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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +1639
    (59%)
    112-78 in Last 190 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    E. Perez
    Under 4.5
    -140
    Hits Allowed
    Picked: Sep 7 @ 12:45pm

    Analysis

    Caesar’s. Eury Perez is under this hits allowed line in 16/25 starts this season. He’s one of the tougher pitchers to accrue hits off of, with a .207 average against (.198 xBA), paired with a 10.6% walk rate. He’ll face a familiar foe in the Mets (five hits allowed in 12.1 innings this season) - New York has just a .227 average against righties the last two weeks. And against power pitchers this season, the Mets have managed only a a .208 average.
  • expert headshot
    Alex Selesnick
    +111.5
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    N. Cameron
    Under 17.5
    -121
    Outs Recorded
    Picked: Sep 7 @ 10:26am

    Analysis

    This looks like a good spot to fade Noah Cameron as he’s set to face a very tough Arizona lineup at Kauffman stadium. The Diamonds rank third in wOBA against opposing southpaws this season. Meanwhile Cameron’s ERA balloons to nearly 5.0 at home this season.
  • expert headshot
    Brad Thomas
    Lord BLT
    SMU
    -152
    Money Line
    Picked: Sep 1 @ 1:21pm

    Analysis

    I could be wrong on the extent of Kevin Jennings’ injury, but what I saw from Florida State’s defense doesn’t warrant the Seminoles being anywhere near a three-point underdog. I’m staying away from the spread and taking SMU moneyline. Florida State’s secondary was absolutely torched, and Jennings is one of the most prolific passers in College Football when healthy. On the other side, Ashton Daniels fell back into the same bad habits we saw at Stanford and Auburn. He held the ball too long, and the offensive line didn’t hold up nearly as well as I expected. Florida State is still a team in decline. SMU is better coached, more talented, and simply the better team. Give me the Mustangs moneyline.
  • expert headshot
    Josh Nagel
    +275
    (67%)
    6-3 in Last 9 SMU ATS Picks
    FSU +3.5
    -115
    Spread
    Picked: Sep 2 @ 12:50pm

    Analysis

    Many football observers are down on FSU’s trajectory following a relatively lackluster performance in its 34-17 win over New Mexico State, and the seat is getting warmer under Mike Norvell. The spread moved 1-1.5 points as a result, but this could be one of the better spots to back the Seminoles. SMU quarterback Kevin Jennings might be the best offensive player in this game, but a hand injury sidelined him for much of the preseason. Moreover, he and the Mustangs have been erratic, especially early. Last year, they started 2-2, with losses to Baylor and TCU, before surging down the stretch. We’ll chomp down on our mouthpiece and take the points with a vulnerable but viable home underdog to close out Week 1.
  • expert headshot
    David Bearman
    The Undertaker
    SMU -2.5
    -122
    Spread
    Picked: Sep 5 @ 4:54pm

    Analysis

    Florida State was only up 17-10 at the break over a bad New Mexico State team, ranked 123rd in SP+ last season. The Aggies started an FCS transfer, who threw all over FSU's secondary. The SMU Mustangs are ranked in top-25 in returning production, including QB Kevin Jennings, who is going to love this FSU defense. And they bring back 3/5ths of the OL. The SMU's defense is strong against the rush (12th in EPA per rush), which is what the Noles like to do.

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