These team outlooks have mostly followed the same pattern.
For every team, we identify three key players for Fantasy owners to keep an eye on. They aren't necessarily the three best players on the team, or even the three with the most Fantasy relevance on Draft Day. They are the three who could define your Fantasy season most.
We are going to have to fiddle with the rules a little bit for the Warriors.
We have never really seen a team like this, with four All-NBA class players who as recently as last season were first or second-round Fantasy players.
With Stephen Curry, Draymond Green and Klay Thompson joined now by Kevin Durant, the Warriors are ridiculously stacked, which paradoxically makes them less appealing for Fantasy purposes.
The key to finding real Fantasy value on Draft Day is figuring out which players are going to outperform their draft position, and it's difficult to see a way anyone on this roster does that.
There are only so many shots to go around, even on a team like the Warriors, that promises to share the ball and play at one of the fastest paces in the league. Someone is going to have to sacrifice a lot for the Warriors to work, and there's a pretty good chance all four players will end up suffering.
In 2015-16, Durant, Curry, Thompson and Green posted a combined usage rate of 108.5 percent. The problem becomes obvious. You can juggle lineups and play stars with low-usage role players, but that only goes so far, especially on a team like the Warriors that likes to ride its best lineups for long stretches.
We're going to see these four stars play together a lot next season, and that is going to cut into everyone's production.
And yet, you're still likely going to have to invest in them early in your Fantasy Draft. Curry and Durant won't be contenders for the No. 1 overall spot, but it's difficult to see them falling beyond the first four or five picks on Draft Day either. Green's ability to fill the box score means he probably won't last beyond the first 15 picks, and Thompson -- arguably the second-best 3-point shooter in the NBA -- will be gone by the end of the third round, too.
There just isn't much of a discount built into their prices coming into the season, and that is probably a mistake.
One other factor working against them is just how good they are likely to be. Steve Kerr is going to have plenty of opportunities to limit minutes if the Warriors run teams off the floor the way we expect them to.
There are a lot of factors working against their Fantasy appeal and not enough realistic avenues for them to exceed expectations.
As crazy as it sounds, I think there is a realistic case to be made that Durant, Curry, Thompson and Green all deserve to be viewed as bust candidates coming into the season.
