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Today's Top Free Expert Picks

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  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    Severance Pays
    IONA
    -154
    Money Line
    Picked: Mar 5 @ 7:52am

    Analysis

    MAAC Tournament from Atlantic City. Iona finished a game up on Sacred Heart in the RS standings and won at SH by 12 in December in the lone meeting. KenPom ranks the Gaels nearly 50 spots higher. Sometimes it is helpful in these neutral-site tourneys to check a team's road ATS numbers even though it's obviously not a true away game: Iona was 9-5 ATS away and Sacred Heart 8-10 ATS. The Gaels are Top 50 nationally in three-pointers made and three-point defense. They have made 10 or more three-pointers in 16 games and at least eight in eight others. This should probably be closer to -180.
  • expert headshot
    Matt Severance
    #5
    +504
    (61%)
    11-7 in Last 18 NBA ML Picks
    WAS
    -125
    Money Line
    Picked: Mar 5 @ 4:09am

    Analysis

    Not a prediction so much as to entertain myself in a Tankapalooza. Despise the NBA this season. Every spread is -8 or higher, it seems, because a third of the league does not care, and there are only so many care vs. care matchups possible per night. This is the utter opposite of care vs. care, but I will write about it at CBS Sports betting and the newsletter simply for Trae Young's debut. Utah played Wednesday and lost a seventh in a row. Playing in the second of a B2B here allows the Jazz "cover" to basically sit everybody left standing and not get fined by the NBA. The Wizards win by accident with a bit of a Young boost in limited minutes.
  • expert headshot
    Micah Roberts
    #2
    +1265
    (61%)
    43-28 in Last 71 NCAAB Picks
    NAVY -15.5
    -106
    Spread
    Picked: Mar 5 @ 1:41pm

    Analysis

    Navy plays Bucknell in the quarterfinals of the Patriot League Tournament, and they're playing at home. Navy has won 13 games in a row and covered 12 straight. They beat Bucknell by 16 or more in both meetings this season, and I like them to cover this one as well. Bucknell went 10-22 this season, while Navy has covered 20 of its games. They're getting better as the season goes on. Navy to cover.
  • expert headshot
    Prop Bet Guy
    #2
    +1941
    (58%)
    120-86 in Last 206 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    N. Traore
    Over 10.5
    -112
    Points
    Picked: Mar 5 @ 7:58am

    Analysis

    FanDuel. Nolan Traore has cleared this line in nine of his last 12 games, as he’s playing some of his best basketball of his rookie season. Despite only playing 23 minutes on Tuesday against Miami, he netted 14 points. He’ll face the Heat again in another uptempo matchup. Predicting the Nets rotations isn’t the easiest task right now, but my guess is Traore sees closer to the 30 minutes he’s averaged over the last 12 contests.
  • expert headshot
    Mike Barner
    +2200
    (66%)
    56-29 in Last 85 NBA Player Props Picks
    player headshot
    J. Jaquez Jr.
    Over 14.5
    -122
    Points
    Picked: Mar 5 @ 2:12pm

    Analysis

    Jaime Jaquez Jr. averages 15.9 points per game at home. The Heat will be short-handed Thursday with Norman Powell (groin), Nikola Jovic (back) and Simone Fontecchio (groin) all out. Not only is playing time trending in Jaquez’s favor, but this is a great matchup against the Nets. He likes to attack the rim, and the Nets allow the fifth-most points in the paint per game. When he faced them Tuesday, he scored 20 points over 27 minutes. In December, he scored 19 points against them in 29 minutes. I like his chances of reaching at least 15 points in their third meeting.

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