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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Bob Konarski
    BurghBets
    player headshot
    K. Towns
    Under 4.5
    -129
    Assists
    Picked: Oct 22 @ 11:25pm

    Analysis

    KAT has played the Celtics 10 times in his career. He’s only had more than four assists once, coming back in 2024. He only played 24 minutes in the home opener, due to foul trouble. Similar to banner night, wouldn’t be surprised if he commits at least two fouls in the first quarter, having to sit out most of the first half like us fans have become accustomed to. Early in the season, he’ll look to establish himself as a scorer as compared to the end of last season where he was more of a distributor in the playoffs.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    West Coast Wiseguy
    player headshot
    J. Caminero
    YES
    +191
    2+ Total Bases
    Picked: Oct 20 @ 4:08am

    Analysis

    Jacob Misiorowski relies on his four-seam fastball, using it for 63.4% of his pitches. Most major-league hitters with average bat speed (under 72 mph) have trouble catching up to his high velocity. Junior Caminero has elite bat speed, averaging 77.4 mph (99th percentile), and his power numbers back it up: 42 home runs, a 13.1% barrel rate, and a 49.7% hard-hit rate in the regular season. Statcast data shows that Caminero does very well against fastballs thrown at 98 mph or higher, producing a .412 xwOBA and a .568 xSLG. Since Misiorowski often attacks the strike zone (6.6% walk rate), Caminero will at least have a chance. The roof at American Family Field will be closed for Game 1, which slightly favors hitters.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +349
    (56%)
    34-27 in Last 61 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Rasmussen
    Under 17.5
    -115
    Outs Recorded
    Picked: Oct 20 @ 5:52am

    Analysis

    Drew Rasmussen is a great pitcher but I'll take the under on 17.5 outs on most starters in this spot. Going up against the Brewers at home in the World Series. With it being the first game of the series, it's not imperative that the Rays' starter goes six innings. With the bullpen being fully rested, they have multiple lefty relievers who can match up with the many left-handed bats on Milwaukee. If he shuts them out for a full six innings, then so be it, but this line should really be maxing out at 16.5 outs.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +2683
    (60%)
    143-96 in Last 239 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Misiorowski
    Under 16.5
    -130
    Outs Recorded
    Picked: Oct 20 @ 5:02pm

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Jacob Misiorowski has struggled (by his standards) in his two playoff appearances, failing to get out of the fifth inning in each. He’s already soared over his career high in innings, and his typical pinpoint control has waned a bit as fatigue has appeared to set in. He’ll have a very tough matchup against the Rays who don’t swing and miss often, and have been grinding out at bats a bit better in the postseason than they did in the regular season.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #4
    +1245
    (56%)
    45-36-3 in Last 84 MLB Picks
    Under 6
    -105
    Over/Under
    Picked: Oct 20 @ 6:52pm

    Analysis

    The Brewers entered the postseason with baseball's best record and continued their dominant run with a 7-1 playoff record, highlighted by a sweep of the two-time defending World Champion Dodgers. These two teams haven't met since early April, when Milwaukee took two of three from Tampa Bay. With Game 1 likely featuring a pitching duel between Jacob Misiorowski and Drew Rasmussen, everything points to a low-scoring game. Although Milwaukee claimed an 8-2 victory in their April matchup, Rasmussen has adjusted over the course of the year after Tampa Bay dropped his first two outings of the season. I anticipate a tight 1-1 tie heading into the sixth inning, putting the pressure on both bullpens to keep the score down, playing small ball. Under.

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