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Something off in Green Bay, plus NFL Week 4 game balls, gaffes

These Packers inspire little faith even in victory, two wide receivers have massive games and there can be consequences for salty language on the field.

NFL

Something off in Green Bay, plus NFL Week 4 game balls, gaffes
Ranking the NBA's best starting fives begins with champs ... and speculation

NBA

Ranking the NBA's best starting fives begins with champs ... and speculation
NFL Week 4 winners (Maye day, 49ers' protection), losers (Texans fading)

NFL

NFL Week 4 winners (Maye day, 49ers' protection), losers (Texans fading)
NLDS winners & losers: Braves' gambit pays off; more magic in Milwaukee

MLB

NLDS winners & losers: Braves' gambit pays off; more magic in Milwaukee

1:32

Chiefs vs Raiders

NFL•Final

30

27

Chiefs vs Raiders
1:23

Rams vs Eagles

NFL•Final

24

20

Rams vs Eagles
1:51

Lions vs Panthers

NFL•Final

26

32

Lions vs Panthers
1:40

Patriots vs Bills

NFL•Final

29

26

Patriots vs Bills
1:19

Cardinals vs Giants

NFL•Final

24

36

Cardinals vs Giants
1:19

Broncos vs 49ers

NFL•Final

14

24

Broncos vs 49ers
1:17

Dolphins vs Vikings

NFL•Final

10

15

Dolphins vs Vikings
1:31

Chargers vs Seahawks

NFL•Final

23

30

Chargers vs Seahawks
1:26

Titans vs Ravens

NFL•Final

18

24

Titans vs Ravens
1:34

Packers vs Buccaneers

NFL•Final

17

14

Packers vs Buccaneers
1:42

Cowboys vs Texans

NFL•Final

34

30

Cowboys vs Texans
1:12

Jets vs Bears

NFL•Final

12

23

Jets vs Bears
1:32

Jaguars vs Bengals

NFL•Final

22

17

Jaguars vs Bengals
1:18

Braves vs Dodgers

MLB•Final

3

2

Braves vs Dodgers
1:24

Padres vs Brewers

MLB•Final

3

4

Padres vs Brewers
0:51

Aces vs Valkyries

WNBA•Final

60

71

Aces vs Valkyries
0:41

Liberty vs Dream

WNBA•Final

82

92

Liberty vs Dream
0:24

Mammoth vs Rangers

NHL•Final

2

4

Mammoth vs Rangers
0:28

Jets vs Red Wings

NHL•Final

3

2

Jets vs Red Wings
0:28

Jazz vs Nuggets

NBA•Final

109

97

Jazz vs Nuggets
3:39

Ohio State vs Iowa

NCAAF•Final

31

14

Ohio State vs Iowa
2:29

Michigan vs Minnesota

NCAAF•Final

14

20

Michigan vs Minnesota
1:37

Alabama vs Miss. State

NCAAF•Final

56

23

Alabama vs Miss. State
1:18

Florida vs Missouri

NCAAF•Final

17

45

Florida vs Missouri
0:47

Washington vs USC

NCAAF•Final

21

25

Washington vs USC

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Eric Cohen

EC

MLB
CHW @ CLE • Mon 5:00pm

G. Williams

Under 15.5

-140

Outs Recorded

Picked: Oct 4 @ 8:46pm

Analysis

In four starts against the White Sox this season, Gavin Williams went under this line in three of them. Not to mention, with the day off between Games 1 and 2, the Guardians have a rested bullpen and will relieve the American League strikeout leader if he runs into any early trouble. It's not a good formula for Williams pitching into the 6th inning of Game 2. In a must win game for Cleveland, I think their ace throws five solid innings and doesn't come out for the 6th.

Matchup
Prop Bet Guy

#2

+2350

(60%)

134-91 in Last 225 MLB Player Props Picks

MLB
CHW @ CLE • Mon 5:00pm

G. Williams

Under 15.5

-140

Outs Recorded

Picked: Oct 5 @ 12:01am

Analysis

DraftKings. Another easy pull on an under for an outs prop on a Guardians pitcher. Gavin Williams has tremendous stuff, but that works against him in terms of his pitch efficiency. The righty needed 4.14 pitches per plate appearance this season, the fourth highest mark out of 107 qualified pitchers. The White Sox own the sixth lowest chase rate as a team, and have seen Williams four times this season (keeping him under this line three times). It’s a must win game for Cleveland, and they will go to their bullpen quickly.

Matchup
Angelo Magliocca

Amags

MLB
CHW @ CLE • Mon 5:00pm

Chi. White Sox

Over 2.5

-130

Runs

Picked: Oct 5 @ 10:00am

Analysis

The White Sox scored at least three runs in each postseason game thus far, winning each and slated as another underdog tonight. The weather will favor pitchers in Cleveland tonight unfortunately, and the two high-scoring games they had were in Houston, so the 2.5 total isn't crazy but I still think it's too low. Having faced Gavin Williams four times already, Chicago scored two or more runs in all four matchups and bounced him before reaching the sixth inning in three starts. The Cleveland bullpen isn't what I want to attack, so the first seven team total over 1.5 runs (-140) is a bet I've already made. Chicago projects at 3.75 runs, with multiple sources including our Sportsline model projecting even higher (4.4 runs).

Matchup
Matt Severance

#1

+283.5

(60%)

9-6 in Last 15 NHL Picks

NHL
WPG @ PIT • Mon 7:30pm

PIT

-170

Money Line

Picked: Oct 4 @ 5:59pm

Analysis

Second of a back-to-back and third game in four nights for the Jets. With Connor Hellebuyck away from the team due to his trade demands, the club had to pluck Clay Stevenson off waivers recently and he'll start Monday. It's only the 27-year-old's sixth NHL start as he has been mostly an AHL guy. The Pens have looked phenomenal offensively through two games with 13 goals. And that's with Sidney Crosby yet to score (two helpers).

Matchup
Thomas Casale

Casale on Campus

NHL
SJ @ DAL • Mon 8:00pm

DAL

-164

Money Line

Picked: Oct 4 @ 11:58pm

Analysis

I'm high on the Sharks this year, and they opened the season with two impressive wins over the Panthers and Kings. Dallas is on the other end of the spectrum, with losses to the Blues and Predators, where they scored a total of one goal. Casey Oettinger stopped 20 of 22 shots vs. St. Louis after missing the preseason. Oettinger is expected to be in net on Monday, and I have to believe the Stars' offense wakes up soon. They had a 65-52 edge in shot attempts vs. Nashville, so the opportunities are there. Dallas has won eight of the last nine matchups in this series. I'll back them to get the win over a Sharks team playing its first road game of the season.

Matchup