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  • expert headshot
    Larry Hartstein
    +226
    (59%)
    10-7-1 in Last 18 NCAAB ATS Picks
    TXAMCC +6.5
    -115
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 16 @ 9:28am

    Analysis

    The Lumberjacks won the first meeting 69-60, but it wasn't easy. Texas A&M Corpus Christi led by nine at halftime. Ultimately, the difference was Stephen F. Austin shooting 50 percent from deep compared to 25 percent for the Islanders. SFA enters on an 11-game win streak, but many of those victories were close. The Islanders, who played SMU, Kansas, Oklahoma State and Xavier in non-conference play, are coming off a convincing win over Lamar in which they had 15 assists and only seven turnovers. They should keep this close throughout.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #1
    +2101
    (71%)
    37-15 in Last 52 NCAAB Picks
    HOU +2.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Feb 15 @ 9:00pm

    Analysis

    Houston (23-2) rides in on a six-game winning streak. The Cougars are visiting Ames, Iowa, where they will be underdogs for the first time this season against Iowa State (22-3). Houston has returned to its traditional format of controlling games with defense, staying Under the total in its last five games. Houston is now No. 2 nationally, allowing 61.3 points a game. Iowa State averages 84.2 points and shoots 50.6 percent from the field, and the Cyclones come off a beatdown of Kansas after losing at TCU. Iowa State has stayed Under the total in its last three games. This total is only 134.5, which is built on both teams' defensive trends. While the Cyclones are 14-0 at home, I bet on the Houston defense.
  • expert headshot
    Mike McClure
    Money Mike
    Over 134.5
    -112
    Over/Under
    Picked: Feb 16 @ 9:17am

    Analysis

    My number on this game is 142, so I’m well over the market at 134.5. Both teams pressure defensively, but that can backfire in transition, and those easy run-outs spike efficiency quickly, plus Houston’s elite free throw shooting usually travels which is huge for late-game scoring. When I factor in possession efficiency and foul equity in a projected tight game, this total just grades out several points too low.
  • expert headshot
    Chip Patterson
    Shoot Your Shot
    HOU +1
    -105
    1st Half Spread
    Picked: Feb 16 @ 10:07am

    Analysis

    Iowa State will have Hilton Coliseum at its back, but this is a quick turnaround from the Kansas win while Houston did not face the same intensity against Kansas State. Kelvin Sampson should still have plenty to coach up after an offensive showing that wasn’t exactly crisp or up to standard, and from a matchup perspective the Coogs have better guard play than Kansas to deal with the Cyclones defensive pressure. The full game could come down to the officials and free throws since Houston fouls a lot but Iowa State’s the worst free throw shooting team in the Big 12, so I’ll eliminate some of those late-game variables and ride with the Coogs to throw a vicious first punch in this heavyweight bout.

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