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  • expert headshot
    Eric Cohen
    +151
    (55%)
    12-10 in Last 22 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    P. Alonso
    Over 1.5
    +128
    Bases
    Picked: Aug 18 @ 12:30am

    Analysis

    Pete Alonso is on a ridiculous tear and let's take advantage on Tuesday against the Yankees and Carlos Rodon. Alonso is riding a nine game hitting streak and is 18 for 34 (.529) during that time. The Orioles first baseman has gone over this prop in 8 of those 9 games, including five home runs and seven total extra base hits. Against Carlos Rodon, who returns off the injured list, Alonso is 2 for 10 with a home run in his career. I'll ride the hot streak until it ends, especially at plus money.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    +809
    (80%)
    12-3 in Last 15 MLB Picks
    DET
    +134
    Money Line
    Picked: Aug 18 @ 12:35pm

    Analysis

    The Tigers won Game 1 of this series 8-5 and overall this month have been hitting, pitching and fielding better than the Pirates, who are 0-9 since Aug. 3 when they don’t score at least right runs. Keider Montero has a 2.45 ERA in three August starts and the Tigers bullpen has a 3.09 ERA, so scoring eight would be a surprise. Braxton Ashcraft is coming off a complete-game three-hitter, but has a 5.12 ERA the last seven starts for Pittsburgh. We'll back those big plus odds.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    +809
    (80%)
    12-3 in Last 15 MLB Picks
    CLE
    -180
    Money Line
    Picked: Aug 18 @ 12:41pm

    Analysis

    Guardians LHP Foster Griffin is 1-1 since being traded from the Nationals. He’ll look to win a second straight here vs. a Giants team that owns a .508 OPS vs. left-handers the last two weeks, easily the bottom mark in MLB. Griffin had eight straight starts of allowing 0-1 runs in June and July, so that’s the potential here. Cleveland’s offense is shaky, but has found some success vs. LHPs, and Carson Whisenhunt (6.11 ERA) and the Giants pen (5.56 ERA L2 weeks) aren’t producing.
  • expert headshot
    Adam Thompson
    +809
    (80%)
    12-3 in Last 15 MLB Picks
    TB
    -126
    Money Line
    Picked: Aug 18 @ 12:55pm

    Analysis

    This is a pretty fair price at home for the best team in the AL. Jose Soriano has found success in two starts since being traded to Toronto from the Angels. The Rays, however, have the second-highest OPS vs. right-handers this month. So Tampa should find opportunities to score. It might be tougher for Toronto’s bottom-ranked offense against Nick Martinez, who shut down the Blue Jays for five innings in a July win.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +1659
    (60%)
    88-58 in Last 146 MLB Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    B. Ashcraft
    Under 5.5
    -152
    Hits Allowed
    Picked: Aug 18 @ 3:18pm

    Analysis

    DraftKings / Caesar’s. Braxton Ashcraft is under this line in 16/24 games this season. The first all-star has been one of baseball’s breakout pitchers this season. Ashcraft has kept hitters on to a .236 average, and an even better .226 xBA. His pitch count is also being tapered down, having already exceeded last season’s innings by 28 (and previously not reaching 100 professionally). He’s also coming off a nine-inning performance, so he could be on an even more strict limit today. And while the Tigers are hot (.265 against righties over the last two weeks) - they do walk a lot. Baking their walk rate in, their hit/plate appearance rate is 23.3% over the last two weeks against righties.

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