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  • expert headshot
    Mike Tierney
    +424
    (62%)
    13-8 in Last 21 NCAAF Picks
    VANDY +14.5
    -110
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 6:13pm

    Analysis

    In its five latest games, Alabama has faced four teams ranked 16th or better on game day, plus Texas A&M highly ranked early in the year. Not that the Crimson Tide will let up against Vandy, but they likely will not be in a blowout frame of mind, especially with QB Keelon Thomas expected to sit at least much of the game with an injury. Austin Mack, who came with Tuscaloosa from Washington with coach Kalen DeBoer, has launched all of four passes this season. The Commodores have regressed from recent seasons but finally notched an SEC win last weekend at Mississippi State. Plauers who were around for Vandy's upset of Bama in 2024 should not lack confidence.
  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    #2
    +654
    (64%)
    18-10 in Last 28 NCAAF ATS Picks
    SMU -1
    -108
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Nov 11 @ 2:17pm

    Analysis

    Since SMU joined the ACC in 2024, they are 12-0 at home against conference opponents, with an average margin of victory of nearly 21 points per game. But Wake Forest has won and covered in seven straight games, despite having injury issues with QB Gio Lopez. Here's why I like the Mustangs: outside of a home loss to Miami, where the Hurricanes kind of shut it down in the second half, and a win the next week at Louisville, the Demon Deacons have beaten next to no one. Seven of their eight wins are against teams below .500. Expect more Mustangs home magic on Saturday. SMU 34, Wake Forest 27.
  • expert headshot
    Brad Thomas
    +265
    (64%)
    7-4 in Last 11 NCAAF Picks
    OHIOST -14
    -107
    Spread
    LOSS
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 9:04am

    Analysis

    Oregon was supposed to be Ohio State's bounce-back game, but the Buckeyes ran into a buzz saw in the second half. I like them to bounce back at home against a Northwestern team that's spiraling. With Aidan Childs out, Nico Marcoli struggled against Iowa, posting negative passing EPA, a passing-down success rate below 30% and just 1.67 points per opportunity. If Northwestern can't move the ball, how does it keep up with this Buckeyes passing attack? Luke Fahey isn't Julian Sayin, but Jeremiah Smith should feast against Montae Pote or Ore Adeyi. Neither is equipped to handle No. 4 as he continues his Heisman campaign. This feels like a 35-10 Ohio State victory, with some vengeance behind it.
  • expert headshot
    David Bearman
    +405
    (58%)
    22-16 in Last 38 NCAAF Picks
    WAKE
    -105
    Money Line
    WIN
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 9:53pm

    Analysis

    SMU is favored, mostly because they have been unbeatable at home, having won all 12 conference games at Gerald J. Ford Stadium in Dallas since joining the conference prior to the 2024 season. They also have QB Kevin Jennings leading a passing attack that is seventh in the nation, averaging 321.6 yards per game. However, Wake Forest has the more complete statistical profile, a defense capable of limiting SMU's rushing attack, and an offense that has been difficult to stop. The Demon Deacons have been one of the hottest teams, outscoring their last five opponents 264-31, an average of nearly 53-6 per game. Wake ranks fourth nationally in scoring offense (43.3 PPG), ninth in total offense (487.7 YPG) and 10th in passing (311.9 YPG).
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #1
    +833.5
    (67%)
    34-17 in Last 51 NCAAF Picks
    RI
    -140
    Money Line
    LOSS
    Picked: Nov 13 @ 10:49pm

    Analysis

    This opened at -215 and frankly I thought perhaps should have been higher --- I'm not sure why it has come barreling down. Maybe some Towson person knows something I don't? Is Hank Evans out for RI? (Me, Myself & Irene is about all I know about that state culturally). By all accounts, RI is the better team. Home finale and Senior Day for the Rams. They are two-time defending CAA champions, combining for a 15-1 league record in 2024 and 2025. They aren't that good this year but still should pull this out against the two-win Tigers.

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