Australia faces a major test on Thursday if it hopes to advance to the knockout stage of the 2019 Women's World Cup. The Matildas (0-1-0), ranked No. 6 in the world, play Brazil (1-0-0), ranked No. 10, in a Group C match in Montpellier. After losing its opening match to Italy, Australia badly needs to come out of Thursday's match with at least a point or risk failing to advance out of group play. Meanwhile, the Canarinho can clinch a spot in the knockout round with a win. Kickoff from Stade de la Mosson is set for 12 p.m. ET. Oddsmakers list Australia as a +115 money line favorite (risk $115 to win $100), while Brazil is going off as the underdog at +220. The draw is +260 and the over-under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before you make any Australia vs. Brazil picks, be sure to see the 2019 Women's World Cup predictions from European soccer expert David Sumpter.
Sumpter is an applied mathematician and author of "Soccermatics," a book that explains how math works inside the sport. Along with other experienced analysts, Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.
The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In the three seasons since its inception, Soccerbot is up an incredible 2,000 percent on Premier League picks. That's right -- 2,000 percent.
And the model is crushing the 2019 Women's World Cup group stage, returning $725 already to anyone following its picks. The model correctly predicted the stunning Japan-Argentina draw (+825) -- a more than 8-1 long shot -- and was all over the Netherlands beating New Zealand and England topping Scotland in their opening matches.
Now, the model has its sights set on Australia vs. Brazil. We can tell you the model is leaning over, but its much stronger play is on the Australia vs. Brazil money line. You can only see that pick at SportsLine.
The model knows Australia has had success against Brazil recently. Since the 2016 Olympics, the Matildas have won the last four matches between the two countries, outscoring the Brazilians 14-5 in the process. In the most recent match last July, Australia beat Brazil, 3-1, even though the Brazilians entered that match unbeaten in their previous 12 outings. Australia controlled the ball 57 percent of the time.
The model also has considered that Australian striker Sam Kerr is a prolific goal-scorer and on the short list of the top players in the world. The all-time leading scorer in the National Women's Soccer League, where she plays for the Chicago Red Stars, Kerr has 32 goals in 77 games for the Matildas. Last year, she was named one of 10 finalists for FIFA Women's Player of the Year award.
But just because the Aussies will be motivated to get a result on Thursday doesn't mean it's the best value on the Australia vs. Brazil money line.
Brazil is one of the most experienced teams in the world. The roster features Marta, the only six-time FIFA Women's Player of the Year winner, the most recent coming in 2018. Even though she missed the team's opening victory against Jamaica, she has scored the most goals (15) in Women's World Cup history. The Canarinho also have Formiga, who has been named to seven Women's World Cup teams, and Cristiane, who scored all three goals in Brazil's 3-0 win against Jamaica on Sunday.
In addition, Brazil comes into the FIFA Women's World Cup 2019 match off its best performance in months. The victory against Jamaica broke a nine-match losing streak dating to July 2018, though all but two of those nine losses came against teams ranked in the top seven in the world.
So who wins Brazil vs. Australia? And where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Brazil vs. Australia money line you need to be all over Thursday, all from an expert who created a model that's returned a 2,000 percent profit on bookmakers' closing odds.