Florida vs. Baylor odds: Big 12-SEC Challenge picks from expert who's 4-1 on Bears

Josh Nagel has his finger on the pulse of Baylor basketball and just locked in a pick for Saturday

It's a Big 12 vs. SEC showdown Saturday afternoon when Florida hosts Baylor in the Stephen C. O'Connell Center at noon ET in a nationally-televised matchup on ESPN. Florida is favored by 6.5 points, up half-a-point from the open.

In this Big 12-SEC Challenge game that features two teams looking for a marquee victory, you need to see what SportsLine analyst Josh Nagel has to say. Nagel is a Nevada-based expert with almost two decades of experience in the handicapping industry. He has won multiple handicapping contests and specializes in picking college sports. He has developed a knack for predicting Baylor basketball as evidenced by his 4-1 record picking for or against the Bears. 

Earlier this month, he told readers to take Baylor +9.5 against West Virginia, saying the Mountaineers could be in for a letdown coming off their big win over Oklahoma earlier in the week. The result: West Virginia 57, Baylor 54 -- Nagel was able to cash in on the exact outcome he called for. Anybody following his picks is up big right now.

Now, Nagel has studied every angle of this college hoops showdown and locked in his strong point-spread pick. He's sharing it only over at SportsLine.

Nagel has taken into account Florida's strong recent performances. The Gators have won eight of their past 10 games, including an impressive road victory at Kentucky. They've done it thanks to an efficient offense. The Gators, who have scored 70 or more points in nine of their last 10 games, are averaging 80.7 points. However, the Gators' high-scoring offense will be tested against Baylor's stingy defense. The Bears are holding their opponents to an average of 68.2 points.

Despite only winning one of their last five games, the Bears are a tough out on the road. Baylor is 16-7 against the spread in its last 23 games on the road, while Florida is just 2-7 against the spread in its last nine home games.

Nagel has identified an X-factor that he knows gives one team the edge. He's sharing what that is, along with his pick, over at SportsLine.

So what side do you need to be all over in Baylor vs. Florida? Visit SportsLine now to find out what X-factor will be the difference and get a strong point-spread pick for Baylor-Florida, all from a Nevada-based handicapper who is on a blistering 4-1 run on his picks involving the Bears.