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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1207.5
    (62%)
    60-37-1 in Last 98 NCAAF Picks
    SFA
    -175
    Money Line
    Picked: Dec 3 @ 9:07am

    Analysis

    Stephen F. Austin is the No. 7 seed in the FCS playoffs and playing a true home game, while Abilene Christian is No. 10. While the Lumberjacks got a first-round bye, the Wildcats had to play last week. SFA will play playoff football inside Homer Bryce Stadium for the first time since 2010 and has won 10 games in a row overall. The 'Jacks win with defense led by linebacker and Buck Buchanan Award finalist Jaydon Southard, ranking Top 10 nationally in team tackles for loss (1st), total defense (2nd), third-down defense (2nd), rushing defense (3rd), scoring defense (3rd), red zone defense (4th) and team sacks (7th). QB Sam Vidlak was named Southland Conference Offensive Player of the Year.
  • expert headshot
    Tom Fornelli
    +278
    (52%)
    12-11 in Last 23 NCAAF Picks
    Over 57.5
    -115
    Over/Under
    Picked: Dec 3 @ 3:50pm

    Analysis

    Duke's defense has been horrible for the last month, and that includes Virginia putting up 31 points against it earlier despite taking its foot off the gas in the fourth quarter. The Hoos should move the ball well here again, but I expect Duke's offense to find a bit more success too.
  • expert headshot
    Tom Fornelli
    #TrustTheProcess
    Indiana
    Under 21.5
    -115
    Away Team Total
    Picked: Dec 3 @ 3:51pm

    Analysis

    Ohio State hasn't allowed more than 16 points in a game this season. Indiana is the best team its faced, but it's also an Indiana offense that has struggled against the better defenses it's seen. And none of them are as good as Ohio State's.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Tierney
    +182
    (67%)
    4-2 in Last 6 NCAAF Picks
    DAVIS -5.5
    -108
    Spread
    Picked: Dec 3 @ 1:06pm

    Analysis

    While Rhode Island squeaked past a four-loss opponent last Saturday in the first round of the FCS playoffs, UC Davis kicked back for some R&R with a bye after navigating its rugged Big Sky schedule. The Aggies own just one SU loss at home as freshman QB Caden Pinnick developed on a fast track in his first college season. The Rams get stuck with a late kckoff -- 10 p.m. (ET) their time -- following a 2,600-mile commute. This spread belongs at a full TD.
  • expert headshot
    Tom Fornelli
    +278
    (52%)
    12-11 in Last 23 NCAAF Picks
    Under 49.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    WIN
    Picked: Dec 3 @ 3:49pm

    Analysis

    Texas Tech's defense dominated the first meeting and should do so again. BYU's offense is built around physicality and the run game, but the Cougs cannot match the physicality of Tech's defense. Few teams can. At the same time, BYU's defense held up well considering the bad spots turnovers put it in during the first game, and should do well here again.

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