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Sia Nejad

Counselor of Cash

NCAAF
KENSAW @ MTSU • Wed 7:00pm

MTSU -2.5

-118

Spread

Picked: Oct 28 @ 9:21am

Analysis

Middle Tennessee is a team on the rise after wins against Delaware and FIU (notable that the Delaware win was against the backup QB). The MTSU defense can struggle at times, but Kennesaw State is not the team to take advantage of it. I think MTSU will be able to move the ball via the ground and air attack (I suspect we'll see another great game from Terrence Brown at RB). MTSU is playing inspired football and I expect them to get their third win in a row and cover the -2.5 at home.

Matchup
Brad Thomas

#2

+487

(86%)

6-1 in Last 7 NBA Player Props Picks

NBA
MIA @ ATL

C. McCollum

Under 3.5

-133

Assists

WIN

Picked: Oct 28 @ 2:24pm

Analysis

CJ McCollum has gone under 3.5 assists in all four of his games this season. He’s averaging just 5.0 potential assists per game, so even a strong shooting night from his teammates likely keeps him in the two-to-three range. Jalen Johnson is the ball-dominant facilitator in this offense, and the Hawks run much of their half-court action through him. McCollum is more of a scorer and floor spacer, hunting his own shot instead of setting others up. Still a good price here compared to the market.

Matchup
Larry Hartstein

+303

(55%)

28-23-1 in Last 52 CHA ATS Picks

NBA
CHA @ DET

CHA +7.5

-105

Spread

LOSS

Picked: Oct 28 @ 2:25pm

Analysis

The Pistons should bounce back from their first loss, but I bet the Hornets to at least keep it close. This is the second night of a back-to-back for Detroit, which played at Madison Square Garden on Tuesday. Brandon Miller has poured in 73 points the past two games. The addition of Naz Reid (19.5 points, 9.5 rebounds) has been pivotal in Charlotte's 3-1 start. Back the more rested team getting substantial points.

Matchup
Alex Selesnick

#3

+471.5

(83%)

5-1 in Last 6 NBA Player Props Picks

NBA
WAS @ CLE

A. Dybantsa

Over 11.5

-120

Points

WIN

Picked: Oct 28 @ 3:07pm

Analysis

This line is simply too low for a scorer the caliber of AJ. I expect him to play upwards of 30 minutes and he is NBA ready in what should be a competitive game environment. This is speculative but he’s one of most talented first overall picks we’ve seen and I expect him to average at least 18 PPG as a rookie.

Matchup
Adam Thompson

#4

+366

(70%)

7-3 in Last 10 NBA Player Props Picks

NBA
MIA @ ATL

N. Alexander-Walker

Over 2.5

-152

3PT Field Goals

WIN

Picked: Oct 28 @ 4:50pm

Analysis

Hawks SG Nickeil Alexander-Walker has been held to two 3-pointers in two of his four games, each night on seven attempts. The other two, he went 4-for-12 and 5-for-8. He can fire away here vs. the Heat, who rank 27th in 3-point shooting percentage allowed, and 30th in 3's allowed to the shooting guard spot.

Matchup