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  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    Doug
    player headshot
    T. Young
    Under 32.5
    -106
    PTS + AST + REB
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 9:32am

    Analysis

    DraftKings / Caesar’s. I’m going to fade Trae Young on his combined points, rebounds and assists line tonight. The point guard is under in two of three games since AJ Dybansta made his debut, with a notable drop in usage rate, as the Wizards now have another player who can initiate his own offense. Young will also have a brutal individual matchup against Dyson Daniels.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    +162
    (63%)
    5-3 in Last 8 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    O. Okongwu
    Over 8.5
    +104
    Rebounds
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 10:15am

    Analysis

    Hawks center Onyeka Okongwu has had three straight games of double-digit rebounds. The number here suggest he drops back down, but no team is worse at rebounding than the Wizards and starting C Alex Sarr (knee) may miss a second-straight game. Backup Hawks C Jock Landale will also miss this one, so Okongwu should get the minutes needed.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1046.5
    (69%)
    31-14 in Last 45 NCAAF Picks
    UMASS
    -138
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 3:41pm

    Analysis

    UMass started 4-0 but has lost four straight. Any shot at first-ever bowl game for this once-wretched program involves a win here. Ball State has won two in a row but still has only three victories and those last wins were over two of the dregs of the FBS. This recently dropped to -2.5 and I was happy to be off the push of 3. But then I remembered these wacky multiple OT rules, and I'd be ticked if UMass won by only 2 in that regard. Not Canadiens Tuesday vs. the Jets rage/physical pain, but pretty irked. The Minutemen lost two of those four without injured starting QB William Wallace ... err that's Braveheart. William Watson. He's back. Model has hosts by 10.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #4
    +437.5
    (86%)
    6-1 in Last 7 NBA Picks
    WAS
    +111
    Money Line
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 6:09pm

    Analysis

    This was +3.5 and I'm not happy I waited too long on word on Atlanta's Jalen Johnson as I didn't think he would play and he won't at the end of a trip. I'm just not sure +1.5 does it for me, so will do a rare home NBA ML dog. Alex Sarr was iffy for the Wiz but is in. Also, rookie No. 1 overall pick AJ Dybantsa officially no longer has a minutes limit off his early injury. Model has Wiz by 3.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    Doug
    player headshot
    T. Herro
    Over 2.5
    -127
    3PT Field Goals
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 9:40am

    Analysis

    DraftKings. Tyler Herro has at least three triples in six of seven games this season, averaging 3.6 makes on 8.3 attempts per game. He’ll face a Celtics defense that ranks last in both opponent threes attempted and opponent three point rate.

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