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  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +2332
    (57%)
    103-78-1 in Last 182 NFL Picks
    SF +3.5
    -110
    Spread
    Picked: Nov 3 @ 1:30pm

    Analysis

    The Rams are looking for revenge after a primetime OT loss in the first meeting, but even with the motivation factor and the 49ers losing another pass rusher I'm surprised this is over 3. Although the Rams defense rates highly, they had trouble slowing down this 49ers attack when it didn't have George Kittle and Jauan Jennings, and it also didn't play as well as a 35-7 final against the Jaguars suggests with four drives of 50+ yards ending on failed fourth downs. Throw in a decided advantage in the kicking game with Josh Karty's struggles Sunday, plus the possibility of trading for DL help, and I like the 49ers catching the hook.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +2332
    (57%)
    103-78-1 in Last 182 NFL Picks
    Under 49.5
    -109
    Over/Under
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 11:45pm

    Analysis

    The Commanders suffered a big blow with the loss of Jayden Daniels, and I'm not sure how the offense responds in a tough matchup here after they had no success vs. Seattle with their QB1. The offense has actually been struggling for weeks if you consider they only managed 22 against Dallas and 24 against Chicago, two defenses who have been lit up in recent games. Detroit's offensive line has its own issues with the interior losing multiple players recently and both tackles picking up injuries that may keep either or both sidelined in this matchup. That should keep the Lions focused on a possession offense and running the clock down, making it hard for this game to get to 50.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +2332
    (57%)
    103-78-1 in Last 182 NFL Picks
    Under 44.5
    -110
    Over/Under
    Picked: Nov 3 @ 10:48am

    Analysis

    The Chargers are again dealing with a slew of injuries at offensive tackle, as Joe Alt is out for an extended period of time again and surprisingly solid fill-in Bobby Hart may also not play here. That lowers the Chargers' offensive ceiling against a Steelers defense with talent on the edge. The Steelers offense was again boosted by a ridiculous number of takeaways against the Colts, putting together just three drives longer than 23 yards but adding 10 points on short fields. The Chargers defense has allowed just one TD in its last two games, with the Titans' total boosted by a pick-six and punt return TD, so Under is the way I want to play in their games against non-elite offenses.
  • expert headshot
    Jeff Hochman
    +269
    (58%)
    15-11 in Last 26 NFL Picks
    BAL -3
    -115
    Spread
    WIN
    Picked: Nov 2 @ 7:49pm

    Analysis

    John Harbaugh and Jim Harbaugh are close brothers who talk on the phone. They discuss whether they might have an Apple Pie or Sweet Potato Pie for dessert on Thanksgiving, and ask how the kids are doing. But they really talk about football, and being the great coaches they are, each brother looks for every edge possible. The Chargers played the Vikings two weeks ago. You don't think John will ask his brother, Hey, what did you see here, etc? They share insights. We know Lamar Jackson is outstanding against the NFC, going 24-3. Minnesota hasn't played Baltimore since 2021, and it didn't go well. The Ravens are well-rested and still in desperation mode.
  • expert headshot
    R.J. White
    #1
    +2332
    (57%)
    103-78-1 in Last 182 NFL Picks
    Under 48.5
    -108
    Over/Under
    WIN
    Picked: Nov 4 @ 11:39pm

    Analysis

    The Vikings played better than anticipated with J.J. McCarthy at quarterback last week, but this is going to be another tough test. The Ravens defense has been excellent in recent weeks after getting healthy, and the trade for Dre'Mont Jones adds much needed help up front. The Minnesota defense was a different beast vs. Detroit with Andrew Van Ginkel back, and I could see them giving the Baltimore offensive line trouble and keeping the Ravens from hanging a big number. This matchup to me feels more like a total around 45 than 48.

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