The No. 3 seed Minnesota Timberwolves host the No. 2 seed Denver Nuggets in a pivotal Game 4 matchup on Sunday in the Western Conference semifinals. The Timberwolves lead the series 2-1. These teams played four times in the regular season, splitting those games 2-2. Minnesota is third in scoring offense (110.7) during the 2024 NBA playoffs. The Nuggets are allowing 104.3 points per contest in the postseason.
Tip-off is scheduled for 8 p.m. ET at the Target Center in Minnesota. The Timberwolves are 3-point favorites in the latest Nuggets vs. Timberwolves odds, while the over/under for total points scored is 204. Before making any Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks, you'll want to see the NBA predictions and betting advice from the proven computer model at SportsLine.
The SportsLine Projection Model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned well over $10,000 in profit for $100 players on its top-rated NBA picks over the past five-plus seasons. The model entered the conference semifinals in the 2024 NBA playoffs on a sizzling 94-61 roll on all top-rated NBA picks this season, returning more than $2,800. Anyone following the model has seen huge returns.
Now, the model has set its sights on Nuggets vs. Timberwolves and just locked in its picks and NBA playoff predictions. You can visit SportsLine now to see the model's picks. Here are several NBA betting lines and trends for Timberwolves vs. Nuggets:
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves spread: Minnesota -3
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves over/under: 204 points
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves money line: Minnesota -159, Denver +134
- MIN: The Timberwolves are 6-1 ATS in the past seven games
- DEN: The Nuggets are 1-4 ATS in their last five games
- Nuggets vs. Timberwolves picks: See picks at SportsLine
Why the Timberwolves can cover
Guard Anthony Edwards is an extremely athletic and gifted playmaker on the floor. Edwards has great bounce to soar high for dunks or blocks. He will lock in defensively before being aggressive as a scorer. The former Georgia standout leads the team in points (30.4) and steals (1.6) to go along with 6.7 rebounds per game in the 2024 NBA playoffs. In Game 1 against Denver, Edwards finished with 43 points and seven boards.
Center Karl-Anthony Towns is another effective offensive force. Towns has a knockdown perimeter jumper despite being 7-foot. He can also score from the post or put the ball on the deck when needed. During the 2024 postseason, Towns averages 19.7 points, 8.4 rebounds, and shoots 58.1% from 3-point range. In the Game 2 win, he had 27 points, 12 boards, and made three 3-pointers. See which team to pick here.
Why the Nuggets can cover
Forward Aaron Gordon is an athletic and energetic force in the frontcourt. Gordon does a great job cutting to the basket and rises above the rim with ease. The Arizona product also plays high-energy defense. Gordon averages 13.9 points, 7.3 rebounds, and 4.5 assists per game in the 2024 NBA playoffs. In Game 3, he finished with 13 points and five assists.
Forward Michael Porter Jr. is a three-level scorer. Porter Jr. is a smooth catch-and-shoot threat but puts the ball on the deck to get into the lane. The Missouri product has great timing to crash the boards. Porter Jr. averages 20.5 points, 7.1 rebounds, and shoots 48.3% from 3-point land thus far in the playoffs. In his last game, Porter Jr. logged 21 points, four boards, and went 4-of-5 from downtown. See which team to pick here.
How to make Timberwolves vs. Nuggets picks
SportsLine's model is leaning Over on the total, projecting 205 combined points. It also says one side of the spread has all the value. You can only get the model's pick at SportsLine.
So who wins Nuggets vs. Timberwolves, and which side of the spread has all the value? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Timberwolves vs. Nuggets spread to jump on, all from the advanced model that has returned more than $2,800 on its NBA picks this season, and find out.
