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  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    #4
    +400
    (100%)
    5-0 in Last 5 NCAAF Picks
    FSU +6
    -111
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 4 @ 5:45pm

    Analysis

    I'm taking FSU early because I think this line keeps going down. This is more of a Louisville fade right now. QB Lincoln Kienholz is dealing with an injury and was limited as a runner against NC State, rushing seven times for just 24 yards. The big issue is the Cardinals' rush defense. Louisville is giving up 156 yards per game. That will be a factor versus FSU. The Seminoles rushed for 281 yards in their 38-7 win over Virginia and are averaging 194 yards a game on the ground. FSU's offense is actually playing well, scoring 30+ in three straight. I expect a tight game here. BetMGM and a couple of other books still have +6. I'd play FSU down to +5.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +144.5
    (64%)
    14-8 in Last 22 NCAAF Picks
    LVILLE
    -172
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 9 @ 12:56pm

    Analysis

    Oh how I hate Florida State. That saying I believe was born in Ann Arbor and involved Ohio State, but it's applicable here. I utterly despise the Seminoles but if I thought they would make me money, I would put that aside. Don't think so tonight. Louisville has underachieved but also a bit unlucky: All three losses by 3 points. In the spring on lookahead lines, UofL was -6.5. I'm not gonna mess around with 3.5. No way.
  • expert headshot
    David Bearman
    +363
    (70%)
    7-3 in Last 10 NCAAF Picks
    FSU +4.5
    -114
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 9 @ 6:43pm

    Analysis

    Narratives can change on a dime in college football. Florida State looked dead and buried after back-to-back losses to SMU and Alabama. Then they blew out Central Arkansas and Virginia by a combined 72-14 score. Meanwhile, Louisville lost on a walk-off FG to #9 Ole Miss and then had impressive wins over Villanova and SMU before losing to Wake Forest and NC State the last two weeks, changing the narrative on the Cardinals' chances in the ACC as well.  The Seminoles generated havoc plays on 26% of Virginia's offensive snaps. Following its 10-sack performance against Virginia, FSU jumped 80 spots nationally in sack rate (101st to 21st) and 43 spots in yards allowed per carry (84th to 41st).
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +144.5
    (64%)
    14-8 in Last 22 NCAAF Picks
    WASH
    -137
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 9 @ 3:33am

    Analysis

    In my humble opinion, there are five absolutely must-see campuses/sites in college football (including party time): Notre Dame, the Big House, the Shoe, USC at the Coliseum and Nebraska (I know, but they sure take football seriously in Lincoln and they rock after wins). Honorable mention: Gainesville, UCLA (Rose Bowl), Tuscaloosa, East Lansing and UDub. Amazing place Washington's campus. But it should be a typical Iowa game. If the opponent scores 20, it's over. And the Hawkeyes' QB is injured.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +120
    (50%)
    6-6-1 in Last 13 NHL Picks
    Under 6.5
    -130
    Over/Under
    LOSS
    Picked: Oct 9 @ 12:00am

    Analysis

    OK, well, this is assuming both No. 1 goalies are in. Got massacred on Thursday when the Mammoth decided to have some fun and basically lie and play a backup I barely heard of. This is why I never go to Utah. I am pretty confident we get both No. 1s here in Joey Daccord and John Gibson. Two meh offenses. In the NHL, always wait for goalie confirmation. Got that sweet reminder ....

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