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The United States men's national team has showed off its firepower in recent matches, and it will try to continue that against familiar CONCACAF foe Jamaica in an international friendly Thursday. The U.S. beat Trinidad and Tobago 7-0 in its last outing, and this is the first of two international friendly matches it will play as it prepares for CONCACAF and World Cup qualifying tournaments later this year. The game will be played at Wiener Neustadt Stadion in Austria, where the Americans beat Panama 6-2 in November, and the U.S. has a 16-3-8 all-time mark against Jamaica.

Kickoff is set for 1 p.m. ET. William Hill Sportsbook lists the United States as the 1.5-goal and -300 money-line favorite in its latest USA vs. Jamaica odds, and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in your Jamaica vs. USMNT picks, be sure to see the soccer predictions and betting advice from stats analyst Mike Goodman.

A soccer editor for CBS Sports, Goodman is at the forefront of the advanced statistics and analytics movement in soccer, with eight years of experience working with cutting-edge predictive statistical analysis. Among his credits are work for FiveThirtyEight and StatsBomb, and he has immense experience diving deep into the analytics involved in dissecting the sport.

Now Goodman has taken a close look into USMNT vs. Jamaica. You can visit SportsLine now to see his picks. Here are several odds and trends for Jamaica vs. USMNT:

  • USMNT vs. Jamaica spread: United States -1.5 
  • USMNT vs. Jamaica over-under: 2.5 goals
  • USMNT vs. Jamaica money line: United States -300, Jamaica +800, Draw +350  
  • USA: The USMNT is 16-3-8 in 27 matches against Jamaica
  • JAM: Jamaica's squad features eight first-time players

Why you should back the USA

The Americans have scored 19 goals and yielded two in their last three matches, and while they have been slowed by the pandemic, they have a more talented squad. The Jamaicans allowed four goals in two matches against Saudi Arabia in November, losing one 3-0, and the roster includes several players making their international debuts. The USA beat Jamaica 3-1 in their last meeting, with Christian Pulisic scoring twice, in the 2019 Gold Cup semifinals. The Chelsea forward is one of several who could see significant time before returning to their club teams.

Werder Bremen's Josh Sargent, who has five goals in 12 appearances with the national team, and 18-year-old Gio Reyna, with one in his two outings, also could see notable action. They also will head back to Europe after the game, along with top defenders Jonathan Brooks and Chris Richards, so the USA will field a powerful lineup. Fans also are anticipating the potential debut of 18-year-old Valencia midfielder Yunus Musah, who was born in New York but played his youth soccer with England's national teams and also was eligible to play for Ghana and Italy.  

Why you should back Jamaica

The Jamaicans have beaten the U.S. in their last two friendly matchups, 2-1 in 2015 and 1-0 in 2019, and they have scored at least one goal in five straight games against the Americans. They will be fighting hard to build confidence in preparation for an attempt to qualify for just their second World Cup, having last made it in 1998. The Reggae Boyz are typically one of CONCACAF's best teams, and manager Theodore Whitmore, who played for Jamaica in the 1998 World Cup, is 20-10-8 since returning to the top job in 2016.   

Jamaica has made the semifinals of the CONCACAF Gold Cup three straight times and was runner-up in 2015 and 2017. The 3-1 loss in the 2019 semifinal was the first time in 11 matches it had allowed more than two goals to the USA. The squad includes nine players who compete at various levels in the English leagues. Andre Gray, who has 18 goals in the Championship for Watford since 2017, and defenders Amari Bell (Blackburn Rovers), Wesley Harding (Rotherham United) and Liam Moore (Reading) should play key roles.      

How to make picks for Jamaica vs. USMNT

Goodman is leaning over on the total, and he's also revealed his best bets and analysis, including a huge prop bet that would cash in at +2500. You can only get that pick at SportsLine.

So who wins USMNT vs. Jamaica? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the USMNT vs. Jamaica money line has all the value, and which prop bet could lead to a huge payout, all from the stats expert who is at the forefront of soccer analytics.