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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +180
    (80%)
    4-1 in Last 5 MLB Picks
    TOR +1.5
    -184
    Spread
    Picked: Apr 11 @ 11:28pm

    Analysis

    The wrong team is favored Sunday and it's that simple. So I'll take the gift even at this number. And if it was a newsletter writing day for me, this would be a hammer parlay leg at +1.5. I don't get it. Yes, the Twins have played better than expected so far and yes Taj Bradley has been really good. But this is one of those spots where the defending AL champions need a win because a major tough roadie is up next. I do believe in those sorts of things. And the Jays are off Monday and the Twins not so that may affect the bullpens a bit. I think you are fine playing +1 (or ML) but I'll take the gift.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +2525
    (70%)
    51-22 in Last 73 LAA ML Picks
    LAA
    -104
    Money Line
    Picked: Apr 12 @ 1:27am

    Analysis

    The Angels have won all three of Jose Soriano's starts, which is no surprise given his 0.45 ERA and 0.65 WHIP. Soriano's dominance appears to be sustainable given his increased velocity and improved knuckle-curve. Andrew Abbott has been solid for the host Reds. But the Halos' offense has performed better lately, ranking 10th in OPS over the past seven days compared to Cincy's 21st ranking. Take the Angels in Sunday's rubber game.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #1
    +349
    (67%)
    8-4 in Last 12 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Soriano
    Over 16.5
    -118
    Outs Recorded
    Picked: Apr 12 @ 8:02am

    Analysis

    DraftKings / Caesar’s. Jose Soriano has come out of the gate as one of the most impressive pitchers in baseball thus far. With only one run and seven hits allowed across his 20 innings, Soriano has cleared this outs line in all three starts. He’s been able to miss more bats this season while maintaining an elite groundball rate. The Reds are an ideal opponent for his efficiency as they’ve struggled against righties, with a .620 OPS, and against ground ball pitchers (.541 OPS). Soriano should see 5-6 righties today, the side of the platoon that is 1/30 off of him so far this season. I’d bet this to over 17.5 outs.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #2
    +607.5
    (60%)
    45-30 in Last 75 NHL ML Picks
    WAS
    -162
    Money Line
    Picked: Apr 12 @ 9:50am

    Analysis

    Took a couple pretty big hits in the NHL on Saturday, I will not hide from that -- although we did get a Vegas plus-money dog play and I recommended the Capitals in Discord (was too late to post on SL) when the Penguins ruled just about everyone on the roster out. Washington easily won on the road -- and they turn around and go again today in D.C. And I don't know why the Pens wouldn't sit everyone notable again today locked into their playoff seeding. The Caps most likely won't reach the playoffs but would stay alive with a win of any kind.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +759
    (74%)
    14-5-1 in Last 20 NBA Picks
    ORL
    -165
    Money Line
    Picked: Apr 11 @ 2:23pm

    Analysis

    I should probably wait for lineups on this Sunday game as waiting has been really good to me of late. Didn't play near my normal NBA this year because I don't recognize the league. You just can't bet the Association these days, at least on a side, until you have an idea who is playing. But here is why I will take a Sunday leap: I cannot imagine Boston plays anyone not named, I don't know, Hugo Gonzalez. Because they are locked into the East's No. 2. Thus this price that seems completely off on the surface. The Magic are playing for seeding and could avoid the Play-In entirely with a win. Although doubtful. A victory would at least ensure a home Play-In game.

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