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  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    +122
    (60%)
    3-2 in Last 5 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    A. Black
    Over 13.5
    -122
    Points
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 8:13am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Anthony Black should assume a bigger role as the Magic are dealing with a litany of injuries. Jalen Suggs and Paolo Banchero will both be out today, likely meaning Black assumes starting point guard duties. Black averaged 17.8 points per game last season without Suggs in 23 contests without Suggs, and put up 18 points against the Knicks when Suggs went down on Sunday.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +488.5
    (56%)
    14-11 in Last 25 MLB Picks
    MIL
    -135
    Money Line
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 3:49am

    Analysis

    Tuesday was just the second time the Brewers lost this postseason. Jacob Misiorowski starts for Milwaukee in Game Five, but the question is will Drew Rasmussen start on short rest? Nick Martinez pitched in Game Four so he's likely out, but Kevin Cash would not confirm a starter. Regardless, the offense for Milwaukee was unlucky on many occasions in Game Four, while it seemed like the Rays got every break to go their way and still nearly lost. The Brewers also made two errors, were held without a multi-run inning, and hit 20 balls "hard" yet 14 of them were outs. I'll bet on more of those balls falling for hits in Game Five, and the Brewers win behind a strong performance from their ace.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +564
    (56%)
    36-28 in Last 64 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    C. Simpson
    Over 0.5
    +340
    Stolen Bases
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 4:24am

    Analysis

    Chandler Simpson was picked off on Tuesday night as he tried stealing, just one pitch after he was running when Ryan Vilade fouled a pitch off. He had additional chances to steal later but short at bats from the hitters behind him helped stalled those efforts. As the Rays have their back against the wall again here, Simpson should continue looking to run. The main issue I see in this matchup is that Jacob Misiorowski was great at taming the run game this year, allowing just two stolen bases for the entire season. William Contreras is also superb behind the plate, but the game situation here calls for speed to be maximized, and Simpson is the guy the Rays look to for that.
  • expert headshot
    Angelo Magliocca
    +136
    (57%)
    4-3 in Last 7 MLB Team Props Picks
    Milwaukee
    Over 3.5
    -104
    Runs
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 4:28am

    Analysis

    The Milwaukee Brewers were held without a multi-run inning for just the fourth time this postseason, and it was in a 12-inning game! The Rays pitching and defense locked in, shutting down the Brew Crew by robbing multiple hits and getting big strikeouts when needed, but I'm not convinced that happens again in Game Five. On Tuesday, Milwaukee's offense hit 20 balls "hard" at over 95 mph exit velo, yet just six were hits, and if you look at specifically the 100+ mph exit velo batted balls, the Brewers racked up 12 but had just three hits to show for it. I think they capitalize better in this one, after going 0-3 with men in scoring position and leaving eight runners on base.
  • expert headshot
    Emory Hunt
    The Czar of the Playbook
    JAXST -3
    -118
    Spread
    Picked: Oct 28 @ 8:04am

    Analysis

    While the New Mexico State Aggies have a tremendous tailback in James Jones and overall solid defense, their offense as a whole is very much inconsistent. When you look at Jacksonville State in that capacity, they're much more balanced and have the ability to travel. Defensively they are capable of slowing down the Aggies enough to cover the short number.

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