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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1214
    (76%)
    22-7-5 in Last 34 NHL ATS Picks
    NJ +1
    -159
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 11 @ 7:09am

    Analysis

    That Tampa Bay is favored at NJ is a little strange to me without Andrei Vasilevskiy. Plus, future Hall of Fame blueliner Victor Hedman is iffy tonight. Not a fan of backup goalie Jonas Johansson (he has been good of late, I have to admit), but that might be because the first love of my life would play the Jonas Brothers non-stop. I'm not saying that's why it ended, but I'm not saying that's not why. She's now like the Queen of Belgium, so I guess upgraded. Poor King. New Jersey is definitely not the same without Jack Hughes and had lost five straight until Tuesday's 4-3 win at Ottawa. Feels like a "get-right" win to me and I expect a mini-run now.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #3
    +339.5
    (62%)
    16-10 in Last 26 NCAAB ML Picks
    TEXPA
    -130
    Money Line
    Picked: Dec 11 @ 7:40am

    Analysis

    Anytime I can say "Vaqueros" I will take it, and I definitely now want a taco. But then I probably want a taco five if not six of every seven days. Soft tacos are unimpeachable in my opinion. Put salsa in there, though, and we rumble. A light slate tonight and I think this is the best bet of the bunch, although certainly won't be going crazy. KenPom ranks the home side a handful of spots higher. UTRGV does have one of the best-named players in sports, and I like this dude's parents: Always Wright, a junior guard from Mexico. His brother is named Never (that would be great). Sister Occasionally. I'll keep going. The Vaqueros are 2-0 at home this year after 12-4 last.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    #3
    +399
    (67%)
    10-5 in Last 15 NHL ML Picks
    MIN
    +100
    Money Line
    Picked: Dec 10 @ 1:29pm

    Analysis

    This will be the Stars' 6th game in 9 days. Research shows Dallas is one of the NHL's most fatigue-sensitive teams. Dallas loses -9.26 fantasy points per game in back-to-back/fatigued situations. This is the second-worst fatigue impact in the entire NHL. Dallas defeated the Wild 5-2 in October despite getting outshot 41-25. The Stars scored two power-play goals and two empty-net goals. With a revenge game against Florida on deck, Dallas may not be fully focused here. Additionally, the Stars lead the NHL in hits taken (719), while Minnesota ranks 25th-fewest (534), which adds to the previous data point of playing six games in 9 days.
  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    +185
    (67%)
    4-2 in Last 6 NCAAB Picks
    Under 143.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Dec 11 @ 3:20am

    Analysis

    It's fair to speculate if the Hawkeyes can really keep pace in "Hoops Cy-Hawk" after Iowa lost contact vs. Michigan State last week. The task of slowing ISU's offense (better than 94 ppg and hitting north of 54% from the floor) will likely come down to how well Ben McCollum's offense controls pace and tempo, and preventing the Cyclones from deploying their devastating transition game that helped bury top-ranked Purdue last Saturday. Easier said than done, but even if winning the game might a real stretch for Iowa, McCollum's team can slow the pace as good as any, and with four starters (including star G Bennett Stirtz) hitting better than 50% from the floor, the Hawkeyes can afford to be patient. Play Iowa-ISU Under
  • expert headshot
    Tim Doyle
    #3
    +318
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 NBA Picks
    POR
    -179
    Money Line
    Picked: Dec 11 @ 9:40am

    Analysis

    Why money line? This spread (Portland -4.5) does make me nervous. We just made money recently with the Pelicans as home dogs, but you just can't lose this game if you’re the Blazers. They have been on a long road trip and haven’t played in three nights. But if they lose this one, we'll know they spent too much time on Bourbon Street.

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