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  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #5
    +700
    (100%)
    7-0 in Last 7 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Harden
    Over 4.5
    -137
    Rebounds
    Picked: May 8 @ 1:08pm

    Analysis

    Caesar’s. There’s a lot to be said around James Harden’s offensive performances in these playoffs, but one aspect that has held true of late is his rebounding. Harden now has at least six boards in each of his last five games, and has cleared this line now in 4/5 games against Detroit (including 3/3 as a Cavalier). The Cavs’ defensive objective is to keep him away from the primary action, which leaves him free to crash the boards.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    #2
    +2054
    (59%)
    121-84 in Last 205 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    T. Harris
    Over 17.5
    -123
    Points
    Picked: May 9 @ 9:30am

    Analysis

    Tobias Harris scored 20 and 21 points in the first two games in Detroit. That extended his streak to seven straight games with at least 20 points. In the playoffs, he is averaging 36 minutes and 16.8 shot attempts a night. He is the clear second-best scoring option on the Pistons, so expect him to continue to play a lot and have an elevated usage rate during Game 3.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    #2
    +2054
    (59%)
    121-84 in Last 205 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Harden
    Over 4.5
    -141
    Rebounds
    Picked: May 9 @ 9:42am

    Analysis

    James Harden has not shot well in this series. He is a combined 9-for-28 from the field, including 1-for-11 from behind the arc. However, he still logged at least 35 minutes in both games. That helped him finish with eight and six rebounds. How now has five straight games with at least six rebounds. With plenty of minutes likely coming his way in Game 3, I’ll pay the juice and take this over.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    +260.5
    (57%)
    21-16-2 in Last 39 NBA Picks
    CLE
    -176
    Money Line
    Picked: May 9 @ 12:27pm

    Analysis

    Not been my NBA season, too many big favorites and that's not my cup of tea. Probably least I have ever bet the sport. But if I were writing the newsletter today? This is Leg 1 of a parlay. But I'm so fine with it solo that I'm going our max two units. I may do much more than that personally (realize just now what person I sound like on X and it turns my stomach). Will wait until closer to tip to decide because the NBA injury report may as well be toilet paper for how trustworthy it is these days. It's startling how different the Cavs have looked home and away in these playoffs. Hopefully they can flip the switch.
  • expert headshot
    David Bearman
    +621
    (73%)
    11-4 in Last 15 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    C. Cunningham
    Under 27.5
    -127
    Points
    Picked: May 9 @ 1:39pm

    Analysis

    The Cavaliers are one of the few teams to control Cade Cunningham this season. It's never easy fading the Pistons' star, who leads all NBA players this postseason at 30.6 PPG. But seven of those nine games were vs. Orlando. In games vs. Cleveland this season, including Games 1 and 2, Cunningham has yet to go over 27.5, averaging "only" 20.3 PPG. The Cavs have held him to 35.8% shooting and 27.6% from beyond the arc. He had 25 points in Game 2, with 20 coming after half.

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