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Projected NFL playoff bracket: NFC makes unwanted history

Our model has two NFC teams winning their division without a record above .500, which has never happened before. Plus, the Vikings fall in the wild-card round to a team that started 0-4.

NFL

Projected NFL playoff bracket: NFC makes unwanted history
MLB free agency is open: Predicting where the biggest stars will sign

MLB

MLB free agency is open: Predicting where the biggest stars will sign
Ranking in-season tournaments: Players Era loaded with powerhouses

College Basketball

Ranking in-season tournaments: Players Era loaded with powerhouses
With Notre Dame's CFP hopes on the line, Carr faces defining moment

College Football

With Notre Dame's CFP hopes on the line, Carr faces defining moment

0:33

Raptors vs Nuggets

NBA•Final

109

128

Raptors vs Nuggets
0:53

Lakers vs Kings

NBA•Final

116

103

Lakers vs Kings
1:25

Mavericks vs Spurs

NBA•Final

111

112

Mavericks vs Spurs
0:34

Trail Blazers vs Suns

NBA•Final

132

119

Trail Blazers vs Suns
0:41

Bulls vs Knicks

NBA•Final

105

135

Bulls vs Knicks
1:10

76ers vs Pistons

NBA•Final

112

106

76ers vs Pistons
0:27

Pacers vs Grizzlies

NBA•Final

107

103

Pacers vs Grizzlies
0:51

Timberwolves vs Rockets

NBA•Final

117

107

Timberwolves vs Rockets
0:44

Hawks vs Wizards

NBA•Final

120

105

Hawks vs Wizards
0:46

Bucks vs Celtics

NBA•Final

102

109

Bucks vs Celtics
0:40

Cavaliers vs Thunder

NBA•Final

116

124

Cavaliers vs Thunder
0:39

Jazz vs Pelicans

NBA•Final/OT

113

120

Jazz vs Pelicans
0:32

Queens vs Vanderbilt

NCAAW•Final

42

100

Queens vs Vanderbilt
0:30

FDU vs Texas

NCAAW•Final

65

85

FDU vs Texas
0:35

SE Louisiana vs Auburn

NCAAB•Final

59

92

SE Louisiana vs Auburn
0:43

Sharks vs Kings

NHL•Final

2

7

Sharks vs Kings
0:40

Blackhawks vs Panthers

NHL•Final

3

5

Blackhawks vs Panthers
0:40

Senators vs Sabres

NHL•Final

2

1

Senators vs Sabres
0:17

Toledo vs Sacramento St.

NCAAF•Final

20

17

Toledo vs Sacramento St.
3:59

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City

UCL•Final

2

3

RB Leipzig vs Manchester City
4:00

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal

UCL•Final

1

2

Slavia Praha vs Arsenal
3:59

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis

UCL•Final

2

1

Borussia Dortmund vs Real Betis
3:55

Lens vs Como

UCL•Final

1

9

Lens vs Como
3:58

Porto vs Napoli

UCL•Final

4

1

Porto vs Napoli
4:00

PSV vs Club Brugge

UCL•Final

1

2

PSV vs Club Brugge

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Jeff Hochman

+78

(57%)

4-3 in Last 7 UTA ML Picks

NHL
UTA @ MON • Thu 7:00pm

UTA

-114

Money Line

Picked: Nov 4 @ 2:06pm

Analysis

Utah isn’t the ideal opponent after a meltdown loss where the Canadians gave up a 4-0 lead with just over two minutes left and lost in overtime on Tuesday. Montreal is 23rd in shots allowed per game and has a -16 shot differential. The Mammoth are 7th in shots allowed and have a +89 shot differential. Utah is also 4th in scoring chances, while Montreal sits at 16th. In high-danger 5-on-5 shots, Utah is +14, and Montreal is even. The Mammoth have not won two in a row since October 15th. Montreal is still without their best defenseman (Mike Matheson), and top center Nick Suzuki remains questionable after missing the last six games. I like the road team in this spot.

Matchup
Todd Fuhrman

#2

+1019

(85%)

11-2-1 in Last 14 NHL Picks

NHL
PHI @ NYR • Thu 7:00pm

Over 5.5

-120

Over/Under

Picked: Nov 4 @ 10:44pm

Analysis

The Flyers have started to look capable as a hockey team going forward since a few players have returned from injury over the last seven days. I don't believe oddsmakers have caught up to how their totals need to be priced as a result creating an over edge for us here. The expected Rangers starter Dylan Garand has struggled lately taking on a bigger workload and has allowed 3.64 goals over expected his last 5 appearances. Meanwhile for Philly Dan Vladar and Joseph Woll have both graded out as league average netminders during the same span. Adjusting for current form my fair total on this game is 6 flat so we're looking for offense to headline at MSG on Weds

Matchup
Mike Tierney

+610

(71%)

12-5 in Last 17 NFL Picks

NFL
JAC @ BAL • Thu 8:15pm

JAC -8.5

-105

Spread

Picked: Nov 2 @ 12:02pm

Analysis

Jacksonville enjoyed a stress-free thrashing of Indianapolis on Sunday and, having come off a bye, should be in fine fettle against a team with one big QB-related migraine. Starter Lamar Jackson is out with a bum thumb, while second-stringer Tyler Huntley appears unlikely with a throbbing toe. Even No. 3 man Joe Fagnano needed treatment during the game and finished largely because the next option was a RB. The Ravens could pick up a veteran, but the short week would give him little time to acclimate regardless of his role. Even were Baltimore at full strength, the Jags are the superior team at this stage of the season. The Ravens’ QB void widens the gap.

Matchup
David Bearman

+736

(65%)

20-11 in Last 31 NFL Player Props Picks

NFL
JAC @ BAL • Thu 8:15pm

D. Henry

Under 70.5

-109

Rushing Yards

Picked: Nov 3 @ 11:26am

Analysis

The Jacksonville Jaguars' rush defense has held opponents to a league low 77.4 rushing yards per game. Last year, they also led the NFL, allowing only 85.6 yards per game. Woody Marks, in Week 6 in London, is the only RB to hit his over prop total vs. the Jaguars this season. Meanwhile, Derrick Henry has not broken 70 yards in any of his last three games, averaging only 52 rush yards per game on a 3.5 per carry average.

Matchup
Larry Hartstein

+576

(60%)

28-19 in Last 47 NFL Player Props Picks

NFL
JAC @ BAL • Thu 8:15pm

D. Henry

Over 17.5

-118

Carries

Picked: Nov 3 @ 3:09pm

Analysis

The Ravens have no choice but to ride Derrick Henry versus Jacksonville. While the Jaguars allow an NFL-low 77.4 rushing yards per game, they just lost run-stuffing defensive tackle DaVon Hamilton and safety Eric Murray to season-ending injuries. Henry wasn't used much (11 carries, 53 yards; two catches, 7 yards) in Sunday's blowout loss at Buffalo, so he should be fresh for a massive workload at home Thursday. Amid an uncertain QB situation, look for the Ravens to rely on Henry. I would play this Over 18.5 for half a unit.

Matchup