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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    +193
    (67%)
    4-2 in Last 6 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    P. Crow-Armstrong
    YES
    -110
    2+ Total Bases
    Picked: Sep 23 @ 10:48pm

    Analysis

    It's the Cubs home finale of the regular season and I'm betting on Pete Crow-Armstrong putting on a show for the home fans. The Cubs need this game to avoid the sweep but it's looking less likely that they'll be hosting a Wild Card series at Wrigley Field next week. The home-road splits for the future National League MVP are stark: he's batting over .300 at home as compared to .253 on the road. Expect the superstar to put on a show for the home crowd with a multi-hit performance (or at least an extra base hit) on Thursday.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +353
    (56%)
    22-17-2 in Last 41 NFL Picks
    ATL +7
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Sep 21 @ 11:30am

    Analysis

    The Falcons have had the worst QB play in the league this season led mainly by Cooper Rush, and Kevin Stefanski finally had enough in the second half of Sunday's blowout loss. Michael Penix Jr. practiced in full last week and appears ready to return for this matchup, while Tua Tagovailoa may also be available. So I'm going to take a calculated risk and back Atlanta while I can get +7. The Packers had just 199 yards of offense against the Jets while going 1 of 9 on third down, and lost several players on offense in the close win. Even Jordan Love appeared to be favoring his hand. Given the health on that side of the ball, I can't see this underperforming team covering.
  • expert headshot
    Alex Selesnick
    PropStarz
    player headshot
    K. Pitts
    Over 33.5
    -120
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Sep 21 @ 5:35pm

    Analysis

    Kyle Pitts has been completely wiped off the scoreboard for the first two weeks of the season but that can largely be attributed to Cooper Rush who has been a complete disaster at QB, ranking dead last in EPA at QB through two weeks. Michael Penix has been announced as the starter and even at his absolute worst, was significantly more effective than Rush. The Falcons have a condensed target distribution and were getting a sizable discount here on Pitts receiving line.
  • expert headshot
    Sia Nejad
    +36
    (55%)
    6-5 in Last 11 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    C. Watson
    Over 64.5
    -115
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Sep 22 @ 12:29am

    Analysis

    Over the first two weeks of the season Christian Watson has 19 targets, a nearly 30% target share and a 33% air yard share. With Jayden Reed out those numbers may climb even more. The Packers Offensive Line is a big problem thanks to a number of injuries, but the Falcons have some defensive injuries as well to balance things out (most notably to AJ Terrell and Samson Ebukam who I don't think will play on a short week). Look for the Packers to move the ball through the air (with Watson, Golden and Kraft) due to their non-existent run game and a preference to attack the Falcons secondary rather than their Front 7. Play this up to 67.5.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +666
    (64%)
    18-10 in Last 28 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    C. Watson
    Over 4.5
    -122
    Receptions
    Picked: Sep 22 @ 11:38am

    Analysis

    FanDuel. I believe the Christian Watson breakout is upon us. The Packers receiver has 19 targets through two games, and is running a much more diversified route tree. No longer just a vertical threat, Watson’s average depth of target of 12.6 yards is almost five yards less than his career year last season. Ten of his nineteen targets have traveled less than ten air yards (he did not have a game with more than two such targets last season). The Falcons are looking like they will be without their best cornerback, AJ Terrell, due to injury and the Packers run game has been miserable. I like Jordan Love to have to air it out in a matchup that schematically favors Watson over Matthew Golden.

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