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  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +132
    (54%)
    27-23 in Last 50 NFL Picks
    NE -2.5
    -119
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 13 @ 8:22am

    Analysis

    Both these teams put together dominant wins led by their defenses in the wild card round, but considering the opposition I was more impressed by what the Patriots did. They now look to have a legitimate pass rush that I expect will make life difficult for C.J. Stroud, who may not have top wideout Nico Collins (concussion) for this game. Drake Maye wasn't as his best dealing with pressure last week, so Houston may be able to limit Patriots points, but I believe the matchup on the other side of the ball along with home-field advantage should make this line at least 3, and my ratings would put it even higher in the 5-point range.
  • expert headshot
    Will Brinson
    +110
    (50%)
    4-4 in Last 8 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    R. Stevenson
    Over 18.5
    -118
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Jan 13 @ 9:51am

    Analysis

    Stevenson has seen a ton of snaps over the last few weeks and was the focal point for the Patriots offense against the Chargers. He's not normally considered a receiving back, per se, but his targets are way up over the last month plus. He has 20 targets in his last six games, all of which have seen him go north of 21 receiving yards. When Stevenson is out on the field, defenses are typically geared up to stop the run and he's able to slip out, catch a quick pass from Drake Maye and pick up good yardage.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    +420
    (71%)
    5-2 in Last 7 NFL Picks
    HOU
    +144
    Money Line
    Picked: Jan 13 @ 3:21pm

    Analysis

    C.J. Stroud was bad on Monday night and he’s potentially without his star wide receiver Nico Collins on Sunday due to a concussion. Not good for Houston. Plus, teams coming off the Monday night playoff win have never won another game in the playoffs. But there’s always a first for everything. Behind the strength of a tremendous defense and five Ka’imi Fairbairn field goals, Houston’s offense does just enough to advance to the AFC Championship Game for the first time ever. Drake Maye will have better days as will his Patriots. Texans 22, Patriots 17.
  • expert headshot
    Todd Fuhrman
    +172.5
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NFL Game Props Picks
    Under 20.5
    -115
    1st Half Total
    Picked: Jan 13 @ 4:35pm

    Analysis

    Defense will rule the day in Foxboro come Sunday afternoon and we're going to bank on both teams leaning into their stop units in a game of this magnitude. Both head coaches lean into their defensive DNA to run the rock and I think that continues here behind two stout stop units. Houston has been great generating pressure without blitzing and will need to protect against the explosive and Maye's legs. Meanwhile for the Texans it appears the passing attack is going to be down their alpha in Nico Collins which poses a big problem with generating chunk yardage. Lets get a fast moving run heavy 1st half in Foxboro on Sunday afternoon.
  • expert headshot
    Emory Hunt
    +241
    (62%)
    8-5 in Last 13 NFL ATS Picks
    HOU +3
    -106
    Spread
    Picked: Jan 14 @ 6:07am

    Analysis

    When you watch how the Houston Texans can dominate a game, you can't help but see how special of a unit they have. Now, the Patriots have a very good defense as well and will be facing a Texans offense potentially without Nico Collins. Will all of that being said, I trust the Texans passing attack more so than the Patriots vs a very good defense.

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