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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    #3
    +399
    (67%)
    10-5 in Last 15 NHL ML Picks
    MIN
    +100
    Money Line
    Picked: Dec 10 @ 1:29pm

    Analysis

    This will be the Stars' 6th game in 9 days. Research shows Dallas is one of the NHL's most fatigue-sensitive teams. Dallas loses -9.26 fantasy points per game in back-to-back/fatigued situations. This is the second-worst fatigue impact in the entire NHL. Dallas defeated the Wild 5-2 in October despite getting outshot 41-25. The Stars scored two power-play goals and two empty-net goals. With a revenge game against Florida on deck, Dallas may not be fully focused here. Additionally, the Stars lead the NHL in hits taken (719), while Minnesota ranks 25th-fewest (534), which adds to the previous data point of playing six games in 9 days.
  • expert headshot
    Bruce Marshall
    +185
    (67%)
    4-2 in Last 6 NCAAB Picks
    Under 143.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Dec 11 @ 3:20am

    Analysis

    It's fair to speculate if the Hawkeyes can really keep pace in "Hoops Cy-Hawk" after Iowa lost contact vs. Michigan State last week. The task of slowing ISU's offense (better than 94 ppg and hitting north of 54% from the floor) will likely come down to how well Ben McCollum's offense controls pace and tempo, and preventing the Cyclones from deploying their devastating transition game that helped bury top-ranked Purdue last Saturday. Easier said than done, but even if winning the game might a real stretch for Iowa, McCollum's team can slow the pace as good as any, and with four starters (including star G Bennett Stirtz) hitting better than 50% from the floor, the Hawkeyes can afford to be patient. Play Iowa-ISU Under
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    The Maestro
    player headshot
    B. Robinson
    Over 36.5
    -114
    Receiving Yards
    Picked: Dec 10 @ 11:25am

    Analysis

    The Bucs' leading tackler (Tykee Smith) and third-leading tackler (SirVocea Dennis) did not practice Tuesday. That would only help the receiving matchup for Bijan Robinson, who caught six passes for 100 yards in the season opener vs. Tampa Bay. Drake London (who had 15 targets in the opener) is trending toward missing another game, while Kyle Pitts is playing through a knee injury. The Bucs give up an NFL-high 10.4 yards per pass attempt to players lined up in the backfield, per Fantasy Points Data. After not being a factor in the receiving game last week, Robinson should be targeted heavily in this matchup.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +729
    (61%)
    27-17 in Last 44 NFL Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    C. Godwin
    Over 3.5
    -112
    Receptions
    Picked: Dec 10 @ 5:29pm

    Analysis

    FanDuel. While it’s looking like Mike Evans will return, I still like Chris Godwin to reel in four catches. With Evans sliding in on the outside, opposite the struggling Emeka Egbuka, I expect Godwin to assume the majority of the snaps in the slot - and that’s where the Falcons have been burned of late. Atlanta has allowed 22 receptions out of the slot the last three weeks, coinciding with Dee Alford assuming that role in coverage (18 receptions have been in his coverage, per PFF). With Evans back in the fold, Godwin’s 4.7 average depth of target on his seven targets last week is likely to translate over. And with Cade Otton doubtful, I do like Godwin to serve as a security blanket.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1214
    (76%)
    22-7-5 in Last 34 NHL ATS Picks
    EDM -1
    -123
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 10 @ 5:01pm

    Analysis

    Tuesday's Oilers OT loss hurt. They were rolling entering and facing basically some Sabres roadkill in the second of a B2B for Buffalo on the road. I watched (do we say watched or streamed these days?) that on ESPN+. You could see the Edmonton players getting outworked, taking for granted first two periods. Then third, they just went "Kirk: Energize." That's the fun team I like to back, flying around the rink and scoring at will. Alas, Edmonton blew an epic rally and lost in OT. Sadly, goaltending matters. That's hockey folks. But I'm going right back at -1 with the visitors in the second of a B2B.

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