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  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +617
    (71%)
    12-5 in Last 17 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    L. Henderson
    Over 4.5
    -158
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    Picked: May 16 @ 8:15am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Logan Henderson profiles as one of the top strikeout pitchers amongst starters. In limited big league appearances over two seasons, he’s registered 49 K’s in 38.1 innings, including 16 in 13 innings this season. Built up to about 75 pitches in each of his last two starts, he could be unleashed for 85-90 today. But even if he’s kept at around 75, he should have no issue clearing this line against a weaker Twins lineup. Minnesota has run a 23.8% strikeout rate against righties this season, and almost the exact same rate over the last two weeks (23.7%). The juice is heavy, but I have Henderson at 6.2 Ks - I’d bet this at over 5.5 for a partial unit at +110 or better.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    The ATM
    TB
    -138
    Money Line
    LOSS
    Picked: May 16 @ 10:43am

    Analysis

    Sandy Alcantara has been a good comeback story for the Marlins, but he's faltering (5.40 ERA last seven starts). His Tampa counterpart, Nick Martinez, might win the AL Cy Young if he keeps up what he's doing. He has a 1.70 ERA through eight starts, and is even better at home and in daytime games. Tampa's OPS in May is over 200 points higher than Miami vs. RHPs. All day on the Rays.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1150.5
    (70%)
    53-23 in Last 76 MLB ML Picks
    TB
    -133
    Money Line
    LOSS
    Picked: May 16 @ 2:51pm

    Analysis

    The Rays are on just a crazy heater and part of that is journeyman Nick Martinez (4-1, 1.70 ERA) pitching way better than he actually is. But that's what the Rays do, man, they turn these nobodies into excellent players, trade them at their peak for prospects (always win those trades) and then they stink again with the new team or get hurt. Just such a smart organization. If they had any resources at all, they'd be a Dodgers-like superpower. I don't love fading ex-Cy Young winner Sandy Alcantara of the Marlins but cheap price and SA hasn't been quite the same since a hot start. He's 1-1 with a 6.00 ERA away.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    The ATM
    WAS
    -108
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: May 16 @ 10:39am

    Analysis

    The Nationals' offense has been inconsistent, but overall the last two weeks it's hitting a .769 OPS clip vs. right-handers. Chris Bassitt has an 8.27 ERA in four road starts and nearly a 6 ERA in day games, so Washington can keep going here at home. The O's have scored over three runs once in the last eight games, so we'll back Cade Cavalli, who's been better at home and under the sun.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +94
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 PHI ATS Picks
    PHI -1.5
    +100
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: May 16 @ 1:34pm

    Analysis

    I would also have interest in the F5 here but interestingly enough, Bubba Chandler has been lights out in the first inning and we have to pay a price 30 cents worse there. I'll take the full game run line, and back the Phillies offense to get it done at some point against Chandler, who has found some issues with control, walking 27 batters in 39 innings thus far. He's allowed a .254 average to lefties but the Phillies righties will need to jump on here to make sure we get it done. Nine of Philly's last 14 wins have come by at least two runs and the Pirates weigh in at just a .664 OPS (87 wRC+) against left handed pitchers.

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