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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +240
    (70%)
    7-3 in Last 10 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    R. Martin
    Under 0.5
    -124
    Earned Runs Allowed
    Picked: Apr 14 @ 11:12am

    Analysis

    As you may be aware, we don't have Yes or No First Run Inning prop on-site capability yet (can post in Discord), but hopefully soon. So I'm going to take this on Cubs opener Riley Martin because essentially it is NRFI, but just on the Phillies. The 28-year-old rookie is a lefty so it makes sense to open him against Kyle Schwarber and Bryce Harper. And in three "opens" this year, Martin hasn't allowed a run yet. I just don't want him to go more than an inning is all. Winds are blowing out so that's not ideal but still have to try it.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    EC
    player headshot
    M. Keller
    Over 16.5
    -145
    Outs Recorded
    Picked: Apr 14 @ 11:22am

    Analysis

    He may not be the Pirates' ace (or anywhere close to it), but Mitch Keller is off to a flying start in 2026. Three starts, six innings each, and only two total runs given up. Since the beginning of last season, Keller is 13-6 to the over 16.5 outs when pitching at home. While the Nationals roster has a collective .321 average against Keller, I believe the Pirates starter continues his excellent start to 2026 and pitches at least six innings tonight.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    The ATM
    DET
    -120
    Money Line
    Picked: Apr 14 @ 12:53pm

    Analysis

    The Royals haven’t scored over two runs for five straight games. Framber Valdez was blasted by the Twins last time out but allowed 1 ER his previous two starts combined, so we’re not afraid to back him on a rebound attempt here. Cole Ragans is 0-3 in three starts, and his last one he was taken out in the first after a comebacker to his left thumb,
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    The ATM
    PIT
    -184
    Money Line
    Picked: Apr 14 @ 12:54pm

    Analysis

    Miles Mikolas is 0-3 with a 12.41 ERA in three starts, and he’s backed by the worst bullpen in baseball. The Pirates put 16 runs up vs. the Nats last night. They shouldn’t need that many here. Mitch Keller has given up just two runs over 18 innings.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    The Maestro
    PIT -1.5
    +112
    Spread
    Picked: Apr 14 @ 2:54pm

    Analysis

    The Pirates are probably glad they didn't trade Mitch Keller, as the 30-year-old is off to a dominant start. With increased use of a changeup, Keller sports a 1.00 ERA and 0.94 WHIP. Pittsburgh should have success against struggling Miles Mikolas (12.41 ERA) and an already-depleted Washington bullpen. Back the Pirates, who are 9-3 in their last 12 games, on the run line.

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