# 2018 World Cup odds, predictions: Advanced computer model picks which country wins every group

The final group stage matches of the 2018 World Cup kick off on Monday at 10 a.m. ET. Multiple favorites need positive results in their final game in order to move on to the 2018 World Cup knockout stage. It's setting up for a dramatic finish and fans can still place bets on the winners of each group heading into the final matches. For example, Russia is a -160 favorite to win Group A, meaning it would take a \$160 bet on the Russians to win their group to return \$100.

Before you make your picks on which teams top their respective groups at the 2018 World Cup, you need to see what European football expert David Sumpter has to say.

Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote "Soccermatics," the book that shows how math works inside the game. Together with experienced analysts, Professor Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.

The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In the 2½ seasons since it was born, the Soccerbot is up 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds. That's right -- 1,800 percent.

Now, Sumpter, the European football guru, is sharing his best bets to win each group at Russia 2018 over at SportsLine.

We can tell you Sumpter is eyeing Brazil to advance out of Group E despite failing to secure three points in its opening match against Switzerland. The Brazilians were held to a 1-1 draw after being up 1-0 thanks to Philippe Coutinho's stunning goal.

Sumpter isn't panicking despite Brazil only securing a point in its first game. Brazil shut out Costa Rica in game No. 2 and is unbeaten in its last 14 World Cup group games, winning 11 and drawing three. And the Brazilians have finished on top of their group in every World Cup appearance since 1982. Look for the Brazilians to secure the top spot in Group E despite drawing their opening match.

Sumpter also loves Spain to top Group B. Sportsbooks now list Spain at -160 World Cup odds to win Group B over Portugal, which sits at +150. Spain will face Morocco on Monday at 2 p.m. ET, while Portugal battles Iran in a marquee match at the same time.

Spain opened its 2018 World Cup with a thrilling 3-3 draw against Portugal. The Spaniards followed up that performance with a one-goal victory over a dangerous Iranian team. Spanish striker Diego Costa scored in both matches, becoming just the third Spanish player to score three goals in the first two games at a World Cup.

La Roja enters Monday's match against Morocco having won three of its last four World Cup matches against African opponents, scoring 11 goals during that span. And Spain has won its final group game in each of the last eight World Cups.

Sumpter also is eyeing three teams with World Cup outright odds of longer than 30-1 to win their groups. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big.

So who wins each group at the 2018 World Cup? And which massive long shots have the best chance to shock the world and advance to the Round of 16? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see who David Sumpter is picking to win each group at the 2018 World Cup, all from a European soccer expert who created a model that's returned an 1800 percent profit on bookmakers' closing odds.

Group A
Russia -160
Uruguay +135
Egypt +3300
Saudi Arabia +20000

Group B
Spain -160
Portugal +150
Iran +2500
Morocco +5000

Group C
France -450
Denmark +325
Peru +2200
Australia +6600

Group D
Off board

Group E
Brazil -300
Serbia +400
Switzerland +550
Costa Rica +6600

Group F
Mexico -155
Germany +300
Sweden +400
South Korea +7500

Group G
Belgium -175
England +140
Tunisia +10000
Panama +15000

Group H
Senegal +110
Japan +200
Colombia +550
Poland +800

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