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Since winning their meeting in the semifinals in 2011-12, Bayern Munich have lost their last three knockout-round matchups against Real Madrid in the UEFA Champions League. The Bavarians hope to take the first step toward ending the slide when they host Los Blancos on Tuesday in the first leg of their Champions League semifinal tie. Real Madrid sandwiched semifinal victories against Bayern in 2013-14 and 2017-18 around a quarterfinal triumph in 2016-17 and went on to win the championship each time. Los Blancos defeated defending champion Manchester City in the quarterfinals, while the Bavarians knocked off Arsenal to advance to the semis. 

Kickoff at Allianz Arena is set for 3 p.m. ET. The Bavarians are +130 favorites (risk $100 to win $130) in the latest Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid odds, while Los Blancos are +190 underdogs. A 90-minute draw is priced at +260 and the over/under for total goals scored is 2.5. Before locking in any Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich picks, you need to see what proven SportsLine soccer insider Jon "Buckets" Eimer has to say.

Eimer is a high-volume bettor who has vast knowledge of leagues and players across the globe. Since joining SportsLine, he has covered the English Premier League, Serie A, the FA Cup and much more. In 2023, he was red-hot, going 248-234-12 for a profit of $2,593 for $100 bettors. That included an 86-59-5 record in the Premier League for a $3,463 profit. Anybody following saw big returns.

Now, Eimer has broken down Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid from every angle and revealed his picks and UEFA Champions League predictions. You can head to SportsLine now to see Eimer's picks. Here are the betting lines and trends for Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich:

  • Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid money line: Bayern +130, Real Madrid +190, Draw +260
  • Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid over/under: 2.5 goals
  • Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid spread: Bayern -0.5 (+140)
  • BM: The Bavarians have allowed more than one goal in just one of their last nine UCL matches
  • RM: Los Blancos haven't lost since Jan. 18, a 4-2 setback against Atletico Madrid in the Round of 16 in the Copa del Rey
  • Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid picks: See picks at SportsLine

Why you should back Bayern Munich 

A 3-2 setback against PSG in the 2020-21 quarterfinals marks the last time the Bavarians suffered a loss on their own pitch in the Champions League. Since then, the club has recorded 12 victories and three draws at home, including a 1-0 second-leg triumph over Arsenal on Apr. 17. That was the third consecutive clean sheet Bayern posted in the competition after surrendering a total of four goals over their first two UCL matches at Allianz Arena.

Harry Kane did not convert in the 1-0 win against Arsenal but tallied three times over his previous two games to increase his total to seven and leave him one behind PSG's Kylian Mbappe for the lead in the competition. The 30-year-old striker, who ranks first in the German Bundesliga with 35 goals, also is tied for eighth in the UCL with three assists. See which team to pick here.

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Why you should back Real Madrid

Los Blancos enter Tuesday with an 18-game unbeaten streak across all competitions during which they have recorded 12 wins and six draws. Real Madrid also have gone 10 straight Champions League matches without a loss, a run that is one game shy of matching the club record set in 2016-17. Facing Bayern in the knockout phase of the competition has been a good thing for Los Blancos of late, as they have gone on to win the title after defeating the Bavarians in their previous three meetings.

Rodrygo is tied for fifth in the UCL with five goals, the same amount he recorded in the competition in each of the last two campaigns. The 23-year-old Brazilian winger enjoyed a three-game scoring streak during the group stage before converting in each leg of the quarterfinal tie against Manchester City. English midfielder Jude Bellingham has netted four goals and is tied with teammate Vinicius Junior and four other players for second in the competition with four assists. See which team to pick here.

How to make Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid picks

Eimer has broken down Tuesday's match from every possible angle and is leaning Over on the total. He also has locked in five confident best bets, including three that offer plus-money payouts, and is offering a full breakdown of this UEFA Champions League clash. He's sharing his Champions League picks and analysis only at SportsLine.

So who wins Bayern Munich vs. Real Madrid, and where does all the betting value lie? Visit SportsLine now to see which wagers in Real Madrid vs. Bayern Munich have all the value, all from the soccer expert who was up well over $2,500 for $100 players in 2023, and find out.

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