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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    #3
    +1118
    (61%)
    46-29 in Last 75 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    G. Pickens
    Over 66.5
    -115
    Receiving Yards
    WIN
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 11:23pm

    Analysis

    George Pickens averages a whopping 3.41 yards per route run against Cover 3 -- a coverage the Raiders use at the NFL's second-highest rate. He's cleared this prop total in four straight games and seven of the last eight. Pickens will be matched up often with third-round rookie Darien Porter, who allows 12.3 yards per completion and has yet to force an incompletion, per PFF. This game has the highest total on the Week 11 slate, so I'm expecting another big game from Pickens.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +2078
    (56%)
    114-90-2 in Last 206 NFL Picks
    LV +3.5
    -110
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 10:27am

    Analysis

    The Cowboys are coming off a bye rested and ready to debut their two trade acquisitions, who come from two of the other worst defenses in the league. I think the Raiders offense can have similar success to what it did in the overtime loss to Jacksonville in this matchup as long as Geno Smith can avoid bad turnovers. The Raiders defense has been competitive in its last four games aside from the Chiefs blowout in what was an uncompetitive game from the jump, so the potential is there to hold the Cowboys under 30 points in this game. I only have the Cowboys three points higher in my ratings, which means I'd already lean toward Vegas at +3.5 on a neutral field.
  • expert headshot
    Dave Richard
    +510
    (80%)
    8-2 in Last 10 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    A. Jeanty
    Under 63.5
    -112
    Rushing Yards
    WIN
    Picked: Nov 14 @ 11:53am

    Analysis

    I don't doubt that the Raiders will give Ashton Jeanty a lot of opportunities, but I do doubt how effective he'll be. Left tackle Kolton Miller is still sidelined, he was the Raiders BEST-graded run blocker. Guard Jackson Powers-Johnson, graded out as his second-best run-blocking lineman, is now on IR. Jeanty's averaged 3.8 yards per rush this season but in his past four games against some impressive run defenses, that number's been 3.2. And here comes the Cowboys' better defense: All-Pro Quinnen Williams helps the DL so much, and DeMarvion Overshown and Logan Wilson help the LBs. It's going to make their defense a lot better. Tack on a bad game script and this figures to be a long night for Jeanty.
  • expert headshot
    Emory Hunt
    +702
    (60%)
    26-17 in Last 43 NFL ATS Picks
    DAL -3.5
    -104
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Nov 15 @ 8:41am

    Analysis

    With the new additions via trade and with some guys coming off IR for the first time this season, the Cowboys may surprise the Raiders with how good they are defensively. I expect their defense to be a big reason why they cover this spread, and make things very interesting in the NFC playoff race down the stretch of the season.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #2
    +206
    (67%)
    4-2 in Last 6 NHL ATS Picks
    BUF +1.5
    -169
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Nov 16 @ 2:29pm

    Analysis

    Pretty fair price at +1.5, which we can't really say too often. Bit of a trap game potential for Edmonton after winning a possible Cup Finals preview on Saturday at Carolina and then with Alex Ovechkin and the Caps up next. The Oilers are 4-6-2 away. Buffalo is last in the Atlantic Division but 5-3-2 at home and off one of the team's better efforts of the year on Saturday in Detroit. The return of captain and blueliner Rasmus Dahlin, a former No. 1 overall pick, from a personal leave made an obvious difference in that huge comeback win. He had two helpers.

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