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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #2
    +1545
    (64%)
    128-71-2 in Last 201 MLB Picks
    MIL
    -154
    Money Line
    Picked: Jul 22 @ 11:52am

    Analysis

    No Juan Soto for the Mets is mostly what this is. I'm sure all the NY guys are itching to return home from this six-game trip to open the second half. That's when trades likely begin. Starting pitcher Christian Scott (3-1, 2.87 ERA) has been quite good but doesn't go deep into games. It appears every Brewers regular is in with the team off Thursday. That means the entire excellent bullpen should be ready behind Logan Henderson (3-1, 2.97 ERA).
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #1
    +2000
    (68%)
    47-22 in Last 69 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    M. Kelly
    Over 3.5
    -113
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    Picked: Jul 22 @ 10:10am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Merrill Kelly has struggled this season, both overall and in the strikeout department. However, the veteran has acquitted himself better of late (2.12 ERA in three July starts), and has cleared this line in 6/7 home outings. He’ll face an A’s lineup that’s struck out 26.6% of the time over the last 30 days against righties, and has struggled in that department away from home all season. The A’s also have close to a 30% whiff rate against righty changeups this season, which is Kelly’s primary pitch.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    #3
    +1424
    (82%)
    18-4 in Last 22 MLB Picks
    LAD
    -112
    Money Line
    Picked: Jul 22 @ 12:49am

    Analysis

    Since Eric Lauer was acquired by the Dodgers in May, Los Angeles has won each of his seven appearances. His 2026 ERA in Toronto was 6.69, which has been more than halved (3.12) in L.A. Meanwhile, Aaron Nola has been awful for the Phillies and it's probably getting time for them to cut bait. Philadelphia has lost 5 of his last 6 starts and the right hander sports a 5.68 ERA this season. I think these trends continue and the Dodgers take the series with a win on Wednesday.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #2
    +1545
    (64%)
    128-71-2 in Last 201 MLB Picks
    Under 9
    -115
    Over/Under
    PUSH
    Picked: Jul 22 @ 11:16am

    Analysis

    I'm a little spiteful on Unders right now and will bump this up to 9.5, but Bobby Witt Jr. is out again for the Royals. They have totaled nine total runs in the past three without him (he did pinch-hit in one). Jac Caglianone is sitting today, too, so that's a big power source gone. The Giants just aren't a good offensive team, totaling 11 runs in a four-game skid. Royals starter Seth Lugo has a 3.60 home ERA. Winds are blowing in about 9 mph.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +91
    (60%)
    6-4 in Last 10 MLB Game Props Picks
    NYY -0.5
    -116
    First 5 Innings Run Line
    LOSS
    Picked: Jul 22 @ 9:34am

    Analysis

    Mitch Keller's matchup is horrendous today, as he's struggled with left handed batters to the tune of a .283 average and 11 home runs allowed in 63 innings. The WHIP is 1.44 and allowing all those baserunners against a lefty heavy order is likely to yield some runs at some point. Facing what is projecting to be seven left handed hitters in this Yankees order, it will be a major accomplishment for him to pitch well here in a day game in Yankee Stadium vs. this lefty heavy lineup. Yankees F5 TT over 2.5 runs as well.

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