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  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    +78
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 UTA ML Picks
    UTA
    -114
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 2:06pm

    Analysis

    Utah isn’t the ideal opponent after a meltdown loss where the Canadians gave up a 4-0 lead with just over two minutes left and lost in overtime on Tuesday. Montreal is 23rd in shots allowed per game and has a -16 shot differential. The Mammoth are 7th in shots allowed and have a +89 shot differential. Utah is also 4th in scoring chances, while Montreal sits at 16th. In high-danger 5-on-5 shots, Utah is +14, and Montreal is even. The Mammoth have not won two in a row since October 15th. Montreal is still without their best defenseman (Mike Matheson), and top center Nick Suzuki remains questionable after missing the last six games. I like the road team in this spot.
  • expert headshot
    Todd Fuhrman
    #2
    +1019
    (85%)
    11-2-1 in Last 14 NHL Picks
    Over 5.5
    -120
    Over/Under
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 10:44pm

    Analysis

    The Flyers have started to look capable as a hockey team going forward since a few players have returned from injury over the last seven days. I don't believe oddsmakers have caught up to how their totals need to be priced as a result creating an over edge for us here. The expected Rangers starter Dylan Garand has struggled lately taking on a bigger workload and has allowed 3.64 goals over expected his last 5 appearances. Meanwhile for Philly Dan Vladar and Joseph Woll have both graded out as league average netminders during the same span. Adjusting for current form my fair total on this game is 6 flat so we're looking for offense to headline at MSG on Weds
  • expert headshot
    Todd Fuhrman
    #2
    +1019
    (85%)
    11-2-1 in Last 14 NHL Picks
    UTA
    -114
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 5 @ 12:44pm

    Analysis

    I have Utah power rated as a top 3 team in the league right now. This team's underlying metrics have been outstanding and the only thing that has skewered them at points is below average goaltending. Utah has made the decision to give Seb Cossa back to back starts and that's what I wanted to see opposing Jakub Dobes. Nick Suzuki is back for the Habs after a prolonged absence but I think his ramp up could be slow. My fair on this game is actually closer to Utah -130
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1235
    (68%)
    21-10 in Last 31 NHL ML Picks
    MON
    +102
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 5 @ 12:49pm

    Analysis

    Try not to linger on bad beats or the like and stay glass half-full. But I can't shake that incredible, never-seen-before loss by the Habs on Tuesday. So one of two things will happen here in my opinion. They come out like gangbusters to put that to bed. And the good news is that top-line center Nick Suzuki is back. He has been out hurt since Oct. 20. Or that loss lingers for a while and the team falls into a slump. We do catch one break on Utah in that it is starting backup Sebastian Cossa in net, although he has been pretty solid. One of the Mammoth's top-six forwards in Kailer Yamamoto (3G, 4A) is in question after missing the past two.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +250
    (100%)
    3-0 in Last 3 TAMC ML Picks
    RICE
    -148
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 5 @ 10:32am

    Analysis

    This game was a nice slap in the face to remind myself I am not betting college basketball lookahead games this season if ever again -- short of ahead-of knowledge. For one thing, guys are often ruled out or in about an hour before tip. And the lines just go crazy. I was looking at Rice last night, but the Owls were nearly -200. No idea why this plummeted. ETAM returns just one player who appeared in a game last season for a team that went 11-21 and finished 11th in the Southland. Rice, an American Conference program, returns seven letterwinners and two starters from last year's squad. The model apparently is confused, too, as it has Rice by 13.

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