Doug Baldwin was a superstar for the Seahawks in 2015, and we hope he can build off that success this season. But Fantasy owners should be a little leery based on his huge leap in production. He had 78 catches for 1,069 yards and 14 touchdowns on 104 targets. Every number was a career high, especially the touchdowns, which went up by 11 from 2014 and nine over his previous best year in 2013. The majority of his production also came when Jimmy Graham (knee) got hurt in Week 12. From that point on, Baldwin had 34 catches for 530 yards and 11 touchdowns in his final six outings, which was 44 percent of his catches, 50 percent of his yards and 79 percent of his touchdowns. We doubt that kind of production is sustainable, especially if Graham is healthy and with Tyler Lockett seeing a bigger role. If you reach for Baldwin on Draft Day then you will likely be disappointed, but he should be considered a No. 3 Fantasy receiver worth drafting in Round 5. We hope he doesn't regress, but his career stats suggest that will happen in 2016.
The Seahawks and Baldwin agreed to a four-year contract extension Tuesday, Adam Schefter of ESPN reports. Baldwin's calm demeanor throughout the process was noteworthy, and he'll now be paid handsomely to the tune of at least $11 million per season. The extension comes on the heels of a breakout in which he churned out 78 catches (on 103 targets) for 1,069 yards and 14 touchdowns. However, the majority of that production (47-724-12) was accumulated in the final eight games, as coordinator Darrell Bevell opened up the offense in the wake of a sieve-like O-line and injuries to Marshawn Lynch and Jimmy Graham. Baldwin will be hard-pressed to replicate those numbers moving forward due to a lack of big plays (just three receptions of 40-plus yards) and 17 red-zone targets to his name in 2015. The rapport between Baldwin and Russell Wilson can't be denied, though, so another fruitful campaign isn't out of the question.
Baldwin is calm over his current contract situation, despite his desire for a lucrative long-term deal, ESPN.com reports. Baldwin heads into this season slated to earn $4 million in the final year of the three-year, $13 million extension he signed in 2014, but he's far outperformed that value, having registered career-highs in catches (78), yards (1,069) and touchdowns (14) last season. Although Baldwin remains in search of a considerable raise, his contract situation is not expected to become a distraction, as the Seahawks want to secure his future as well. While talks between the parties lie ahead, Baldwin understands his role and is determined to continue to prove his worth in the upcoming campaign, when his fantasy stock also sits at its highest since entering the league in 2011.
Baldwin caught eight of 12 targets for 82 yards in Sunday's loss to Carolina. Sunday was just Baldwin's second scoreless game in his last eight contests. Entering 2015, Baldwin's career high in touchdown catches was five, a total that he matched in a pair of two-game stretches in Weeks 12 and 13 and 14 and 15 on his way to tying the league lead this season. Expect his contract status to be a big discussion this off season. If Seattle does not extend him, Baldwin will be a very dangerous man - a touchdown-tallying deep threat on a contract year.
Baldwin nabbed five of seven targets for 42 yards and a touchdown in Sunday's win over Minnesota. Baldwin finally put the Seahawks on the board early in the third quarter with a three-yard quick out into the end zone. Baldwin practically lived in the end zone during the second half of the season, over a quarter of his 47 receptions in the final eight games of the season going for touchdowns. For perspective, only five other receivers in the league had as many touchdowns during the entire season as Baldwin had in the final eight games. Seattle travels to Carolina next week, a team that held Baldwin to 23 yards in Week 6. That game was, of course, before Baldwin became the force he has shown himself to be over the past two months.
Baldwin caught five of seven targets for 46 yards in Sunday's 36-6 win at Arizona. Baldwin went off for a 7/134/1 stat line in the first meeting against Arizona, but didn't do much Sunday as Russell Wilson threw three touchdowns in the first half, before the Seahawks' defense took over in the second half. Even though his touchdown streak ended at five games, Baldwin will be a hot commodity for those participating in fantasy leagues during the NFL Playoffs, with he and QB Russell Wilson really clicking over the last two months.
|* indicates player did not play that week|
|WK||DATE||OPP||OPP RANK||OPP FPTS|
|2||09/18||@Los Angeles Rams||6||18.50|
|3||09/25||San Francisco 49ers||18||22.38|
|4||10/02||@New York Jets||19||22.75|
|8||10/30||@New Orleans Saints||28||25.13|
|10||11/14||@New England Patriots||22||23.78|
|12||11/27||@Tampa Bay Buccaneers||27||24.63|
|14||12/11||@Green Bay Packers||13||21.00|
|15||12/16||Los Angeles Rams||6||18.50|
|17||01/01||@San Francisco 49ers||18||22.38|
|3 Year Avg||92||65||891||7||42||13.71||131|