World Cup odds, predictions 2018: Proven computer model picks who wins every group

With every nation playing its second match this week, the 2018 World Cup continues to produce stunning results. Senegal, Iran, Japan, Serbia, Mexico, Sweden and Croatia all sit atop their groups or are tied for the lead. Powerhouses like Germany, Brazil and Argentina are desperate for a victory. With the 2018 World Cup Group Stage reaching a critical point, bettors can still wager on the winners of all eight groups at many major books. For example, Brazil is a -180 favorite to win Group E despite its 1-1 draw against Switzerland in the opener, meaning it would take a $180 bet on the Brazilians to win their group to return $100.

Before you make your picks on which teams top their respective groups at the 2018 World Cup, you need to see what European soccer expert David Sumpter has to say.

Sumpter is an applied mathematician who wrote "Soccermatics," the book that shows how math works inside the game. Together with experienced analysts, Professor Sumpter developed the powerful Soccerbot model.

The Soccerbot reads current odds and all team performance data, calculates key metrics and predicts upcoming matches. In the 2½ seasons since it was born, the Soccerbot is up 1,800 percent on bookmakers' closing odds. That's right -- 1,800 percent.

Now, Sumpter, the European football guru, is sharing his best bets to win each group over at SportsLine.

We can tell you Sumpter is eyeing Brazil to advance out of Group E despite losing defender Dani Alves to a knee injury. The 35-year-old, who has made 107 appearances for the Brazilian National Team, was injured while playing for PSG in the Coupe de France final. Brazil played to a 1-1 draw with Switzerland in its opening match.

Sumpter also loves tiny Senegal to win Group H. Senegal stunned Poland 2-1 Tuesday, demoralizing the world's eighth-ranked team with its speed and capitalizing on the Poles' shoddy defense.

The result was no fluke. Sportsbooks now list Senegal as the even-money Group H favorite ahead of Japan (2-1), Colombia (5-1) and Poland (8-1). The Lions of Teranga also moved from 200-1 to 80-1 to hoist the World Cup trophy.

While Japan also pulled off a stunning opener, knocking off Colombia 2-1, the South Americans had to play one man down for 84 minutes after Carlos Sanchez's red card. 

Senegal boasts European-based stars like Sadio Mane (Liverpool), who had 20 goals in the Premier League last season. He didn't make a big impact in the opener, but that is bound to change soon.

Sumpter also is eyeing two other teams with World Cup outright odds of longer than 30-1 to win their groups. Anyone who backs these underdogs could hit it big.

So who wins each group at the 2018 World Cup? And which massive long shots have the best chance to shock the world and advance to the Round of 16? Check out the odds below and then visit SportsLine now to see who David Sumpter is picking to win each group at the 2018 World Cup, all from a European soccer expert who created a model that's returned an 1800 percent profit on bookmakers' closing odds.


Group A
Uruguay -175 
Russia +150
Egypt +3300
Saudi Arabia +20000

Group B
Spain -155
Portugal +170
Iran +1200  
Morocco +5000  

Group C
France -325
Denmark +500
Peru +2200
Australia +6600

Group D  
Croatia -105
Argentina +125
Iceland +900   
Nigeria +5000

Group E
Brazil -180
Serbia +350  
Switzerland +425
Costa Rica +6600

Group F
Mexico -160  
Germany +300  
Sweden +425
South Korea +5000

Group G
Belgium -175 
England +140
Tunisia +10000
Panama +15000

Group H
Colombia +120
Poland +180
Senegal +500
Japan +700

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