2.5 goals in Sunday's showdown between the United States and Mexico. Neither team was impressive in their semifinal victories, but now must face a more formidable opponent. Both sides have just one loss in 2021.

The United States dropped a 2-1 decision at Switzerland on May 30, while Mexico's lone defeat was a 1-0 decision at Wales on March 27. Mexico qualified for the CONCACAF Nations League final four by finishing atop Group B with a 4-0 mark, outscoring Panama and Bermuda 13-3. The United States went 3-1 in Group A, outscoring Canada and Cuba 15-3.

How to make Mexico vs. USMNT picks 

Green has broken down this fierce rivalry from every angle and found another best bet on the outcome. He's only sharing his top picks here.

So who should you back in Sunday's Mexico vs. USMNT matchup? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see the picks, all from the soccer expert who has generated nearly $19,000 since the 2017-18 season.