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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +1190.5
    (68%)
    70-33 in Last 103 MLB ML Picks
    CHC
    -138
    Money Line
    Picked: Jun 5 @ 8:53pm

    Analysis

    I'm starting to get PO'd at the Cubs. They just look flatlined (the Kevin Bacon/Julia Roberts version, not the terrible remake -- not that the original was all that great). Hey Craig Counsell, earn your dang money. But, I do like to play good teams at home the day after getting embarrassed. And the Cubbies sure were on Friday -- that stung. Maybe they just aren't that good, but I'm holding out hope that's not true. And arguably their best starting pitcher of late, Ben Brown, goes Saturday. The Giants hung 18 on Friday. They might not score 18 in the next five games combined. Winds apparently blowing in.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    West Coast Wiseguy
    NYM
    -120
    Money Line
    Picked: Jun 6 @ 12:46am

    Analysis

    Griffin Canning has struggled, to say the least, with a 7.16 ERA, a 1.55 WHIP, and an average of just 4.2 innings per start. This short longevity places an immense burden on a Padres bullpen that has struggled with recent workload volume. Canning's advanced pitching metrics reveal a compromised Stuff+ profile of 85. Nolan McLean has a strong Stuff+ of 115 on his high-spin fastball-slider combination, yielding an elite 10.4 K/9 strikeout rate. McLean’s high strikeout-to-walk percentage of 18% should easily neutralize a Padres offense that has struggled to generate power. San Diego have never faced McLean, while the Mets are batting .319 with an xSLG of .552 in 49 plate appearances against Canning. I like the Mets in this spot.

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