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  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    Contrarian with Chutzpah
    player headshot
    B. Harper
    YES
    +350
    Hit A Home Run
    Picked: Jul 18 @ 1:33pm

    Analysis

    For the Philadelphia Phillies the All Star break was filled with hosting and team involvement. The break was then cut short with the only game being played on Thursday against the Mets. Look for yesterday’s day off to be the reset needed for the players and team as a whole. A prime spot for Alec Bohm to get going as he has hit .152 in the month of July. In his career he has hit .333 against Sean Manaea which includes a home run. Bryce Harper has the exact same average in his career against Manea with a home run as well. Split prop play between the two.
  • expert headshot
    Zack Cimini
    Contrarian with Chutzpah
    player headshot
    A. Bohm
    Over 1.5
    +109
    Bases
    Picked: Jul 18 @ 1:34pm

    Analysis

    For the Philadelphia Phillies the All Star break was filled with hosting and team involvement. The break was then cut short with the only game being played on Thursday against the Mets. Look for yesterday’s day off to be the reset needed for the players and team as a whole. A prime spot for Alec Bohm to get going as he has hit .152 in the month of July. In his career he has hit .333 against Sean Manaea which includes a home run. Bryce Harper has the exact same average in his career against Manea with a home run as well. Split prop play between the two.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #1
    +2187
    (70%)
    45-19 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    T. Bradley
    Under 17.5
    -127
    Outs Recorded
    WIN
    Picked: Jul 18 @ 11:31am

    Analysis

    Caesar’s. Taj Bradley is one of those pitchers who has pretty drastic home/road splits. The Twins righty is under this outs line in 7/10 road starts, including each of his last five outings. While his road ERA won’t necessarily stick out (4.06), his walk rate spikes to 11.3%, and his pitches per plate appearance sits at 4.18 (compared to 3.91 at home). Today, he’ll have a tough test against the patient Cubs at Wrigley Field. Chicago sees the fourth most pitches per plate appearance (3.98) partly due to the fourth lowest team chase rate. I don’t see the Cubs needing to do too much offensively to knock Bradley out before the end of the sixth.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #3
    +1382
    (80%)
    12-3-1 in Last 16 MLB Picks
    Over 7.5
    -105
    Over/Under
    WIN
    Picked: Jul 18 @ 12:34am

    Analysis

    Cleveland and Pittsburgh come in hot, but the question is whether the 4-day All-Star break cooled them both off. Cleveland has won their last four games, including the last three at Miami, which has one of the best home-field advantages in baseball. The Pirates won three straight, sweeping the first-place Brewers and six of their last eight. I'm looking at a high-scoring game because of Pittsburgh, despite Gavin Williams pitching. Over the last 30 days, Pittsburgh is the No. 1 hitting team in baseball at .288. They're doing everything right offensively, and I think they get to Williams. Over is the play.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +508.5
    (67%)
    22-11 in Last 33 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Jones
    Over 5.5
    +125
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    WIN
    Picked: Jul 18 @ 11:04am

    Analysis

    Going to take my shot on Jared Jones again here today, but at a much better price for the same line as last night. Jones is well rested, coming off an outing where he threw six perfect innings, and has turned some of his strikeout numbers up recently. He's been great against lefties with 25 Ks in 20 innings, and featuring a swinging strike rate over 14%. I'm going to go with a 6,7,8 Ks ladder here as he faces a lineup with seven lefties today, where the 4-8 hitters are all 25% or worse for K rate vs. righties.

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