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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1342
    (73%)
    51-19 in Last 70 MLB ML Picks
    CLE
    -145
    Money Line
    Picked: May 10 @ 6:03am

    Analysis

    Probably take it "easy like Sunday morning" -- great song -- today as things are getting wacky and Sundays are themselves anyways. But I do like this one. Big fan of Guardians pitcher Gavin Williams. He was shredded last time out in Kansas City in a surprise but is 2-0 with a 0.89 ERA in three home starts. We have faded the Twins plenty away this year and no reason to stop now: 7-13 on the road. End of a trip for them and I'm glad for these purposes they pulled the extra-innings upset Saturday (rare time I didn't fade them away thankfully). The bullpen is quite taxed now.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +609
    (100%)
    6-0 in Last 6 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    G. Williams
    Over 6.5
    -138
    Pitcher Strikeouts
    Picked: May 10 @ 8:14am

    Analysis

    FanDuel. Gavin Williams has emerged as one of the premier strikeout artists in the game. With 60 punch outs in 49.1 innings, he’s cleared this line in 6/8 starts, including all three of his home starts. His called plus swinging strike rate of 32.6% is second to only Jacob Misiorowski amongst pitchers with 30+ innings this season. He’ll face a Twins lineup that’s pretty average for strikeouts overall, but worse on the road (24.8% against righties away from home this season). And against power pitchers: 29% K%.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +680
    (82%)
    9-2 in Last 11 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    M. Bridges
    Over 14.5
    -118
    Points
    Picked: May 9 @ 10:41am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Walking this line up a bit, but for good reason - Mikal Bridges looks like himself, and has been thrust into a role where his touches and shot attempts are up significantly for the Knicks. With New York leading 3-0, I doubt they have OG Anunoby play, and Karl-Anthony Towns has struggled to stay on the floor due to foul trouble. Bridges has served as the scoring complement to Jalen Brunson, the latter of whom will undoubtedly be the focal point of the Sixers defensive adjustments in Game 4. I have Bridges closer to 17 points in this one, so I’m very ok playing this line at over 15.5 for a full unit.
  • expert headshot
    David Bearman
    #5
    +721
    (75%)
    12-4 in Last 16 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    K. Towns
    Over 4.5
    -167
    Assists
    Picked: May 9 @ 1:29pm

    Analysis

    We are going to continue riding Karl-Anthony Towns' assist prop as he is hitting it even in games in which he plays limited minutes due to foul trouble. KAT has 46 assists over the last six games, an average of 7.7 per game. He has 20 in 3 games in this series, not playing more than 27 minutes in any of the games, due to one blowout and two games with foul issues. Dating back to April 1 (13 games), he is averaging 6.3 a game, hitting 5+ in 9 of the 13 games.
  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +2255
    (62%)
    82-50 in Last 132 NBA Picks
    PHI +1.5
    -109
    Spread
    Picked: May 9 @ 10:46pm

    Analysis

    It's hard to get in the way of a surging Knicks team that has won six in a row while going 5-1 ATS. But the 76ers moved the ball well in Game 3 at home and created tremendous, open looks. They just didn't make them, shooting 43 percent overall and 28 percent from deep. With the series all but over, Philly won't be feeling the pressure. Look for the 76ers to show some pride and avoid getting swept on their home floor.

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