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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +692
    (66%)
    25-13 in Last 38 MLB Picks
    TB
    -164
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 11 @ 10:24pm

    Analysis

    Everything seems to line up well for the Rays in Game 1. They are the best home team in the majors, well-rested and starting ace Drew Rasmussen. He was truly great in the last round vs. the Yankees, and Tampa Bay has gotten a W the past 13 times he has strolled to the mound. The Guardians only finished their ALDS series Saturday and go with journeyman Foster Griffin in his second career playoff outing and first start. He did have a great season but Tampa Bay is 32-17 vs. southpaws after beating New York's Max Fried in Game 3 of the last round.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +2822
    (60%)
    140-92 in Last 232 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Rasmussen
    Under 4.5
    -145
    Hits Allowed
    Picked: Oct 12 @ 12:02am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Drew Rasmussen stayed under this line in 20/31 starts this season. He’ll face a light hitting Guardians lineup that’s hitting just .213 in the playoffs with a high walk rate (14%). Rasmussen was dominant against the Yankees, and has had plenty of success against this lineup. It’s also an emotional letdown spot for the Guards after a pretty epic comeback in the ALDS - I expect Rasmussen to roll.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +2822
    (60%)
    140-92 in Last 232 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    D. Rasmussen
    YES
    +143
    Pitcher to Record a Win
    Picked: Oct 12 @ 12:09am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. In addition to backing Drew Rasmussen to stay under his hits allowed line, I also like him to pick up the win in game 1. Including the ALCS, he won 10 of 16 home outings this season. The Guardians undoubtedly will come into this one tired after their thrilling comeback. Foster Griffin (5.05 ERA since the All Star Break) will start, and the Guardians high leverage relievers were all used extensively last series. I’ll back the better starter, the better lineup, and the fresher bullpen at home, in Game 1.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    +371
    (55%)
    50-41-3 in Last 94 NFL Picks
    LAR -2.5
    -114
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 5 @ 11:40am

    Analysis

    This is an awesome Monday night matchup that many believed before the season could be a Super Bowl preview, but through four weeks, it's the Rams that look more like a title team, ranking sixth in yards per play on offense and second on defense. However, Matthew Stafford has struggled with interceptions. The Bills defense hasn't been impressive, getting lit up by a struggling Patriots attack last week, and the team lost key players on both sides of the ball in that loss. I have a notable gap in quality between the Rams and Bills, so I think this should be on the other side of 3 and maybe even pushed to Rams -4.
  • expert headshot
    Thomas Casale
    Casale on Campus
    LAR -2.5
    -115
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 6 @ 11:42am

    Analysis

    I'm grabbing the Rams at -2.5. I made this line -3.5, and I think we'll get there by kickoff. The Rams still haven't played a complete game against a quality opponent, but I think the comeback win over Philadelphia will jump-start them. This will also be the second game with Puka Nacua coming back from injury, and I expect the offense to start rolling against a Bills defense that has already allowed 29 points or more three times this season. Lay the 2.5 with Los Angeles.

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