The Phoenix Suns visit the Milwaukee Bucks for a highly-anticipated battle on Sunday evening. The Suns lead the 2021 NBA Finals by a 2-0 margin, with the scene shifting across the country to Wisconsin after two games in Arizona. Phoenix won both games by double figures, using spectacular offense to do so. As such, the Bucks must win Game 3 to avoid a dreaded 3-0 hole in the series.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. William Hill Sportsbook lists Milwaukee as a 4.5-point favorite in the latest Bucks vs. Suns odds, up half a point from the opening line. The over-under, or total number of points expected, is down half a point to 221.5. Before finalizing any Suns vs. Bucks picks or NBA Finals 2021 predictions, you need to see what SportsLine's advanced computer model has to say.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned almost $9,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past two-plus seasons. The model is up almost $700 on its top-rated picks this season and entered the 2021 NBA Finals on a stunning 100-66 roll on top-rated NBA picks against the spread dating back to last season. Anyone following it has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has locked in its Bucks vs. Suns picks and predictions for Game 3 of the NBA Finals 2021. You can head to SportsLine now to see its picks. Now, here are several NBA odds and betting trends for Suns vs. Bucks:
- Suns vs. Bucks spread: Bucks -4.5
- Suns vs. Bucks over-under: 221.5 points
- Suns vs. Bucks money line: Bucks -190, Suns +170
- PHX: The Suns are 6-1 against the spread in the last seven road games
- MIL: The Bucks are 6-3 against the spread in the last nine home games
Why the Suns can cover
Phoenix is out-scoring opponents by more than seven points per 100 possessions during this playoff run, illustrating its sky-high level of performance. While the balance displayed by the team and the strong coaching of Monty Williams are significant factors, the Suns also have impressive talent at the top end. After averaging 25.6 points with a 59 percent true shooting mark in the regular season, Devin Booker has upped his production in the series, putting up 29 points and six assists per game. Chris Paul enjoyed an All-NBA season in helping to transform Phoenix's two-way attack, and he has been virtually unguardable on the way to 27.5 points and 8.5 assists per game in the first two games.
Finally, Deandre Ayton is a walking double-double, outplaying Milwaukee's centers to the tune of 16 points and 15 rebounds per game in the series after averaging double figures in points and rebounds both in the regular season and through Phoenix's extended playoff run. Moreover, the Suns deploy excellent perimeter shooters at all times, making up for other shortcomings by barraging opponents with 3-pointers as they did with 20 makes from beyond the arc in Game 2.
Why the Bucks can cover
The Bucks have the best player in the series in Giannis Antetokounmpo. After concerns about his knee held him out of the end of the Eastern Conference Finals, the two-time MVP returned with an effective showing in Game 1 and utterly dominated in Game 2. Antetokounmpo scored 42 points, grabbed 12 rebounds and blocked three shots on Thursday and, dating back to the regular season, he has been a transcendent force in averaging 28.1 points, 11.1 rebounds and 5.9 assists per game with top-tier defense.
The Bucks will need more from Khris Middleton and Jrue Holiday after struggles in Game 2, but both are capable of much better shooting nights. From there, the Bucks were still able to score almost 1.15 points per possession in Game 2, even as they converted fewer than 30 percent of their 3-point attempts. Milwaukee has the edge in size and physicality and, with Antetokounmpo in the middle and looking healthier, the Bucks can feel good about Game 3.
How to make Bucks vs. Suns picks
SportsLine's model is leaning under on the total, with the team combining for 215 points in the simulations. The model also says one side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time. You can only get this pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Bucks vs Suns? And which side of the spread hits almost 60 percent of the time? Visit SportsLine now to find out which side of the Suns vs Bucks spread you need to jump on, all from the model that has crushed its NBA picks, and find out.