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  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    +162
    (63%)
    5-3 in Last 8 MLB ML Picks
    CIN
    +110
    Money Line
    LOSS
    Picked: Jul 11 @ 10:56pm

    Analysis

    Whether it’s Craig Counsell’s game planning or not, the Cubs are the worst hitting team on Sundays in MLB. Here they face Andrew Abbott, who hasn’t allowed more than three runs in a game since April, and a Reds bullpen with a July ERA of 1.84. The Cubs’ relievers this month are at 7.04. Chicago LHP Matthew Boyd has gone over five innings just twice all season. We’ll throw a bone to the home dog.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    +162
    (63%)
    5-3 in Last 8 MLB ML Picks
    BOS
    -119
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Jul 11 @ 10:57pm

    Analysis

    Mets rookie Zach Thornton pitched a gem in his second career game on June 26 vs. the Phillies. But now he gets the Red Sox, who are crushing left-handers to the tune of a .936 OPS this month. The Mets’ bullpen in July is a hilarious 10.70. Boston needs to score runs here, while Sox LHP Peyton Tolle, who has a 2.87 ERA on the road, can limit a Mets lineup that's managed two runs so far this series.
  • expert headshot
    Alex Selesnick
    PropStarz
    player headshot
    S. Baz
    Under 5.5
    -147
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    LOSS
    Picked: Jul 12 @ 11:59am

    Analysis

    Shane Baz has been held under this line in 4 of his last 6 appearances. The Royals aren’t a tough matchup, however they do not strikeout a lot and possess the 7th lowest K Rate in the majors. Meanwhile you could make an argument that Baz has performed above expectations in the strikeout department. Look for him to struggle getting to the 6th strikeout.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #1
    +1902
    (69%)
    41-18 in Last 59 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    R. Gasser
    Over 4.5
    -140
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    LOSS
    Picked: Jul 12 @ 9:54am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. This is a good spot for Robert Gasser, who is cleared this line in five of his eight starts this season. Following the Brewers doubleheader yesterday, and Jacob Misiorowski being scratched with fatigue today, Gasser will be relied upon to eat innings in the first half finale. The Pirates are a strikeout haven for left-handed pitchers, with a 26% K%. Look for Gasser to have a longer leash today.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #2
    +1516.5
    (67%)
    92-46 in Last 138 MLB ML Picks
    PIT
    -125
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Jul 12 @ 11:37am

    Analysis

    I think we have reached the point where Paul Skenes has value. He does not look 100% right but says he's healthy. And with the break coming, you'd think his fastball would be dialed to 11 with a week off. All-Star Brewers catcher William Contreras is sitting. Skenes dominated the Brew Crew on April 24. Counterpart Robert Gasser -- I like to call him Bob Gas -- is nothing special. It was originally to be Jacob Misiorowski and I'd sure have liked to have seen him vs. Skenes but apparently Brewers manager Pat Murphy is a big Grinch and decided to skip the Miz's turn. That's something the Bucs better take advantage of as it's a huge break.

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